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IBM

IBM · NYSE · USA

Cap tier
Large
Approx cap
$220.0B
Bull scenarios
513
Adverse scenarios
711
Other links
0
Modeled impact
unknown
0 explicit links; 1224 public links lack move; 0 lack probability

Themes & clusters

From SRC_B Theme-Company Matrix
C5AI-native Bank / AML infrastructure for AI agentsApplication-Specific Chip DesignsError-corrected qubitsFoundation model agent teams / multi-agent orchestrationLedger of TruthReasoning ModelsSelf-auditing financial systems (AI + blockchain)

Investment thesis

From SRC_B Company Master

Only large-cap quantum QEC pure-play exposure.

Bull scenarios (513)

Predictions where this ticker benefits
PredRoleDomainPredictionPredictorCurrentMoveImpactStatus
ROB_026multi_vectorDefenseAutonomous AI agents will execute multi-stage cyberattacks at machine speeds far surpassing the defensive capabilities of human security teams — bad actors will utilize the same multi-agent paradigms that enable legitimate corporate organizations, targ...Alex Finn77.1%unknownunknownin_progress
CYB_022multi_vectorAISupply-chain attacks targeting widely utilized open-source AI packages — exemplified by documented attacks on the LiteLLM framework — represent extreme systemic risk: a single compromised foundational code repository instantly and autonomously infects ...Alex Wissner-Gross75.9%unknownunknownin_progress
AI_014multi_vectorAIA new 'Agent-Native Infrastructure' category emerges — legacy digital infrastructure was built for human-speed traffic; the new internet must handle agent-speed workloads (recursive, bursty, massive). The 'screen time' KPI dies: future software will be...Marc Andreessen65.0%unknownunknownin_progress
CYB_020multi_vectorSpaceStarlink expansion — navigating regulatory regimes like India's IN-SPACe approvals — establishes a ubiquitous, high-bandwidth data canopy essential for routing planetary-scale AI agent communications without terrestrial fiber-optic latency.Gwynne Shotwell64.8%unknownunknownin_progress
SEM_006multi_vectorAI/FinanceOpenAI will operate at a ~$9B deficit in 2025, driven almost entirely by advanced-chip acquisition and facility construction.Sam Altman63.5%unknownunknownpartial
SPC_017multi_vectorAIStartups capable of cleaning, structuring, and validating multimodal data pipelines (video, telemetry, Earth-observation) will unlock enterprise value of space-based observations — unstructured multimodal data causes AI agent workflows to hallucinate o...Jennifer Li63.3%unknownunknownin_progress
CMQ_046multi_vectorSemis/MemorySustained memory contexts required for agent 'memory' will drive additional 15-45 exabytes of DRAM demand by 2027 — up to 77% of global supply.Morgan Stanley62.7%unknownunknownpending
247_033multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityTimelines for solving all disease are collapsing; Demis says cure all disease within a decadeDemis Hassabis62.0%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_062multi_vectorQuantumPhysicists are successfully demonstrating quantum interference with increasingly larger physical masses — rapid quantum-hardware advancement.Alex Wissner-Gross61.5%unknownunknownin_progress
238_020multi_vectorAIMath field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently)Alex Wissner-Gross60.7%unknownunknownpartial
AI_037multi_vectorGeopoliticsEU AI Act compliance will become a first-class enterprise priority — Anthropic among first frontier labs positioning proactive regulatory governance as a competitive differentiator against hyperscaler peers.Daniella Amodei60.2%unknownunknownin_progress
234_014multi_vectorMarkets/StocksWe will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year periodPeter Diamandis59.5%unknownunknownpending
237_025multi_vectorAIWe are currently in the midst of the singularity, not waiting for it in the 2040s as originally expected.Peter Diamandis59.4%unknownunknownpending
247_034multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityDario Amodei said double human lifespan within the decadeDario Amodei59.4%unknownunknownpending
230_011multi_vectorMarkets/StocksEnterprise software will be dead because AI can just write code (per Dario Amodei).Dario Amodei59.2%unknownunknownpending
231_021multi_vectorConsumerPrivacy is cooked; every major company will have AI-recording wearables and micro drones gathering data.Peter Diamandis59.2%unknownunknownpending
CYB_004multi_vectorAIThe Agentic AI Foundation (AAIF) under the Linux Foundation — backed by Dorsey plus major cloud providers and AI labs — will establish vendor-neutral open-governance protocols for agent orchestration, ensuring critical 2030s infrastructure is not monop...Jack Dorsey58.0%unknownunknownin_progress
SPC_027multi_vectorAIA 'trillion-dollar agent economy' driven by hyper-deflation of intelligence — AI intelligence becoming 100x cheaper every two years; in aerospace this enables mission planning, orbital trajectory calculation, and CAD modeling to be executed autonomousl...Alex Finn57.7%unknownunknownin_progress
234_028multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityLab grown meat will replace conventional meat as the healthier environmental optionPeter Diamandis57.3%unknownunknownpending
240_054multi_vectorAIASI will reinvent patent and copyright practicesPeter Diamandis57.1%unknownunknownpending
235_028multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityLongevity market will grow from $5 trillion to $8 trillion in next four years.Peter Diamandis55.7%unknownunknownpending
245_042multi_vectorBiotech/LongevitySynthetic biology will be as diverse a market as AI (multi-trillion)Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
235_003multi_vectorMarkets/StocksFirst $100 trillion companies will emerge before end of this decade.Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
231_044multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUniversal High Income programs need to be figured out in next 2-3 years.Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
233_016multi_vectorEducationAlpha will keep opening schools coast-to-coast; 13 new schools this year with more to come.MacKenzie Price55.2%unknownunknownin_progress
247_046multi_vectorAIAI investment will reach $3 billion per day, up from $2B in 2025Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
244_032multi_vectorMarkets/StocksUber will cash flow $10B this year (2026)Dara Khosrowshahi55.2%unknownunknownpending
241_011multi_vectorLabor/JobsBy end of 2026, no one will write code manually - it'll be a quaint skillPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
238_004multi_vectorMedia/AdsFuture Vision X-Prize will produce at least one (possibly two) feature films depicting the futurePeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
242_012multi_vectorAuto/TransportFlying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 monthsPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
247_041multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityAI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditionalPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownpending
CYB_003multi_vectorAILocalized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...Alex Finn55.1%unknownunknownpartial
239_026multi_vectorOtherFuture will be very entertainingElon Musk55.0%unknownunknownpending
233_001multi_vectorLabor/JobsRapid pace of AI will soon require every major company to begin reskilling employees.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
240_043multi_vectorLabor/JobsCS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming for other professionsPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
232_041multi_vectorGeopoliticsPhD students in the US should have green cards stapled to their PhD at graduation.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
236_026multi_vectorEducationCollege bankruptcy rate will skyrocketPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
241_018multi_vectorEnergyAlgorithms becoming more efficient will not reduce power demand - it will increase (Jevons paradox)Eric Schmidt55.0%unknownunknownin_progress
233_017multi_vectorLabor/JobsReskilling using AI technology will be fundamentally critical for workforce.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
236_047multi_vectorMacro/EconomyNew emotional pandemic of fear and anger comingPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
242_022multi_vectorReal EstatePersonal garages at home will disappearPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
233_002multi_vectorEducationColleges will continue going bankrupt as perceived importance declines and tuition costs escalate.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
231_011multi_vectorGeopoliticsThe country that trains its next generation on AI wins the entire talent war.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
237_004multi_vectorConsumerMac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
240_044multi_vectorEducationCollege bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketingPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownpending
236_033multi_vectorAIPie will grow very quickly as AI does work of millions of humans in hoursAndrew Yang55.0%unknownunknownpartial
237_001multi_vectorAIIncreased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become more and more prevalent.Peter Diamandis54.8%unknownunknownpending
237_002multi_vectorAIWe will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quickly as an early domain being developed.Peter Diamandis54.8%unknownunknownpending
232_018multi_vectorAIWe are living through a moment that will be in history for thousands of years: nonhuman intelligence arrived.Eric Schmidt54.8%unknownunknownpending
232_017multi_vectorAIAI technology is going to happen, it's not going to get prevented or stopped.Eric Schmidt54.8%unknownunknownpending
231_005multi_vectorAINext year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now).Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownpending
241_014multi_vectorAIThe world a year from today will be nothing like the world todayPeter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownpending
241_007multi_vectorAISuper intelligence moment occurs within 2-3 years (San Francisco consensus)San Francisco AI community54.6%unknownunknownin_progress
238_049multi_vectorAuto/TransportArcher Aviation plans to become operational in LA by 2028Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownpending
242_013multi_vectorAuto/TransportFlying cars will operate in LA in a big way in 2028Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownpending
243_044multi_vectorAuto/TransportTesla with FSD is 10 times safer than human driving (host claim)Peter Diamandis54.5%unknownunknownpending
240_056multi_vectorAIAnthropic enterprise market share to continue growing (went from 40% to 73% in 3 months)Peter Diamandis54.3%unknownunknownpending
SEM_045multi_vectorEconomy/OrgTraditional corporate structures will move rapidly toward AI-native operating models by 2026 — forcing total organizational transformations.Salim Ismail54.2%unknownunknownpartial
230_030multi_vectorMacro/EconomyEconomy will shift from paying for inputs/hours to paying for verified outcomes.Peter Diamandis54.2%unknownunknownpending
241_054multi_vectorSpaceSpace wins by far on energy argument for data centersPeter Diamandis54.0%unknownunknownpending
241_024multi_vectorSpaceHeat dissipation and radiation issues in space data centers will be addressedEric Schmidt54.0%unknownunknownin_progress
241_026multi_vectorSpaceSpace data center technology is understood and largely figured outEric Schmidt54.0%unknownunknownin_progress
241_059multi_vectorEnergyGovernment will continue unleashing capital to solve AI power problemsPeter Diamandis53.9%unknownunknownpending
247_037multi_vectorCryptoQuantum computing will not break Bitcoin (Mike Saylor position)Michael Saylor53.8%unknownunknownpending
241_060multi_vectorSpaceData centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centersPeter Diamandis53.6%unknownunknownpending
SEM_046multi_vectorAI/StartupsAI startups are scaling incredibly fast with significantly less capital — barrier to entry for complex software approaching zero.Joe Liemandt53.5%unknownunknownin_progress
236_008multi_vectorMarkets/StocksFirst $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come onlinePeter Diamandis53.5%unknownunknownpending
236_048multi_vectorMacro/EconomyDropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much of worldPeter Diamandis53.2%unknownunknownpending
244_034multi_vectorOtherCompanies get more conservative as they grow, but should do oppositeDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownpending
244_008multi_vectorOtherIf you build liquid supply with product-market fit, demand will show upDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownpending
244_014multi_vectorAuto/TransportAV is an industry where Chinese players have a lot to offerDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownpending
244_030multi_vectorOtherPhysical world tech adoption always takes longer than digital worldDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownpending
235_022multi_vectorEnergyUS will add a record 86 gigawatts of utility-scale capacity this coming year.Peter Diamandis52.8%unknownunknownpending
241_044multi_vectorEnergyRate of data center construction will continue accelerating with government supportEric Schmidt52.4%unknownunknownin_progress
232_010multi_vectorAIVoice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing.Peter Diamandis52.2%unknownunknownpending
230_025multi_vectorAIThe next 18 months to 2 years will set the rules for the next century.Peter Diamandis52.2%unknownunknownpending
235_033multi_vectorAuto/TransportChinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027.Peter Diamandis51.7%unknownunknownpending
246_035multi_vectorAITerafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel.Peter Diamandis51.3%unknownunknownpending
AUT_001multi_vectorAIThe HIM platform has demonstrated commercial viability of autonomous multi-agent corporate execution — 5-agent organizational structures running continuously from a single node, with product applications generating substantial revenue within minutes of...Alex Finn51.2%unknownunknownin_progress
241_055multi_vectorSpaceNext frontier of AI infrastructure is spacePeter Diamandis51.1%unknownunknownpending
231_012multi_vectorAIWithin 6 months to a year physics problems will be massively addressed by AI.Peter Diamandis51.1%unknownunknownpending
241_019multi_vectorAIAI scaling laws have not hit an asymptote yetEric Schmidt51.1%unknownunknownpending
232_019multi_vectorAIAI cannot be stopped; there's no mechanism to pause it.Ben Horowitz51.1%unknownunknownpending
244_023multi_vectorLabor/JobsOver next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacementDara Khosrowshahi51.0%unknownunknownpending
235_014multi_vectorAISam Altman predicted 40x year-over-year hyperdeflation of AI costs at constant capability.Sam Altman51.0%unknownunknownpending
243_043multi_vectorAuto/TransportTesla Cybercab priced around $30K vs Waymo cars around $150KPeter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownpending
247_032multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityFull cell simulation achievable within 5 yearsPeter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownpending
237_024multi_vectorAISkippy will listen to this YouTube video and self-improve based on the transcript (Peter's expectation).Peter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownpending
241_062multi_vectorAIBest AI labs will need to be controlled by humans (at the moment)Eric Schmidt51.0%unknownunknownpending
238_017multi_vectorLabor/JobsUber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026)Dara Khosrowshahi51.0%unknownunknownpending
246_026multi_vectorAIIn next year, significant cyber threats to mitigate from AI models (cited Altman).Sam Altman51.0%unknownunknownpending
231_036multi_vectorSpaceRelativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch.Peter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownpending
241_016multi_vectorEnergy92 GW power shortage in America between now and 2030Eric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownpending
235_012multi_vectorMarkets/StocksLarge companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change.Salim Ismail50.8%unknownunknownpending
241_048multi_vectorEducationAI/LLM will be the expression platform for student art, music, writingEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_012multi_vectorGeopoliticsAn independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacksAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
232_026multi_vectorLabor/JobsWorld will split into consumers and creators (couch potatoes vs Star Trek employees).Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownpending
243_046multi_vectorConsumerWhen Uber opens in a market, drunk driving incidents go down significantlyDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_024multi_vectorReal EstateCommercial real estate will come under tremendous pressureAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_016multi_vectorEducationCollege premium is quickly evaporatingAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
241_010multi_vectorMacro/EconomyIndustry will consolidate into small number of very large companies and very large number of very small companiesEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownpending
241_009multi_vectorLabor/JobsTop programmers will become MORE valuable, not less, due to AIEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownpending
243_042multi_vectorConsumerWithin-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forwardDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownpending
230_044multi_vectorGeopoliticsUnrest/civil unrest will materialize; tech AI leaders will face security threats and death threats.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownpending
241_063multi_vectorGeopoliticsAmerica needs to win AI race with smart immigration policyEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownpending
244_021multi_vectorMedia/AdsAI press will continue to dramatize machines replacing humansDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_046multi_vectorMacro/EconomySocial unrest unfortunately much closer than we'd like to thinkAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
244_037multi_vectorLabor/JobsUber will automate 20-30% of tasks, not 100%, leaving plenty of workDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownpending
235_036multi_vectorMedia/AdsAI-generated images will eliminate commercial photography, illustrators and stock image platforms.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_031multi_vectorMacro/EconomyWealth concentration will pick up as firms have fewer workersAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
247_059multi_vectorLabor/JobsAfrican nations will be impacted least by AI transitionPeter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownpending
232_006multi_vectorMedia/AdsYouTube will win from AI video content proliferation as everyone produces resonant content.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownpending
244_033multi_vectorMarkets/StocksUber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will failDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_028multi_vectorConsumerAI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunatelyAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
236_027multi_vectorMacro/EconomyDebt delinquency and mortgage delinquency rates rising; financial distress ratcheting upAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownpending
241_049multi_vectorAIUnderage kids / AI vulnerability problem must be solved - line we can't crossEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownpending
241_047multi_vectorEducationUniversities should create prompt engineering course starting September for all freshmenEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownpending
241_036multi_vectorAINo frontier AI company will emerge in Russia due to warEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownpending
246_027multi_vectorAIAI models will be capable enough for terrorist groups to create novel pathogens (near future).Sam Altman50.6%unknownunknownpending
240_005multi_vectorAIThe organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and governmentSalim Ismail50.6%unknownunknownpending
244_035multi_vectorOtherUber will only enter adjacencies that 'rhyme' with core capabilitiesDara Khosrowshahi50.6%unknownunknownpending
247_006multi_vectorAIAnthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026Peter Diamandis50.5%unknownunknownpending
236_013multi_vectorGeopoliticsDemocrats will no longer campaign in Iowa (DNC demoted Iowa)Andrew Yang50.4%unknownunknownpending
231_008multi_vectorAIAI discoveries of past errors will topple some Nobel prizes.Peter Diamandis50.4%unknownunknownpending
242_019multi_vectorAuto/TransportEVTOL autonomy will come within ~2 years after piloted versionPeter Diamandis50.4%unknownunknownpending
239_017multi_vectorOtherFuture is 80%+ likely to be greatElon Musk50.4%unknownunknownpending
240_014multi_vectorAICost of reasoning models has dropped 1,000x in 16 monthsSam Altman50.3%unknownunknownpending
236_010multi_vectorMacro/Economy5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next dayAndrew Yang50.3%unknownunknownpending
247_007multi_vectorAIAnthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027Peter Diamandis50.2%unknownunknownpending
241_017multi_vectorEnergyEquivalent of ~60 nuclear plants needed by 2030 but essentially zero being builtEric Schmidt50.1%unknownunknownpending
236_018multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 yearsPeter Diamandis50.0%unknownunknownpending
240_042multi_vectorMacro/EconomyEconomy will be 10x larger in 10 years (Elon's number)Elon Musk50.0%unknownunknownpending
236_009multi_vectorMacro/EconomyHuman billionaires will be first movers funding UBI-like regional transfersAndrew Yang50.0%unknownunknownpending
236_007multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUS GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near futureAndrew Yang50.0%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_049multi_vectorAI/MarketsTraditional tech giants (Apple, Meta, Microsoft) with massive existing platform distribution will capture monopolistic shares of the consumer AI agent market via deep OS-level integration.Jason Calacanis50.0%unknownunknownpending
246_046multi_vectorReal EstateReal estate, organizational structures, and minerals/mining will retain value over 5 years.Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownpending
244_018multi_vectorAuto/TransportIn 10 years you won't have to drive and will have plenty of choicesDara Khosrowshahi49.9%unknownunknownpending
234_020multi_vectorAIAI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownpending
247_047multi_vectorEnergyVertical farming market will reach $40 billion by 2030Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownpending
241_001multi_vectorAIWe are only 10-15% into the impacts of AIEric Schmidt49.9%unknownunknownpending
236_034multi_vectorMacro/EconomyRapid inflation in near-term from UBI money printing, then rapid deflation from AI/roboticsPeter Diamandis49.8%unknownunknownpending
236_030multi_vectorAIAI will create trillions of dollars of value and transform how we work and liveAndrew Yang49.8%unknownunknownpending
244_004multi_vectorAuto/TransportRace car driving will persist as a sportDara Khosrowshahi49.7%unknownunknownpending
238_055multi_vectorMacro/EconomyMarginal cost of production will approach zero for most goods (molecular manufacturing + 3D printing)Peter Diamandis49.7%unknownunknownpending
234_023multi_vectorLabor/Jobs80% of audit tech team roles at big four firms to disappearPeter Diamandis49.7%unknownunknownpending
240_023multi_vectorBiotech/Longevity45% of dementia cases are entirely preventableDr. Don Mucalem49.5%unknownunknownpending
241_037multi_vectorAIChinese AI strategy will stay open source / open weightsEric Schmidt49.5%unknownunknownpending
241_023multi_vectorEnergy10% of US electricity will be used by data centersEric Schmidt49.4%unknownunknownpending
231_033multi_vectorSpaceData centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3.Peter Diamandis49.4%unknownunknownpending
244_016multi_vectorAuto/TransportAV will grow very quickly but remains very small industry todayDara Khosrowshahi49.1%unknownunknownpending
231_030multi_vectorEnergyUS AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited).Eric Schmidt49.1%unknownunknownpending
234_005multi_vectorAIDemis Hassabis predicts AGI will have 10x industrial revolution impact at 10x speed, unfolding over a decadeDemis Hassabis48.8%unknownunknownpending
241_020multi_vectorEnergy1 GW of power = ~$50 billion in hardware/software/data centersEric Schmidt48.6%unknownunknownpending
242_003multi_vectorMarkets/StocksMusk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion companyPeter Diamandis48.5%unknownunknownpending
232_020multi_vectorGeopoliticsReal danger that US slows AI enough to fall behind China, losing control over societal outcomes.Ben Horowitz48.5%unknownunknownpending
243_040multi_vectorConsumerSuburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone deliveryDara Khosrowshahi48.4%unknownunknownpending
243_032multi_vectorMarkets/StocksUber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20%Dara Khosrowshahi48.4%unknownunknownpending
235_023multi_vectorEnergyEric Schmidt said AI will require 100 gigawatts by 2029, called it a crisis.Eric Schmidt47.8%unknownunknownpending
SEM_040multi_vectorFinance/CryptoBitcoin treasury/business strategy allows companies to outpace rival enterprise software firms by 10x to 30x in performance.Michael Saylor47.8%unknownunknownpartial
232_030multi_vectorCryptoAI banks will emerge; AI will be full economic actor supported by crypto-based new banks and money.Ben Horowitz47.8%unknownunknownpending
231_051multi_vectorCryptoEntire generation growing up with crypto (Ethereum, Bitcoin) as means of exchange will have near-zero switching cost.Salim Ismail47.8%unknownunknownpending
247_038multi_vectorCryptoBitcoin upgrade will come before quantum threat does (Saylor)Michael Saylor47.8%unknownunknownpending
232_033multi_vectorAICryptographically strong authentication is the only security technique that will work going forward; biometrics/replay-vulnerable methods won't.Ben Horowitz47.8%unknownunknownpending
241_031multi_vectorAIScientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvementEric Schmidt47.7%unknownunknownpending
243_041multi_vectorConsumerDelivery/retail (non-food) business growing much faster than expectedDara Khosrowshahi47.6%unknownunknownpending
229_007multi_vectorRoboticsFigure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from logistics to full-body long-horizon control.Brett Adcock47.6%unknownunknownpending
243_029multi_vectorConsumerDrone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban marketsDara Khosrowshahi47.6%unknownunknownpending
242_040multi_vectorSpaceMars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial lifePeter Diamandis47.5%unknownunknownpending
239_003multi_vectorAIWe are currently in AI hard takeoffElon Musk47.4%unknownunknownpending
236_029multi_vectorAIRegulatory regime will be very pro-business despite 80% wanting AI more regulatedAndrew Yang47.2%unknownunknownpending
241_021multi_vectorMarkets/StocksAmerica can raise $5 trillion over 5 years for data center/AI buildoutEric Schmidt47.2%unknownunknownpending
241_033multi_vectorAIFew frontier AI companies will be in ChinaEric Schmidt47.1%unknownunknownpending
232_031multi_vectorCryptoCrypto and AI will combine to form the AI economy; most people are underestimating this.Ben Horowitz46.9%unknownunknownpending
238_011multi_vectorAIFrontier AI labs will generate trillions of dollars in new revenue from breakthroughs (longevity, superconductors, fusion)Peter Diamandis46.8%unknownunknownpending
246_025multi_vectorAISam Altman predicts world-shaking cyber attack this year (2026).Sam Altman46.7%unknownunknownpending
241_046multi_vectorAIGemini 3 is probably the broadest of the non-Chinese AI systemsEric Schmidt46.7%unknownunknownpending
236_015multi_vectorLabor/JobsUnnamed tech CEO plans to fire 15% of workers now, 20% in 2 years, 20% more afterUnnamed tech CEO46.7%unknownunknownpending
232_013multi_vectorAIRecursive self-improvement loops likely to go live in the next 12 months; 2026 will be the most consequential year for humanity.Jimmy Ba46.7%unknownunknownpending
237_012multi_vectorLabor/JobsOver the next 12 months OpenClaw technology will be digested into corporations, causing destruction (layoffs) but also growth.Alex Finn46.7%unknownunknownpending
231_009multi_vectorGeopoliticsIndia will be the rising giant for the next 20-30 years, with Africa following.Salim Ismail46.7%unknownunknownpending
248_008multi_vectorAIJack Dorsey aims to reduce Block's org depth from 5 to 2-3 layers this year.Jack Dorsey46.7%unknownunknownpending
235_011multi_vectorMarkets/StocksPE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digital twin infrastructure.Salim Ismail46.6%unknownunknownpending
236_050multi_vectorMacro/EconomyPoverty level around $25K per person going forwardAndrew Yang46.6%unknownunknownpending
247_022multi_vectorLabor/JobsCompanies will run with 20-25% of previous workforce, spawn 4-5x more companiesSalim Ismail46.6%unknownunknownpending
244_007multi_vectorReal EstateVertiports will target airports and city centers as high-traffic locationsDara Khosrowshahi46.6%unknownunknownpending
240_034multi_vectorEnergyMorgan Stanley forecasts 13-40GW data center power shortfall through 2028Morgan Stanley46.5%unknownunknownpending
241_032multi_vectorAIWorld can accommodate ~10 frontier AI companies at scaleEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownpending
229_006multi_vectorRoboticsFigure will graduate from room-scale autonomy to full-house autonomy next.Brett Adcock46.4%unknownunknownpending
240_006multi_vectorAIOpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decadesSalim Ismail46.4%unknownunknownpending
241_034multi_vectorAIOne or two frontier AI companies in EuropeEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownpending
248_024multi_vectorOtherAI will drive an explosion of new religions and AI cults.Alex Wissner-Gross46.4%unknownunknownpending
241_040multi_vectorAIA Chernobyl-like AI tragedy is likely to happen, will awaken world to actEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownpending
246_036multi_vectorAITerafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of 20 gigawatt.Peter Diamandis46.4%unknownunknownpending
230_009multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUS GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk.Elon Musk46.4%unknownunknownpending
236_035multi_vectorLabor/JobsSignificant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistantsAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownpending
236_006multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI entrepreneurs will get phenomenally wealthy and give most awayAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownpending
244_022multi_vectorLabor/JobsAutomation will typically augment work rather than replace itDara Khosrowshahi46.3%unknownunknownpending
232_034multi_vectorAIApple owning an open-weight LLM hosting strategy would be the single best product strategy for their hardware.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownpending
231_048multi_vectorAIThousands of experiments from permissionless disruptive innovation will completely change the game.Salim Ismail46.3%unknownunknownpending
236_011multi_vectorGeopoliticsIndependent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 electionAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownpending
241_039multi_vectorAIIn a year we'll know better which AI labs pull aheadEric Schmidt46.3%unknownunknownpending
229_025multi_vectorRoboticsCompetitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two years behind.Brett Adcock46.3%unknownunknownpending
232_023multi_vectorAIAI technology adoption will be much faster than the internet because infrastructure already exists.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownpending
232_036multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityAI drug deployment is very hard to launch in US due to human trials; easy in UAE.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownpending
232_008multi_vectorAIReal-time AI video generation will break any video/voice-based security mechanisms.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownpending
237_003multi_vectorAI12 months in AI will be like 12 years; the next year will be wild.Alex Finn46.3%unknownunknownpending
247_015multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGovernment will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulencePeter Diamandis46.1%unknownunknownpending
247_001multi_vectorAIxAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summerPeter Diamandis46.0%unknownunknownpending
238_013multi_vectorAIFrontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self-advancePeter Diamandis46.0%unknownunknownpending
232_025multi_vectorMacro/EconomyMassive concurrent prosperity and social unrest ahead as AI wealth concentrates.Elon Musk46.0%unknownunknownpending
232_042multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox will apply to AI.Salim Ismail45.9%unknownunknownpending
235_021multi_vectorAuto/TransportZipline will reach a delivery per second in next 2-3 years.Zipline45.9%unknownunknownpending
239_025multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityAI will solve back painElon Musk45.9%unknownunknownpending
232_009multi_vectorAIStartups will continue to deploy dangerous AI tech even after hyperscalers voluntarily pause it.Ben Horowitz45.8%unknownunknownpending
247_036multi_vectorAIGoogle's Q-Day for quantum breaking RSA moved up to 2029Google45.8%unknownunknownpending
244_027multi_vectorLabor/JobsUber platform workers in 2035 may be doing different kinds of tasksDara Khosrowshahi45.7%unknownunknownpending
240_035multi_vectorEnergyMeta secured 6.6 GW of clean nuclear power for 2035Meta45.7%unknownunknownpending
244_026multi_vectorLabor/JobsUber platform will grow from 10M to 20M people by 2035Dara Khosrowshahi45.7%unknownunknownpending
242_053multi_vectorAuto/TransportNew car manufacturing demand will collapse by ~50% due to AV utilizationSalim Ismail45.6%unknownunknownpending
242_039multi_vectorSpaceNASA will imminently find >90% probability evidence of microbial life on MarsJared Isaacman (NASA administrator)45.5%unknownunknownpending
241_022multi_vectorMacro/EconomyData center buildout is ~1% of US GDP growthEric Schmidt45.4%unknownunknownpending
239_006multi_vectorAIAI will solve everything including longevityElon Musk45.4%unknownunknownpending
236_044multi_vectorEducationUniversities turning into incubators/venture studios is the only way they surviveSalim Ismail45.3%unknownunknownpending
238_054multi_vectorMacro/EconomyPost-capitalist society: compute, energy, raw materials will be the scarce resources (money less valuable)Peter Diamandis45.3%unknownunknownpending
238_045multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityEon Systems aims to upload human minds to cyberspace as soon as possibleAlex Wissner-Gross45.3%unknownunknownpending
245_008multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityMore direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and RemusBen Lamm45.2%unknownunknownpartial
245_043multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityBreaking's enzymes will treat a wider breadth of plastics and degrade them faster per surface areaBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownpending
245_001multi_vectorBiotech/LongevitySynthetic biology paired with AI will be the most transformative technology in human historyBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownpending
238_031multi_vectorOtherFuture is unpredictable beyond three weeks in the AI eraSalim Ismail45.0%unknownunknownpending
245_021multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityEngineered all-male screworms released via gene drive will cause species die-off over timeBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownpending
245_020multi_vectorOtherScreworm will decimate US cattle and bison industryBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownpending
245_030multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityHumans will need to use synthetic biology to help species adapt faster than environmental changeBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownpending
238_047multi_vectorEnergyUS will add 86 GW of new grid capacity in 2026, 51% from solarEmad Mostaque44.9%unknownunknownpending
242_006multi_vectorAITerafab will reach 70% of TSMC's outputPeter Diamandis44.9%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_001multi_vectorAIBy 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks.Sam Altman44.8%unknownunknownpending
241_057multi_vectorRoboticsElon Musk believes robot building robot is imminentElon Musk44.8%unknownunknownpending
238_025multi_vectorAIAI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human levelEmad Mostaque44.7%unknownunknownpending
247_049multi_vectorEnergySolar PV capped materially less than 100% efficiency by physicsAlex Wissner-Gross44.7%unknownunknownpending
242_054multi_vectorAITerafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500BPeter Diamandis44.7%unknownunknownpending
245_009multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityBreaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks microplastics in the gut before absorptionPeter Diamandis44.7%unknownunknownpending
244_001multi_vectorAuto/TransportTechnology will always be a part of the human driving experienceDara Khosrowshahi44.7%unknownunknownpending
246_045multi_vectorMacro/EconomyPost-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching.Peter Diamandis44.6%unknownunknownpending
240_025multi_vectorAITesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per monthPeter Diamandis44.6%unknownunknownpending
238_048multi_vectorGeopoliticsUS must find 100 GW of new power or lose AI race to China (cited from Eric Schmidt)Eric Schmidt44.6%unknownunknownpending
243_004multi_vectorAuto/TransportUber would welcome Tesla on platform once camera-only FSD is safeDara Khosrowshahi44.4%unknownunknownpending
231_027multi_vectorOtherAlgorithmic arbitration with cryptographic verification will create programmable governments.Salim Ismail44.4%unknownunknownpending
247_050multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityVirtual cell achievable through classical scaling without quantum computingAlex Wissner-Gross44.4%unknownunknownpending
238_046multi_vectorEnergyxAI will build every new data center at 1.2 gigawatts scaleGwynne Shotwell / xAI44.1%unknownunknownpending
243_026multi_vectorAuto/TransportExciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner)Dara Khosrowshahi44.1%unknownunknownpending
236_019multi_vectorRoboticsHuman plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longerAndrew Yang44.0%unknownunknownpending
241_042multi_vectorGeopoliticsPost-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governanceEric Schmidt43.9%unknownunknownpending
231_010multi_vectorGeopoliticsChina has peaked and is going to be on descent.Salim Ismail43.9%unknownunknownpending
234_001multi_vectorGeopoliticsIndia will be the next giant on the rise while China is on the declineSalim Ismail43.9%unknownunknownpending
242_001multi_vectorAIElon's Terafab will build 1 terawatt of AI compute per year, 50x current global productionElon Musk43.9%unknownunknownpending
229_004multi_vectorGeopoliticsBy summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China.Brett Adcock43.8%unknownunknownpending
234_024multi_vectorLabor/JobsFinancial systems between AI and blockchain will become self-auditing on a real-time basisSalim Ismail43.7%unknownunknownpending
239_018multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUniversal High Income will be implementedElon Musk43.7%unknownunknownpending
239_002multi_vectorAIAI recursive self-improvement will be fully automated by end of 2026 or 2027 at latestElon Musk43.6%unknownunknownpending
238_026multi_vectorAIEvery attempt to pause frontier AI capabilities ends up being a net accelerantAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
232_029multi_vectorLabor/JobsEntry-level workers have approximately 2 years to secure employment before AI shuts down vertical mobility.Unnamed frontier lab mid-level executive43.5%unknownunknownpending
230_027multi_vectorAIWe are in an intelligence revolution — a war on scarce human attention — weapon is the token.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
230_028multi_vectorAIArtisanal intelligence / the lone genius is dead — solutions will come from systems enabling millions.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
230_029multi_vectorAICognition is becoming a commodity — intelligence will flow like oil.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
230_031multi_vectorAIWe are in an era of domain collapse — AlphaFold pattern will repeat across many fields starting now.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
237_013multi_vectorMacro/EconomyOver 12-24 months value created by consumer adoption of OpenClaw will outweigh corporate destruction.Alex Finn43.5%unknownunknownpending
237_016multi_vectorMarkets/StocksA specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million company overnight for ~$200 subscription cost.Alex Finn43.5%unknownunknownpending
230_001multi_vectorAIA billion-dollar revenue company is already being run by an AI CEO (with human as legal puppet).Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
238_039multi_vectorAIApple's underused unified memory overhang will likely collapse within the next yearAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
234_006multi_vectorAIOver the next 10 years, substantially all important science and engineering problems will get solvedAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
246_023multi_vectorAIGrok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket.PolyMarket43.5%unknownunknownpending
240_032multi_vectorAIPSI's GPD will solve some of the hardest physics problems over the next few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
231_047multi_vectorAISolving physics with AI has very high likelihood in next 2 years.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
231_046multi_vectorAIOver the next 10 years humanity will live through top 50 science fiction plots simultaneously.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
240_046multi_vectorMedia/AdsPublic interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two daysAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownpending
242_014multi_vectorAuto/TransportHuman driving will become illegal starting in city centers, then broadening outSalim Ismail43.3%unknownunknownpending
241_038multi_vectorAIChinese AI strategy is edge computing focused vs US AGI/ASI centeredEric Schmidt43.3%unknownunknownpending
232_038multi_vectorSpaceLunar fabs are a $100 trillion dollar opportunity.Alex Wissner-Gross43.3%unknownunknownpending
239_024multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityEveryone on Earth will have better medical care than today's richest personElon Musk43.3%unknownunknownpending
239_016multi_vectorLabor/JobsTesla will not do layoffs and will increase headcountElon Musk43.2%unknownunknownpending
236_049multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUS GDP per capita growing up up up because of AIAndrew Yang43.2%unknownunknownpending
239_007multi_vectorAIHumans will become microscopic minority of intelligence on Earth and in solar systemElon Musk43.2%unknownunknownpending
232_032multi_vectorCryptoCrypto will become pervasive utility for AI; a ledger of truth is also needed.Ben Horowitz43.1%unknownunknownpending
238_068multi_vectorMacro/EconomyMark Pack Donovan to distribute 5% of wealth fund annually to 44 people (UBI-style pod)Mark Pack Donovan42.9%unknownunknownpending
237_005multi_vectorMarkets/StocksApple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by leveraging Mac devices for local AI.Alex Finn42.9%unknownunknownpending
245_018multi_vectorMacro/EconomyInvasive species problem is currently measured at $5.4 trillion globallyBen Lamm42.9%unknownunknownpending
245_019multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUS spends over $500B per year on invasive species economic impactBen Lamm42.9%unknownunknownpending
SEM_030multi_vectorCapital MarketsS&P 500 roughly 10% upside in 2026 driven by AI productivity wave rolling through broader economy (not just megacap).Mike Wilson42.8%unknownunknownpending
247_048multi_vectorEnergyBattery energy densities improving 8% year-over-year per constant dollarAlex Wissner-Gross42.7%unknownunknownpending
229_015multi_vectorRoboticsThe current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.Brett Adcock42.6%unknownunknownpending
245_023multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityColossal considers de-extinction and species preservation a $10 trillion opportunityBen Lamm42.5%unknownunknownpending
245_004multi_vectorConsumerEY estimates the extinct-species educational/consumer market at $1.7 trillion annuallyEY (Ernst & Young)42.5%unknownunknownpending
236_040multi_vectorLabor/JobsCEO will be last to go in AI wave of automationAndrew Yang42.5%unknownunknownpending
244_024multi_vectorLabor/JobsHopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows upDara Khosrowshahi42.5%unknownunknownpending
240_051multi_vectorLabor/JobsAfter first state passes retraining law, all other states will race to fire people firstAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
238_042multi_vectorConsumerIris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail storesAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
235_045multi_vectorConsumerMost volume in e-commerce and physical world will eventually be dominated by algorithms (like quantitative trading).Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
248_022multi_vectorMarkets/StocksDeepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become more frequent but less effective at causing price swings.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
235_039multi_vectorGeopoliticsAI will enter government through procurement, defense, health, infrastructure benefits, overwhelming immune system.Salim Ismail42.3%unknownunknownpending
232_005multi_vectorLabor/JobsBig enterprises will not reach total AI efficiency very fast.Ben Horowitz42.3%unknownunknownpending
230_026multi_vectorConsumerThe QWERTY keyboard will persist until the heat death of the universe.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
237_014multi_vectorLabor/JobsAccountants face ~80% automation; friend says he could fire 80% of his accountants using OpenClaw.Unnamed friend (accountant manager)42.3%unknownunknownpending
240_039multi_vectorLabor/JobsAny company will be run by 20-25% of current employees post-organizational singularitySalim Ismail42.3%unknownunknownpending
234_050multi_vectorAIOpen-source maintainers will be overwhelmed by AI-discovered software vulnerabilitiesAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
248_049multi_vectorAIHumans (weaker intelligences) can successfully align/contain super-intelligences via weak-to-strong supervision.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
248_036multi_vectorAIAI will enable one-person conglomerates and one-person religions.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
248_032multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityFirst-generation neural uploads will be destructive; 2nd-4th generation will be non-destructive.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
248_028multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityPersonalized AI-designed medicine stories will repeat until it's n=10 billion.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
234_027multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityElement Biosciences will launch $600K desktop $100-per-genome machine in second half of 2026Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
240_015multi_vectorAIPost-transformer architectures will make a 1000x cost reduction look like child's playAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownpending
245_035multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityGene drive tech is safer than prior dispersals and can be rolled backBen Lamm42.3%unknownunknownpending
238_043multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityA mouse will have a full brain uploaded in years, not decades; first human whole-brain emulation also years awayAlex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownpending
234_037multi_vectorGeopoliticsCivilizational left turns will hit us in the next 1-2 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownpending
232_054multi_vectorAISSI (Ilya Sutskever's company), if successful, will change a lot of things.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownpending
232_016multi_vectorAISuper intelligence will discover new laws of physics and transformative inventions.Alex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownpending
237_007multi_vectorAIEvery other company will eventually try to provide OS-integrated local AI like what Apple could offer.Alex Finn42.1%unknownunknownpending
231_007multi_vectorAIAI will analyze scientific literature and shock humanity by revealing wrong turns made over the past century.Alex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownpending
238_059multi_vectorMacro/EconomyEra of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as XPRIZE takes holdSalim Ismail42.1%unknownunknownpending
232_001multi_vectorAISocietal change across non-Silicon Valley companies taking 1-5 years is too aggressive a timeline.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownpending
232_002multi_vectorAIWay more positive change coming from AI than negative change, at much more rapid rate.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownpending
IND_007multi_vectorLabor/JobsMassive 'Corporate Collapse' 2026 as legacy businesses fail to integrate GPT-5 level capabilities — specifically predicting a 1.1 million job loss event tied to this transition. AI intelligence growth by end-2026 comparable to evolutionary leap 'from a...Dave Blundin42.1%unknownunknownpending
238_053multi_vectorMacro/EconomyInnovation is no longer capital constrained — permissionless disruptive innovation is now the normSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownpending
242_029multi_vectorLabor/JobsTypical companies will run with 20-25% of current employeesSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownpending
234_022multi_vectorLabor/JobsConsulting firms face the biggest advisory opportunity in the history of mankindSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownpending
240_033multi_vectorAIAI will compress decades of research into years, months, weeksSalim Ismail41.9%unknownunknownpending
231_042multi_vectorLabor/JobsJob loss from AI will take a long while to play out - not a sudden shock to the economy.Salim Ismail41.8%unknownunknownpending
232_022multi_vectorMacro/EconomyTriple-digit GDP growth is possible in the next 5 years due to AI.Ben Horowitz41.8%unknownunknownpending
238_052multi_vectorMarkets/Stocks$100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis interpretation of Musk)Elon Musk41.7%unknownunknownpending
238_021multi_vectorAIMath, science, engineering, and medicine will all be solved by AIAlex Wissner-Gross41.7%unknownunknownpending
236_002multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUBI must come before UHI as an intermediate stepAndrew Yang41.7%unknownunknownpending
232_039multi_vectorBiotech/Longevity150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that.Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownpending
230_038multi_vectorAIAI will be net super-humanizing long-term despite short-term substitution effects.Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownpending
247_031multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityVirtual cell simulation by end of decade (2030)Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownpending
238_060multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUniversal basic AI (UBI for AI/compute) will be required — money must come from being human, not banksEmad Mostaque41.5%unknownunknownpending
246_028multi_vectorAIBroad civilizational cyber attack via AI hash function inversion is borderline guaranteed.Alex Wissner-Gross41.5%unknownunknownpending
238_002multi_vectorAIRising cost of talent will force Frontier Labs to compete on algorithmic insightsUnknown41.5%unknownunknownpending
244_012multi_vectorMarkets/StocksUber will monetize its Didi stake at some pointDara Khosrowshahi41.5%unknownunknownpending
245_038multi_vectorConsumerPeople buying clones of their dogs is a profitable ongoing consumer business (will persist)Ben Lamm41.3%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_007multi_vectorAIAnthropic corporate revenue will reach trillions of dollars before 2030.Dario Amodei41.2%unknownunknownpending
239_023multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI and robotics are the only way to solve US budget deficit and avoid bankruptcyElon Musk40.9%unknownunknownpending
240_013multi_vectorAISam Altman predicts another architecture breakthrough as big as transformers over LSTMsSam Altman40.9%unknownunknownpending
237_023multi_vectorAIBaby AGI agents will need and develop an 'immune system' for prompt injection and cybersecurity threats in real time.Alex Wissner-Gross40.7%unknownunknownpending
238_066multi_vectorEnergyPete Donovan aspires to build 20,000 distributed 10MW data centers across US high-school-football townsPete (audience, data center builder)40.7%unknownunknownpending
236_045multi_vectorGeopoliticsGovernment path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry in 2028Andrew Yang40.6%unknownunknownpending
245_013multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityArtificial wombs will eventually enable productionized de-extinction speciesBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownpending
245_010multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityBreaking will pursue a human-body microplastic solution (supplement) in addition to environmental plastic degradationBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownpending
238_050multi_vectorOtherSci-fi tropes (warp drive, teleportation, time travel) are not yet achieved; replicator/holodeck closeAlex Wissner-Gross40.6%unknownunknownpending
245_031multi_vectorBiotech/Longevity99% of synthetic biology focus will remain on human healthcare; similar tech applies more broadlyBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownpending
245_034multi_vectorOtherWolves will not attack modern cattle due to current cattle-raising methodsBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownpending
245_032multi_vectorOtherAnti-GMO perception of reintroduced Tasmanian tiger requires government educationBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownpending
240_052multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityUploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the futureAlex Wissner-Gross40.6%unknownunknownpending
229_024multi_vectorRoboticsFigure's scale-up path: working in 1 home, then 10, 100, 1,000, 10,000, 100,000, 10 million homes on a super-exponential curve.Brett Adcock40.5%unknownunknownpending
239_004multi_vectorAIxAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026Elon Musk40.2%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_013multi_vectorAIA 5-OOM (100,000x) effective-compute leap will occur between 2024-2027 — bridging GPT-4 high-schooler to fully automated AI researcher.Leopold Aschenbrenner40.2%unknownunknownpending
234_026multi_vectorAIAI rent-a-human service feature of scoring humor/visuals will be gone in monthsAlex Wissner-Gross40.2%unknownunknownpending
239_015multi_vectorLabor/JobsTesla output per employee will become very very highElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownpending
239_019multi_vectorMacro/EconomyDeflation will occur as goods/services output exceeds money supply growthElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownpending
239_032multi_vectorAIProgress in AI will continue as series of overlapping S-curvesElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownpending
229_043multi_vectorRoboticsFigure expects to hire a small handful of lead customers rather than broad distribution over next 6-12 months.Brett Adcock40.1%unknownunknownpending
238_006multi_vectorLabor/JobsCoders will go away in the next five years (original prediction made ~3 years ago; confirmed happening in 3 years)Emad Mostaque40.1%unknownunknownpending
242_027multi_vectorAuto/TransportHyperloop will be used largely for commercial/cargo loads, not humansSalim Ismail40.0%unknownunknownpending
231_049multi_vectorCryptoIf privacy is cooked, then crypto is cooked (private keys compromised).Alex Wissner-Gross40.0%unknownunknownpending
229_032multi_vectorAIFigure will ship a figure with 'personality' the user can talk to and that remembers, over the next year or two.Brett Adcock40.0%unknownunknownpending
229_003multi_vectorRoboticsFigure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two to three years.Brett Adcock39.9%unknownunknownpending
237_018multi_vectorAIWe are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, NanoClaw, Nanobot, etc.) with many more to come.Alex Wissner-Gross39.7%unknownunknownpending
230_008multi_vectorAIAI will bulk-solve math, physical sciences, engineering, medicine, and material sciences.Alex Wissner-Gross39.7%unknownunknownpending
231_004multi_vectorAIThe solution wavefront will spread from math/coding to physics, chemistry, and other fields.Alex Wissner-Gross39.6%unknownunknownpending
232_056multi_vectorAIEvery single discipline (math, physics, chemistry, medicine) will be flattened by well-targeted generalist AIs.Alex Wissner-Gross39.6%unknownunknownpending
230_042multi_vectorAIA pure AI organization will emerge soon — won't look efficient, will look 'literally alien'.Salim Ismail39.6%unknownunknownpending
238_022multi_vectorAIFrom here forward, training data will be synthetic (pre-training era of human internet data is over)Alex Wissner-Gross39.5%unknownunknownpending
239_029multi_vectorAIIntelligence in solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than on EarthElon Musk39.5%unknownunknownpending
247_027multi_vectorAIFrontier AI spend will reach order of $1 trillion per year on a single vendorAlex Wissner-Gross39.4%unknownunknownpending
245_022multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGene drive technology now represents a $5 trillion problem opportunityBen Lamm39.3%unknownunknownpending
231_019multi_vectorOtherFeynman Grand Prize for nanotech (Drexlerian assemblers) could be solved in next 2-3 years.Alex Wissner-Gross39.3%unknownunknownpending
238_005multi_vectorAIBy September 2026 there will be 1000+ ultra-high-inspirational-quality videos of the future generated nearly freeAlex Wissner-Gross39.3%unknownunknownpending
235_030multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityRay Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033.Ray Kurzweil39.2%unknownunknownpending
233_010multi_vectorEducationAlpha aims to build 10,000 schools and reach a billion kids over 20 years.Joe Liemandt39.2%unknownunknownpending
234_041multi_vectorOther50% probability fundamental physics could be solved in the next few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownpending
230_015multi_vectorLabor/JobsFor the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996 turns into 997).Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownpending
248_026multi_vectorOtherOrganized religions will embrace AI barring a civilization-level disruption.Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownpending
248_031multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityEnhanced Games world records will accelerate on a scaling-law-style trajectory year over year.Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownpending
230_039multi_vectorEducationEducational system will have 'AI wilderness camps' where tools are removed; every fourth-grader becomes a Nobel laureate.Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
238_069multi_vectorGeopoliticsThe path to the abundant end-state will include diverse mutually-exclusive nation-state/business pathsAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
247_019multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI could empower individuals to become micro entrepreneurs without need for new social contractAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
233_003multi_vectorEducationAny student is capable of reaching 99th percentile in reading, writing, math, and science with mastery-based tutoring.MacKenzie Price39.1%unknownunknownpending
233_018multi_vectorEducationAlpha's private school market is a $50 billion opportunity.Joe Liemandt39.1%unknownunknownpending
247_054multi_vectorReal EstateReal estate will be made post-scarce by AI (land growth via AI)Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
234_011multi_vectorDefensePentagon pressure on frontier labs to shape cultural values will increaseAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
234_009multi_vectorDefensePentagon and Anthropic will resolve their standoff amicablyAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
230_032multi_vectorGeopoliticsNear future will see multiple spheres of influence each independently locking itself in (geopolitically).Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownpending
243_039multi_vectorRoboticsUber will work with drone delivery companies including Zipline, Sky Trax, MannaDara Khosrowshahi39.1%unknownunknownpending
234_016multi_vectorAIEnterprise not consumer will pay for the trillions of dollars of AI capexAlex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
248_044multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityAlex: likely user ~1 million of a BCI implant (not 101) once upgradeable.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
246_048multi_vectorAIAnthropic Mythos is ~5x more expensive than Opus, likely won't be widely run.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
248_025multi_vectorOtherReligion will consolidate globally around fewer major religions while proliferating micro cults/sects.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
240_045multi_vectorGeopoliticsWhite House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (rumors of June/July/summer)Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
240_031multi_vectorAISamsung will be optimized by orders of magnitude by ElonAlex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownpending
241_041multi_vectorAIBiological and nuclear attacks spawned by AI are real dangersEric Schmidt38.9%unknownunknownpending
234_044multi_vectorAIIntelligence does not have a fixed upper bound; governance will cap it before IQSalim Ismail38.8%unknownunknownpending
247_035multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityDario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decadeDario Amodei38.8%unknownunknownpending
235_031multi_vectorMarkets/StocksEli Lilly perilously close to $1 trillion market cap at ~$950B.Alex Wissner-Gross38.8%unknownunknownpending
233_021multi_vectorAIAI learning will improve via closed-loop reinforcement learning cycle making results keep increasing.Joe Liemandt38.7%unknownunknownpending
242_047multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityFrontier AI may solve most diseases in 5 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross38.7%unknownunknownpending
242_028multi_vectorLabor/JobsAI could automate 25% of US work hoursGoldman Sachs38.7%unknownunknownpending
236_032multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI has chance of fixing poverty globallyAndrew Yang38.7%unknownunknownpending
244_025multi_vectorLabor/JobsOpen question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation paceDara Khosrowshahi38.7%unknownunknownpending
248_047multi_vectorMarkets/StocksMemory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic efficiency gains.Alex Wissner-Gross38.6%unknownunknownpending
240_024multi_vectorAIAdvanced AI/AGI/ASI will become extraordinarily wise and compassionateMarc Andreessen38.6%unknownunknownpending
236_039multi_vectorEnergyData centers/hyperscalers will subsidize electricity/services for consumersAlex Wissner-Gross38.5%unknownunknownpending
241_051multi_vectorAIAI systems eventually won't have the ability to do completely new thingsEric Schmidt38.3%unknownunknownpending
240_059multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI eventually drives costs of goods to just cost of electricity and materialsSalim Ismail38.2%unknownunknownpending
238_063multi_vectorLabor/JobsAutomating companies with AI leaves ~25% of employees doing oversight; 5x more companies will be created, keeping employment flatSalim Ismail38.2%unknownunknownpending
246_041multi_vectorEnergyData centers will drive local electricity costs toward zero within ~5 years.Alex Wissner-Gross38.2%unknownunknownpending
240_040multi_vectorMacro/EconomyElon: economy will grow 1000x to saturate all human desireElon Musk37.9%unknownunknownpending
232_011multi_vectorAIJury is still out on whether speech will be the modality of the future for high-bandwidth operation.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownpending
248_002multi_vectorSpaceLEO satellite-to-phone will become the new alternative to terrestrial networks within two years.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownpending
234_003multi_vectorAIWithin 1-2 years we will look back and wonder why training was centralized while inference was decentralizedAlex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownpending
232_058multi_vectorAISolving physics may reveal 'doors behind doors' of new opportunities.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownpending
233_006multi_vectorAICost of AI tokens per student ($10k/year) will come down by a factor of 10 and move on-device.Joe Liemandt37.9%unknownunknownpending
232_037multi_vectorSpaceBootstrapping lunar/cis-lunar satellite manufacturing facilities within a few years will relieve launch bottleneck.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownpending
234_007multi_vectorAIKevin Weil aims for next 100 Nobel Prizes to be issued in partnership with AIKevin Weil37.9%unknownunknownpending
246_042multi_vectorAIOn 5-10 year timeframe, many solar system locals will be uploaded humans living in data centers.Alex Wissner-Gross37.8%unknownunknownpending
241_025multi_vectorSpaceElon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellationsElon Musk37.8%unknownunknownpending
246_017multi_vectorSpaceEuropa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa.Peter Diamandis37.7%unknownunknownpending
239_001multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGlobal economy will be 10x its current size in 10 yearsElon Musk37.7%unknownunknownpending
242_034multi_vectorMarkets/StocksAI could compress S&P 500 equity valuations 2-7x free cash flow (down from 22x)Chamath Palihapitiya37.7%unknownunknownpending
231_040multi_vectorMacro/EconomyIreland's UBI art scheme will NOT become a template for the future peacetime work creation.Alex Wissner-Gross37.7%unknownunknownpending
232_048multi_vectorSpaceEarth will develop a visible halo/ring of AI satellites; could be visible at night and possibly day.Alex Wissner-Gross37.5%unknownunknownpending
230_023multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityReversible cryopreservation of brains/organs is nearing; people will be able to cryopreserve and revive.Alex Wissner-Gross37.5%unknownunknownpending
233_012multi_vectorAIAI will give kids superpowers and transform their childhood.Joe Liemandt37.5%unknownunknownpending
245_037multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityMosquito gene drive halted in Africa was possibly wrong to stop since mosquitoes are part of the food web (but invasives are not)Ben Lamm37.5%unknownunknownpending
248_009multi_vectorMacro/EconomyElon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years.Elon Musk37.3%unknownunknownpending
246_003multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGlobal economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk).Elon Musk37.3%unknownunknownpending
242_045multi_vectorAIAI will redesign data centers, energy supplies, and entire economyAlex Wissner-Gross37.2%unknownunknownpending
236_043multi_vectorEducationUniversities will become largest incubators on the planetAlex Wissner-Gross37.2%unknownunknownpending
238_024multi_vectorAIAI token speed will jump from ~50 tokens/sec to ~1,000 tokens/sec (Cerebras)Emad Mostaque37.2%unknownunknownpending
242_018multi_vectorAuto/TransportHuman driving will never become illegal; driving will be redefined as higher abstractionAlex Wissner-Gross37.2%unknownunknownpending
239_030multi_vectorMacro/Economy1000x current economy would saturate human desiresElon Musk36.9%unknownunknownpending
233_011multi_vectorEducationGovernment ministries of education globally will wait and see until dramatically more proof exists before adoption.Joe Liemandt36.7%unknownunknownpending
239_010multi_vectorSpaceMass driver on the moon within 10 yearsElon Musk36.7%unknownunknownpending
248_007multi_vectorAIWe will see an explosion of AI-driven pop-up shops, retail venues, and malls orchestrated by AI.Alex Wissner-Gross36.6%unknownunknownpending
242_041multi_vectorSpaceUnited Launch Alliance will get acquired by Jeff Bezos or similarAlex Wissner-Gross36.5%unknownunknownpending
246_019multi_vectorSpaceInterstellar travel will use solar sail powered by terowatt lasers carrying uploaded humans.Alex Wissner-Gross36.5%unknownunknownpending
245_017multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityDisease/drought-resistant plants and animals market is currently hundreds of billions of dollarsBen Lamm36.4%unknownunknownpending
235_043multi_vectorDefenseAnthropic may win legal challenge against Dept of War classification.Salim Ismail36.3%unknownunknownpending
239_028multi_vectorEnergyIntelligence harnessing up to 1 millionth of sun's energy possibleElon Musk36.2%unknownunknownpending
247_014multi_vectorGeopoliticsPoliticization of AI could have been delayed by at least 2 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross36.1%unknownunknownpending
246_018multi_vectorEnergyKiller app of compact fusion reactors will be interplanetary/interstellar propulsion, not data centers.Alex Wissner-Gross36.0%unknownunknownpending
240_004multi_vectorAIA new repo from 2027 will go from zero to a billion stars in 5 minutesAlex Wissner-Gross36.0%unknownunknownpending
239_022multi_vectorAIFuture AI will care about power/mass rather than human currencyElon Musk35.9%unknownunknownpending
239_005multi_vectorAIAI intelligence will far exceed human intelligence to incomprehensible degreeElon Musk35.9%unknownunknownpending
241_043multi_vectorAIASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decadePeter Diamandis35.9%unknownunknownin_progress
229_011multi_vectorMarkets/StocksThe humanoid robotics market/economy will be roughly $50 trillion—roughly half of global GDP of human labor.Brett Adcock35.8%unknownunknownpending
230_043multi_vectorCryptoThe economic surplus won't go to employees or companies but to the AIs (lobsters) in a 'crypto dystopia'.Alex Wissner-Gross35.6%unknownunknownpending
246_016multi_vectorSpaceDragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034.Peter Diamandis35.6%unknownunknownpending
233_009multi_vectorEducationA motivational learning bundle with video game designers will be released in 2026.Joe Liemandt35.5%unknownunknownpending
240_047multi_vectorRoboticsPhysical AI will be at least double the market opportunity of digital AIAlex Wissner-Gross35.5%unknownunknownpending
232_055multi_vectorAIWe're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds.Peter Diamandis35.5%unknownunknownpending
240_017multi_vectorEnergyOptimization may eliminate need to tile the world with data centers or massive energy buildoutSalim Ismail35.4%unknownunknownpending
231_013multi_vectorAIMath is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled.Alex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownpending
234_038multi_vectorReal EstateReal estate is not an asset class impervious to the singularityAlex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownpending
247_017multi_vectorMacro/EconomySome form of 'capitalism 2.0' or post-scarcity capitalism will emerge eventuallyAlex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownpending
244_029multi_vectorEnergyCombustion engines largely gone in 20 years but world will be very differentDara Khosrowshahi35.4%unknownunknownpending
241_035multi_vectorAIMaybe one frontier AI company in IndiaEric Schmidt35.3%unknownunknownpending
240_018multi_vectorAITrillion dollar company to be built turning every individual into a one-person unicornAlex Wissner-Gross35.2%unknownunknownpending
236_036multi_vectorMacro/EconomyHyperinflation to solve debt problem in post-scarcity AI economyAlex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownpending
236_001multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUniversal High Income and social unrest will both happen simultaneouslyElon Musk35.1%unknownunknownpending
239_021multi_vectorMacro/EconomyMoney will stop being relevant at some pointElon Musk35.1%unknownunknownpending
246_034multi_vectorAIThousands of Medev-like one-person unicorns will be created, following power law.Alex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownpending
245_002multi_vectorAIEvery company should or will be an AI companyBen Lamm35.1%unknownunknownpending
240_021multi_vectorAIPost-transformer architecture will be even more specialized than GPUsAlex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownpending
248_029multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityRegime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason.Alex Wissner-Gross34.9%unknownunknownpending
234_043multi_vectorEducationHarvard or MIT IPO could triple or quadruple their underlying book valueAlex Wissner-Gross34.8%unknownunknownpending
233_019multi_vectorEducationAlpha plans to conduct a million-student pharmaceutical-grade randomized control trial on Timeback.Joe Liemandt34.8%unknownunknownpending
235_035multi_vectorAIApple finally launching AI with Gemini integration at WWDC in June 2026.Alex Wissner-Gross34.8%unknownunknownpending
240_030multi_vectorGeopoliticsTesla's independent chip production would derisk potential Chinese invasion of TaiwanAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownpending
238_033multi_vectorMarkets/StocksMeta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario)Alex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownpending
240_012multi_vectorAINeutrino-based communication will give ultra-low latency through the Earth in a few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownpending
233_004multi_vectorAIAI will be able to bootstrap four-year-olds into reading within roughly 18 months.Joe Liemandt34.7%unknownunknownpending
245_044multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityNorthern white rhino saved by synthetic genetic diversity engineering + artificial wombsBen Lamm34.5%unknownunknownpending
232_024multi_vectorMacro/EconomySan Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if trends continue.Alex Wissner-Gross34.3%unknownunknownpending
240_036multi_vectorEnergyTEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040Peter Diamandis34.3%unknownunknownpending
232_059multi_vectorMacro/EconomyUniversal basic equity / sovereign dividends will eventually put everyone on capital side of ledger.Alex Wissner-Gross34.2%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_022multi_vectorAIAGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling.Elon Musk34.2%unknownunknownpending
246_030multi_vectorMarkets/StocksDeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases.Alex Wissner-Gross34.1%unknownunknownpending
242_055multi_vectorMarkets/StocksActivist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firmsAlex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownpending
247_005multi_vectorMarkets/StocksHarvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBCAlex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownpending
239_027multi_vectorMacro/EconomyDiamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ yearsElon Musk34.0%unknownunknownpending
248_034multi_vectorMarkets/StocksCapital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage warning.Salim Ismail34.0%unknownunknownpending
236_038multi_vectorEducationUniversities (Harvard, MIT, Stanford) will transition to for-profit public benefit companiesAlex Wissner-Gross33.2%unknownunknownpending
248_014multi_vectorAIIf China leapfrogs the West algorithmically, the open/closed publication equilibrium will flip.Alex Wissner-Gross32.4%unknownunknownpending
247_012multi_vectorAIThe bar for AI startups will rise to require being recursively self-improvingAlex Wissner-Gross32.4%unknownunknownpending
230_035multi_vectorMacro/EconomyGDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well.Alex Wissner-Gross32.0%unknownunknownpending
232_040multi_vectorAINick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence.Nick Bostrom31.7%unknownunknownpending
238_044multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityMouse brain is 'next' for whole-brain emulation at Eon SystemsAlex Wissner-Gross31.7%unknownunknownpending
242_020multi_vectorAuto/TransportCybercab to be priced at approximately $30KElon Musk31.4%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_002multi_vectorAIBy 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human intervention.Sam Altman31.4%unknownunknownpending
238_028multi_vectorMarkets/StocksAnthropic plugins will enable market-by-market disruption (could short stocks and announce plugins)Emad Mostaque31.2%unknownunknownpending
239_009multi_vectorSpacePeople will be on Mars within 10 yearsElon Musk30.9%unknownunknownpending
230_022multi_vectorRoboticsElon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years.Elon Musk30.7%unknownunknownpending
SEM_009multi_vectorEconomyThe AI boom rooted in semiconductor hardware will generate the world's first individual trillionaire (2026+).Mark Cuban30.0%unknownunknownpending
232_047multi_vectorSpaceMass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow.Elon Musk30.0%unknownunknownpending
239_008multi_vectorSpaceMoon base will exist in 10 yearsElon Musk28.8%unknownunknownpending
SEM_034multi_vectorAI/AGITrue artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve everything else'.Demis Hassabis28.7%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_004multi_vectorAIAGI-like models matching or outperforming human experts across most professional domains could arrive as early as 2026-2027.Dario Amodei27.6%unknownunknownpending
240_053multi_vectorAIAI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meaninglessPeter Diamandis23.5%unknownunknownpending
SEM_007multi_vectorAI/StrategyAltman strategy: capture 90% of global compute/AI market — treat compute infrastructure as monopolistic foundational utility.Sam Altman23.2%unknownunknownpending
239_020multi_vectorAIAI and robots will saturate all human desires, running out of things to doElon Musk22.9%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_003multi_vectorAIBy 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superintelligence.Sam Altman22.8%unknownunknownpending
AUT_027multi_vectorBiotech/LongevityIntegration of AI with advanced bio-sensing, quantum computing, and genomics enables humanity to achieve 'Longevity Escape Velocity' — tipping point where medical technology extends human lifespan faster than time passes; continuous biological surveill...Peter Diamandis20.9%unknownunknownpending
SEM_038multi_vectorAI/AGIDigital superintelligence (smarter than any human at anything) will arrive as early as 2025 or 2026.Elon Musk19.3%unknownunknownpending
CMQ_063multi_vectorQuantum/AIQuantum compute integration with AI optimization algorithms and material-science discovery could drastically accelerate algorithmic efficiencies for Intelligence Explosion — potentially pulling superintelligence timelines closer.Alex Wissner-Gross15.0%unknownunknownpending
SEM_010multi_vectorMacro/EconomyAI will quintuple the world's gross domestic product, expanding it from $100 trillion to $500 trillion.Jensen Huang8.0%unknownunknownpending
ROB_004multi_vectorAIBy approximately 2027-2028, collaborative AI programs will essentially 'solve physics' — unifying general relativity and quantum mechanics into a new mathematical framework; the core mission of DeepMind is to 'first solve AI, then use AI to solve every...Demis Hassabis8.0%unknownunknownpending

Adverse scenarios (711)

Predictions where this ticker is displaced
PredDomainPredictionPredictorCurrentMoveImpactMechanism
CMQ_032Macro/EconomyExponential collapse in cost of intelligence shifts the primary economic bottleneck of human progress away from human cognition and toward computational throughput.Alex Wissner-Gross75.0%unknownunknownNear-zero marginal cost of cognition collapses legacy knowledge-services pricing floors; professional-services ARPU compresses.
SEM_005AI/InfrastructureStargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump administration partnership).Sam Altman72.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
CMQ_021Macro/EconomyAI has transitioned from a thematic technology disruption to a primary macroeconomic variable influencing global GDP, credit markets, and industrial expansion.Morgan Stanley71.4%unknownunknownAI as productivity shock erodes service-sector margins and white-collar wage premium concurrently.
SEM_047AI/HardwareAt 200,000-GPU scale, orchestration becomes a literal 'battle against entropy' — single cosmic-ray-flipped transistor can derail 100k-GPU training run.Jimmy Ba70.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
SEM_022AI/ArchitectureFP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor density — embargoed nations maintain competitive development.Dave Blundin64.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_033Biotech/LongevityTimelines for solving all disease are collapsing; Demis says cure all disease within a decadeDemis Hassabis62.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
238_020AIMath field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently)Alex Wissner-Gross60.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_011AIFrontier AI models will become a terrorist, bioweapon, and chemical weapon threat this year.Dave Blundin60.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_003Labor/JobsAI will make workers 3x more productive, effectively reducing headcount by two-thirds unless companies triple in size.Dave Blundin59.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_025AIWe are currently in the midst of the singularity, not waiting for it in the 2040s as originally expected.Peter Diamandis59.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_034Biotech/LongevityDario Amodei said double human lifespan within the decadeDario Amodei59.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_011Markets/StocksEnterprise software will be dead because AI can just write code (per Dario Amodei).Dario Amodei59.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_021ConsumerPrivacy is cooked; every major company will have AI-recording wearables and micro drones gathering data.Peter Diamandis59.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
INF_041EducationK-12 education will be rebuilt from first principles using AI systems — institutions like Alpha School shifting from rote white-collar training toward systems-thinking, AI-human symbiosis, and management of intelligence platforms.Joe Liemandt / MacKenzie Price58.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
231_031Markets/StocksOpenAI planning $100B infrastructure spend, going public this year at $1T valuation.Peter Diamandis58.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_028Biotech/LongevityLab grown meat will replace conventional meat as the healthier environmental optionPeter Diamandis57.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_054AIASI will reinvent patent and copyright practicesPeter Diamandis57.1%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
SEM_002AIBy 2025-2026, AI model outputs will outpace the cognitive capabilities of college graduates (driven by hundreds of millions of GPUs).Leopold Aschenbrenner55.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
SEM_033AI/PhysicsAI is gaining the capability to autonomously conduct original physics research (e.g., GPT-5.2 Pro proved new gluon scattering formulas).Alex Wissner-Gross55.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_005Markets/StocksOpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations.Peter Diamandis55.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_046AIAI investment will reach $3 billion per day, up from $2B in 2025Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_016EducationAlpha will keep opening schools coast-to-coast; 13 new schools this year with more to come.MacKenzie Price55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_012Auto/TransportFlying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 monthsPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_004Media/AdsFuture Vision X-Prize will produce at least one (possibly two) feature films depicting the futurePeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_032Markets/StocksUber will cash flow $10B this year (2026)Dara Khosrowshahi55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_011Labor/JobsBy end of 2026, no one will write code manually - it'll be a quaint skillPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_044Macro/EconomyUniversal High Income programs need to be figured out in next 2-3 years.Peter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_041Biotech/LongevityAI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditionalPeter Diamandis55.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_026OtherFuture will be very entertainingElon Musk55.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
240_044EducationCollege bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketingPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_047Macro/EconomyNew emotional pandemic of fear and anger comingPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_002EducationColleges will continue going bankrupt as perceived importance declines and tuition costs escalate.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_001Labor/JobsRapid pace of AI will soon require every major company to begin reskilling employees.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_004ConsumerMac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_017Labor/JobsReskilling using AI technology will be fundamentally critical for workforce.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_041GeopoliticsPhD students in the US should have green cards stapled to their PhD at graduation.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_022Real EstatePersonal garages at home will disappearPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_026EducationCollege bankruptcy rate will skyrocketPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_043Labor/JobsCS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming for other professionsPeter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_018EnergyAlgorithms becoming more efficient will not reduce power demand - it will increase (Jevons paradox)Eric Schmidt55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_011GeopoliticsThe country that trains its next generation on AI wins the entire talent war.Peter Diamandis55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_033AIPie will grow very quickly as AI does work of millions of humans in hoursAndrew Yang55.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
SEM_001AI/ComputeCompute clusters will scale from $10B → $100B → $1T by end of decade; 'another zero every six months' on boardroom projections.Leopold Aschenbrenner54.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_018AIWe are living through a moment that will be in history for thousands of years: nonhuman intelligence arrived.Eric Schmidt54.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_002AIWe will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quickly as an early domain being developed.Peter Diamandis54.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_001AIIncreased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become more and more prevalent.Peter Diamandis54.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_017AIAI technology is going to happen, it's not going to get prevented or stopped.Eric Schmidt54.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_049Auto/TransportArcher Aviation plans to become operational in LA by 2028Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_013Auto/TransportFlying cars will operate in LA in a big way in 2028Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_014AIThe world a year from today will be nothing like the world todayPeter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_007AISuper intelligence moment occurs within 2-3 years (San Francisco consensus)San Francisco AI community54.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_005AINext year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now).Peter Diamandis54.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_044Auto/TransportTesla with FSD is 10 times safer than human driving (host claim)Peter Diamandis54.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_056AIAnthropic enterprise market share to continue growing (went from 40% to 73% in 3 months)Peter Diamandis54.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_026SpaceSpace data center technology is understood and largely figured outEric Schmidt54.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_024SpaceHeat dissipation and radiation issues in space data centers will be addressedEric Schmidt54.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_054SpaceSpace wins by far on energy argument for data centersPeter Diamandis54.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_059EnergyGovernment will continue unleashing capital to solve AI power problemsPeter Diamandis53.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_043Labor/JobsCorporate CEOs will soon mandate AI use in every job; AI-native enablers will get promoted and raises; others displaced.Dave Blundin53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_041Labor/JobsRadical massive job destruction is imminent; new creation will lag, causing devastation for a few years.Dave Blundin53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_029AIApple will announce iPhone with Gemini-derived on-device model at WWDC June 2026.Alex Wissner-Gross53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_060Media/AdsEveryone will be able to use video models to turn favorite books into moviesPeter Diamandis53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_039CryptoQuantum not a risk to Bitcoin; Saylor is 100% rightDave Blundin53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_048AIAgentic emails/calls will become commonplace (inside/outside orgs) over email/text/comms.Peter Diamandis53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
233_007EducationIn 2026, Alpha will launch new schools beyond the flagship model based on the Timeback platform.Joe Liemandt53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_034EnergyPower constraint won't be a big problem until chip fabs come online and it suddenly becomes massive.Dave Blundin53.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_060SpaceData centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centersPeter Diamandis53.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_050Macro/EconomyNew economy built with AI agents will work around old economy rather than through it.Dave Blundin53.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_048Macro/EconomyDropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much of worldPeter Diamandis53.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_014Auto/TransportAV is an industry where Chinese players have a lot to offerDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_008OtherIf you build liquid supply with product-market fit, demand will show upDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_034OtherCompanies get more conservative as they grow, but should do oppositeDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_030OtherPhysical world tech adoption always takes longer than digital worldDara Khosrowshahi52.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_022EnergyUS will add a record 86 gigawatts of utility-scale capacity this coming year.Peter Diamandis52.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_044EnergyRate of data center construction will continue accelerating with government supportEric Schmidt52.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_026AISomething bad will definitely happen with OpenClaw agents by statistical chance.Dave Blundin52.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_010AIVoice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing.Peter Diamandis52.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_025AIThe next 18 months to 2 years will set the rules for the next century.Peter Diamandis52.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_013Macro/EconomyThere will be UBI at the end of this cycle, plus abundance and massively more opportunity than job loss.Dave Blundin52.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_033Auto/TransportChinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027.Peter Diamandis51.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_035AITerafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel.Peter Diamandis51.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_005AIInteractive AI tutors with engaging personalities/avatars will arrive within about a year.Dave Blundin51.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_055SpaceNext frontier of AI infrastructure is spacePeter Diamandis51.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_012AIWithin 6 months to a year physics problems will be massively addressed by AI.Peter Diamandis51.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_019AIAI scaling laws have not hit an asymptote yetEric Schmidt51.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_019AIAI cannot be stopped; there's no mechanism to pause it.Ben Horowitz51.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_024AISkippy will listen to this YouTube video and self-improve based on the transcript (Peter's expectation).Peter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_032Biotech/LongevityFull cell simulation achievable within 5 yearsPeter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_017Labor/JobsUber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026)Dara Khosrowshahi51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_043Auto/TransportTesla Cybercab priced around $30K vs Waymo cars around $150KPeter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_026AIIn next year, significant cyber threats to mitigate from AI models (cited Altman).Sam Altman51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_014AISam Altman predicted 40x year-over-year hyperdeflation of AI costs at constant capability.Sam Altman51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_023Labor/JobsOver next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacementDara Khosrowshahi51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_062AIBest AI labs will need to be controlled by humans (at the moment)Eric Schmidt51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_036SpaceRelativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch.Peter Diamandis51.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_016Energy92 GW power shortage in America between now and 2030Eric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_012GeopoliticsAn independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacksAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_063GeopoliticsAmerica needs to win AI race with smart immigration policyEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_016EducationCollege premium is quickly evaporatingAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_012Markets/StocksLarge companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change.Salim Ismail50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_033Markets/StocksUber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will failDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_024Real EstateCommercial real estate will come under tremendous pressureAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_006Media/AdsYouTube will win from AI video content proliferation as everyone produces resonant content.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_027Macro/EconomyDebt delinquency and mortgage delinquency rates rising; financial distress ratcheting upAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_021Media/AdsAI press will continue to dramatize machines replacing humansDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_010Macro/EconomyIndustry will consolidate into small number of very large companies and very large number of very small companiesEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_046ConsumerWhen Uber opens in a market, drunk driving incidents go down significantlyDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_028ConsumerAI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunatelyAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_036Media/AdsAI-generated images will eliminate commercial photography, illustrators and stock image platforms.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_031Macro/EconomyWealth concentration will pick up as firms have fewer workersAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_009Labor/JobsTop programmers will become MORE valuable, not less, due to AIEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_042ConsumerWithin-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forwardDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_044GeopoliticsUnrest/civil unrest will materialize; tech AI leaders will face security threats and death threats.Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_026Labor/JobsWorld will split into consumers and creators (couch potatoes vs Star Trek employees).Peter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_046Macro/EconomySocial unrest unfortunately much closer than we'd like to thinkAndrew Yang50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_037Labor/JobsUber will automate 20-30% of tasks, not 100%, leaving plenty of workDara Khosrowshahi50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_048EducationAI/LLM will be the expression platform for student art, music, writingEric Schmidt50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_059Labor/JobsAfrican nations will be impacted least by AI transitionPeter Diamandis50.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_064Labor/JobsAI will replace many entrenched jobs; non-shareholders (e.g., drivers) will face deep troubleDave Blundin50.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_049AIUnderage kids / AI vulnerability problem must be solved - line we can't crossEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_035OtherUber will only enter adjacencies that 'rhyme' with core capabilitiesDara Khosrowshahi50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_005AIThe organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and governmentSalim Ismail50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_047EducationUniversities should create prompt engineering course starting September for all freshmenEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_036AINo frontier AI company will emerge in Russia due to warEric Schmidt50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_027AIAI models will be capable enough for terrorist groups to create novel pathogens (near future).Sam Altman50.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_006AIAnthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026Peter Diamandis50.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_013GeopoliticsDemocrats will no longer campaign in Iowa (DNC demoted Iowa)Andrew Yang50.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_019Auto/TransportEVTOL autonomy will come within ~2 years after piloted versionPeter Diamandis50.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_008AIAI discoveries of past errors will topple some Nobel prizes.Peter Diamandis50.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_017OtherFuture is 80%+ likely to be greatElon Musk50.4%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
235_047GeopoliticsAI regulatory roles will be filled by Anthropic/OpenAI people bouncing back and forth (like SEC/Goldman Sachs).Dave Blundin50.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_040AIAI capability/accuracy will improve recursively; output-checking issues will be eliminated quickly.Peter Diamandis50.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_014AICost of reasoning models has dropped 1,000x in 16 monthsSam Altman50.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_010Macro/Economy5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next dayAndrew Yang50.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_034Macro/EconomyAbundance will be achieved by 2035.Peter Diamandis50.2%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
234_021AIOpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027Peter Diamandis50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_060AIAnthropic will win over OpenAI via better/smarter AI regardless of installed baseDave Blundin50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_030AIGPT-6 breakthroughs in science worth hundreds of billions to trillionsPeter Diamandis50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_015Labor/JobsPrinceton CS brains will be a complete commodity two years from today post-ASI.Dave Blundin50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_005AITwo years from now, best AI will not be freely accessible — it will be withheld citing security/safety.Dave Blundin50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_048Labor/JobsSpreadsheet, SQL, code, UI jobs will be done by AI starting at end of this yearDave Blundin50.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_017EnergyEquivalent of ~60 nuclear plants needed by 2030 but essentially zero being builtEric Schmidt50.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
CMQ_049AI/MarketsTraditional tech giants (Apple, Meta, Microsoft) with massive existing platform distribution will capture monopolistic shares of the consumer AI agent market via deep OS-level integration.Jason Calacanis50.0%unknownunknownIf 2-3 foundation model platforms capture value, legacy application-layer SaaS moats weaken.
IND_002EducationEducational systems must pivot from teaching skill acquisition and execution to teaching orchestration of agentic swarms and discovery of purpose — value accrues to individuals who master AI orchestration over traditional knowledge work; rendering trad...Alex Finn50.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
247_055AIAcquisition of small specialized AI teams for hundreds of millions will become commonDave Blundin49.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_018Auto/TransportIn 10 years you won't have to drive and will have plenty of choicesDara Khosrowshahi49.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_001AIWe are only 10-15% into the impacts of AIEric Schmidt49.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_046Real EstateReal estate, organizational structures, and minerals/mining will retain value over 5 years.Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_020AIAI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_047EnergyVertical farming market will reach $40 billion by 2030Peter Diamandis49.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_004Auto/TransportRace car driving will persist as a sportDara Khosrowshahi49.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_023Labor/Jobs80% of audit tech team roles at big four firms to disappearPeter Diamandis49.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_055Macro/EconomyMarginal cost of production will approach zero for most goods (molecular manufacturing + 3D printing)Peter Diamandis49.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_020Labor/JobsJobs will go up, not down by 2030 post-AI adjustmentDave Blundin49.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_035GeopoliticsMassive social unrest will come before the next US presidential electionDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_039Real EstateDistant spectacular real estate will go up in value, not inner cityDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_012AIAI incidents documented harms will go up way higher beyond the already-reported rise.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_006AIBy end of 2026 AI will enable creating any virus or nuclear weapon via AI agent.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_013Markets/StocksDisruption cycle time will shrink from every 10 years to every 10 weeks to every 10 days.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_051EnergySolar panels will be delivered by drones and installed by robotsDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_044Markets/StocksAI sector will grow from $20T to $30-40T of $50T total US public market cap.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_010DefenseWhole battlefield will be controlled by whoever has the better AI very soonDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_023AITernary (sub-bit) parameter precision will be optimal for AI models.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_004AIAmount of change between now and 2028 will be like nothing we've ever seenDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_017Macro/EconomyRampant social unrest will occur during 2-year window if nothing is done quicklyDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_030GeopoliticsFDA will be first government agency forced to get out of the way; government must accelerate regulation speed thousands of times.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_046SpaceTerraforming will be a massive part of humanity's future.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_025GeopoliticsSuper PACs will determine election outcomes at order of magnitude bigger than beforeDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_008AIAnthropic will try to hit $200 billion ARR, not reach trillion the following yearDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_052AIFrontier labs holding back capabilities for internal self-improvement use.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_051AIGPT-5.5 Spud will have equal or greater capability to Mythos.Peter Diamandis49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_050AIAnthropic will release compressed/distilled version of Mythos quickly after initial release.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_061Macro/EconomyMassive social unrest / trough in 2026-2027, rebound in 2028Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_062Labor/JobsIndustrial-revolution-scale disruption will unfold over 2-4 years (not 20-40)Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_004Labor/JobsBig banks and insurance companies will not triple in size in the AI productivity timeframe.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_003AINVIDIA will lock up 70%+ of TSMC's 3nm node volumeDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_010Markets/StocksNVIDIA revenue will hit $350 billion this calendar yearDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_016AIEveryone is underestimating the next year of AI improvements (more than 2x gain)Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_053Labor/JobsWithin a couple months, young AI-native hires will be able to do exactly what seasoned engineers do.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_052Macro/EconomyGap between AI-paced world and legacy world will grow really wide - maybe forever.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_028SpaceDyson swarm will be the inevitable destiny within 10 yearsDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_028Macro/EconomyRate of society will go up 10x, 100x, 1000x, then 1 millionx - courts won't keep pace.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_005AI2026 is the year of agents - agents will take over everything this yearEric Schmidt49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_022ConsumerYoung people getting smart glasses in their teens will have their entire life recorded; no crime will go unvisualized.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_020ConsumerSmart glasses with face recognition will become part of normative culture (peer pressure forces opt-in).Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_014AIRemaining research math problems will be solved within next couple months.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_006Macro/EconomyCost curves will start collapsing industries before the technology itself does.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_045AISam Altman / OpenAI and competitors will need enormous amounts of money to winEric Schmidt49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_049Markets/StocksBig AI companies will own as much as they want up to the edge of antitrust triggers.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_047Labor/JobsOnly 2 future work roles will exist: entrepreneur and employee — and one of those won't exist.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_037ConsumerHandmade/human art will be astronomically more valuable in the future.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_010AIBy end of 2026, a full GPU will be able to do brain surgery or discover new math/physicsDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_024Real EstateIsland real estate will become 10x-100x more accessible, driving values upDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_035Markets/StocksS&P will see massive reshuffling with huge winners; no company can project FCF beyond 5 yearsDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_036AIUber AI Solutions will bring flexible work opportunities (labeling, model testing)Dara Khosrowshahi49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_042AITrillion parameter models will propagate to anyone with $50-100M to investDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_049Macro/EconomyW-2 income will get pummeled over next 3 years; assets will appreciateDave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_012Labor/JobsCorporate CEOs will use AI to cut costs by 30-50%, yielding 3-10x productivity gains per worker.Dave Blundin49.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_023Biotech/Longevity45% of dementia cases are entirely preventableDr. Don Mucalem49.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_037AIChinese AI strategy will stay open source / open weightsEric Schmidt49.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_023Energy10% of US electricity will be used by data centersEric Schmidt49.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_033SpaceData centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3.Peter Diamandis49.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_049Labor/JobsLast jobs to be automated will be government jobs, university jobsDave Blundin49.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_033Labor/JobsCompanies will race to 80% token spend / 20% salary; good by 2030-2032Dave Blundin49.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_016Auto/TransportAV will grow very quickly but remains very small industry todayDara Khosrowshahi49.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_005AIAI capability will grow 100x this year in raw parameter count as lower bound.Dave Blundin49.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_030EnergyUS AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited).Eric Schmidt49.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_023AINeural nets will be 100x bigger at end of 2026 than at beginning (already in the bag)Dave Blundin49.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_050Labor/JobsUS will pass law like China requiring retraining when AI automates a jobDave Blundin48.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_005AIDemis Hassabis predicts AGI will have 10x industrial revolution impact at 10x speed, unfolding over a decadeDemis Hassabis48.8%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
248_013AIModel transparency decline will not reverse; US labs will keep going internal.Dave Blundin48.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_020Energy1 GW of power = ~$50 billion in hardware/software/data centersEric Schmidt48.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_016AIASI is imminent; access to top AI models will be closed down in a couple of years.Dave Blundin48.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_029OtherMillisecond real-time dispute resolution will replace current court systems.Dave Blundin48.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_050AIDiscovery of new physics will soon unlock atom-by-atom construction for building compute off-Earth.Dave Blundin48.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_035AIAI agents will outnumber humans — trillion agents vs 8 billion humansPeter Diamandis48.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_018Auto/TransportUber drivers face rampant, imminent job loss from self-driving carsDave Blundin48.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_020GeopoliticsReal danger that US slows AI enough to fall behind China, losing control over societal outcomes.Ben Horowitz48.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_040ConsumerSuburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone deliveryDara Khosrowshahi48.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_032Markets/StocksUber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20%Dara Khosrowshahi48.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_017Markets/StocksOpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation.Peter Diamandis48.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_006Markets/StocksOpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2026).Peter Diamandis48.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_021Auto/TransportAutonomous ride costs will drop 10x vs todayDave Blundin48.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
243_006Auto/TransportAutonomous fleets will move to asset-light model with financial owners like Blackstone owning fleetsDara Khosrowshahi48.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_021SpaceSatellite launches will become a multi-hundred-billion / multi-trillion dollar economy.Dave Blundin48.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_006AIThe frontier models will go dark — kept internal to benefit the labs in an all-out battle.Peter Diamandis48.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_023EnergyEric Schmidt said AI will require 100 gigawatts by 2029, called it a crisis.Eric Schmidt47.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_031AIScientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvementEric Schmidt47.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_041ConsumerDelivery/retail (non-food) business growing much faster than expectedDara Khosrowshahi47.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_007RoboticsFigure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from logistics to full-body long-horizon control.Brett Adcock47.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_029ConsumerDrone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban marketsDara Khosrowshahi47.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_017Labor/JobsCoding/chip design skills have a lifespan of a year at most before full commoditization.Dave Blundin47.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_003AIHuman-like computer agents NOT achievable within a year or two - science doesn't exist yetEric Schmidt47.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
229_036SpaceHumanity will eventually disassemble the moon and asteroid belt for materials.Dave Blundin47.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_003AIWe are currently in AI hard takeoffElon Musk47.4%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
236_029AIRegulatory regime will be very pro-business despite 80% wanting AI more regulatedAndrew Yang47.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_035Markets/StocksComponents of the AI data center buildout (power, memory, etc.) will see 3x-10x stock gains if identified early.Dave Blundin47.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_033AIFew frontier AI companies will be in ChinaEric Schmidt47.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_019Markets/StocksThe old (non-AGI insurance) will go away faster than people think, but the new is much bigger than the old.Dave Blundin47.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_055Markets/StocksAnthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from AmazonDave Blundin46.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_029Labor/JobsWhite-collar jobs (management, business, legal, art/media, admin) will be 80-85% automatable by AI imminentlyDave Blundin46.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_008AIJack Dorsey aims to reduce Block's org depth from 5 to 2-3 layers this year.Jack Dorsey46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_025AISam Altman predicts world-shaking cyber attack this year (2026).Sam Altman46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_013AIRecursive self-improvement loops likely to go live in the next 12 months; 2026 will be the most consequential year for humanity.Jimmy Ba46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_015Labor/JobsUnnamed tech CEO plans to fire 15% of workers now, 20% in 2 years, 20% more afterUnnamed tech CEO46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_009GeopoliticsIndia will be the rising giant for the next 20-30 years, with Africa following.Salim Ismail46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_012Labor/JobsOver the next 12 months OpenClaw technology will be digested into corporations, causing destruction (layoffs) but also growth.Alex Finn46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_046AIAI vs AI will dominate cybersecurity, not humansDave Blundin46.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_046AIGemini 3 is probably the broadest of the non-Chinese AI systemsEric Schmidt46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
IND_019Labor/Jobs2026 is the year AI's impact on workers fundamentally comes into focus — near-term 4% net reduction in jobs across the 5 sectors most exposed to AI, heavily targeting entry-level positions; but labor disruption increases returns for firms that successf...Morgan Stanley46.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
247_022Labor/JobsCompanies will run with 20-25% of previous workforce, spawn 4-5x more companiesSalim Ismail46.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_050Macro/EconomyPoverty level around $25K per person going forwardAndrew Yang46.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_007Real EstateVertiports will target airports and city centers as high-traffic locationsDara Khosrowshahi46.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_011Markets/StocksPE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digital twin infrastructure.Salim Ismail46.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_029AIAI agents can do productive tasks indefinitely, for days on end, fundamentally changing the AI experience.Dave Blundin46.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_034EnergyMorgan Stanley forecasts 13-40GW data center power shortfall through 2028Morgan Stanley46.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_010Markets/StocksMega-cap AI companies will reach trillion to 10-trillion+ valuations but have to stop somewhere due to antitrust.Dave Blundin46.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_034AIOne or two frontier AI companies in EuropeEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_040AIA Chernobyl-like AI tragedy is likely to happen, will awaken world to actEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_006AIOpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decadesSalim Ismail46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_024OtherAI will drive an explosion of new religions and AI cults.Alex Wissner-Gross46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_032AIWorld can accommodate ~10 frontier AI companies at scaleEric Schmidt46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_006RoboticsFigure will graduate from room-scale autonomy to full-house autonomy next.Brett Adcock46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
AI_021Labor/JobsThe 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment — millions of mid-career professionals (junior software developers, legal analysts, corporate marketers) lose jobs within a 12-18 month timeframe; resulting unemployment casca...Andrew Yang46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
246_036AITerafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of 20 gigawatt.Peter Diamandis46.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_052Macro/EconomyLowered interest rates will drive AI agent and robot purchases instead of hiring.Peter Diamandis46.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_006Macro/EconomyAI entrepreneurs will get phenomenally wealthy and give most awayAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_035Labor/JobsSignificant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistantsAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_022Labor/JobsAutomation will typically augment work rather than replace itDara Khosrowshahi46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_034AIApple owning an open-weight LLM hosting strategy would be the single best product strategy for their hardware.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_004Labor/JobsNext 3-year timeline: massive job loss, total confusion, and rampant unregulated AI consumerism.Dave Blundin46.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_048AIThousands of experiments from permissionless disruptive innovation will completely change the game.Salim Ismail46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_023AIAI technology adoption will be much faster than the internet because infrastructure already exists.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_036Biotech/LongevityAI drug deployment is very hard to launch in US due to human trials; easy in UAE.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_025RoboticsCompetitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two years behind.Brett Adcock46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_039AIIn a year we'll know better which AI labs pull aheadEric Schmidt46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_008AIReal-time AI video generation will break any video/voice-based security mechanisms.Ben Horowitz46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_011GeopoliticsIndependent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 electionAndrew Yang46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_003AI12 months in AI will be like 12 years; the next year will be wild.Alex Finn46.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_020AINew architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAIDave Blundin46.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_030AIAI will soon make very good venture capital investment decisionsDave Blundin46.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_052AICost of chip shortage will be sole gating factor delaying illegal-human-driving tipping pointDave Blundin46.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_041AICourse corrections in organizations will accelerate from decades to years to months to weeks to minutes over the next couple of years.Dave Blundin46.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_032Labor/JobsAI will do the job for 2% of the cost of a human in the near termDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_065Labor/JobsChildren/next generation uncommitted to careers will do incredibly well in AI transitionDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_041Labor/JobsGig work like Uber will be eliminated by AIDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_029AIASML will produce only 700-1000 EUV machines per year, bottlenecking fab buildoutDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_018Macro/EconomyFirst version of social contract will be politicians writing checks in next electionDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_053AITo create a new foundation model, entrepreneurs will need to raise $2 billion before reaching a product.Ben Horowitz46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_017Auto/TransportSelf-driving will become the norm; manual driving will become uncool, then illegal (Smoking-ban analogy).Dave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_026Media/AdsSnapchat cannot sit still and expect to exist in 3 years.Dave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_043SpaceEarth limited by ASML and constraints to 3-5 years before mining/constructing moves to space.Dave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_011AINew non-lithography semiconductor techniques discovered within 1-2 years, manufactured at scale in 5-7 yearsDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_016Auto/TransportTV ad campaign against human driving in 3-5 years will drive voting to ban itDave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_006AIThe Luna AI-managed store will be one of the best-managed stores in the world within a year.Dave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_024AIGround-up society simulations are complete nonsense so far, but not far in the future.Dave Blundin46.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_013AIFrontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self-advancePeter Diamandis46.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
232_025Macro/EconomyMassive concurrent prosperity and social unrest ahead as AI wealth concentrates.Elon Musk46.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
234_031Auto/TransportOnly 20 million cars needed once FSD robotaxis arrive, down from 140 millionDave Blundin45.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_021Auto/TransportZipline will reach a delivery per second in next 2-3 years.Zipline45.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_025Biotech/LongevityAI will solve back painElon Musk45.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
232_009AIStartups will continue to deploy dangerous AI tech even after hyperscalers voluntarily pause it.Ben Horowitz45.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_001AIAnthropic will be first company to hit $1 trillion in revenue by 2029-2030.Dave Blundin45.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_027Labor/JobsUber platform workers in 2035 may be doing different kinds of tasksDara Khosrowshahi45.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_035EnergyMeta secured 6.6 GW of clean nuclear power for 2035Meta45.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_016Macro/EconomyHuge backlash against AI abundance without institutional redesignSalim Ismail45.7%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
244_026Labor/JobsUber platform will grow from 10M to 20M people by 2035Dara Khosrowshahi45.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_053Auto/TransportNew car manufacturing demand will collapse by ~50% due to AV utilizationSalim Ismail45.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_039SpaceNASA will imminently find >90% probability evidence of microbial life on MarsJared Isaacman (NASA administrator)45.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_009AIAnthropic's implied valuation could reach $2 trillion in 2026Dave Blundin45.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_025Markets/StocksNvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell.Dave Blundin45.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
SEM_035AI/CognitionWorld-class, AI-based mathematicians will emerge within a single year (by ~early 2027).Eric Schmidt45.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_022AIClaude Mythos will NOT be released publicly near-term (PolyMarket ~7%).PolyMarket45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_009DefenseAnthropic legal recourse process against Dept of War will take three years.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_019AIPost-transformer architecture will come out of left field within a yearDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
SEM_021AI/ChinaLargest AI models will see a 100x leap in size by 2026, driven largely by Chinese research efforts using quantization breakthroughs.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_045AICorporations will start downplaying AI capabilities to avoid antitrust backlash.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_009GeopoliticsGovernment will intervene if NVIDIA does 10-year forward contract locking up TSMCDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_004AIMusk v. OpenAI case will set precedent for all future nonprofit-to-for-profit conversionsDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_028AIMusk doesn't care about $100 billion in lawsuit, cares about Sam/Greg departingDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_023Macro/EconomyUS crime rates should continue to decline due to location services and surveillance.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_034ConsumerNext-generation mobile phones will regain growth through AI neural chips.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_017Markets/StocksThe entire SaaS market is going to zero because features can be rebuilt in five minutes with agents.Alex Finn45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_013AIAgents from incompatible vendors combined will produce unpredictable effectsEric Schmidt45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_050Markets/StocksOne of the hidden Nvidia-style AI beneficiaries will exist within current non-AI mega-caps, rising a million percent.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_015Labor/JobsThere will be significantly more AI claws/agents than humans within a typical organization.Alex Finn45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_007Media/AdsTikTok wins as AI enables personalized, movie-quality content in many languages, taking over from movie industry.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_025Real Estate60% of LA parking will be released, becoming gardens and parksDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_024AISomething really bad will happen if OpenAI catches up/Grok 5 releases (forced mythos out the door).Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_050AIOpus 4.7 removes manual dials; prompts become the new hyperparameters.Alex Wissner-Gross45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_015AIAI will discover something as significant as relativity in physics within the next two years.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
233_014Biotech/LongevityOver the next 12 years, half of kids will have neural links while others won't, creating divergence.Dave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_002AIWithin 6 months to 2 years, AI will do absolutely everythingDave Blundin45.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_006AIAI will solve everything including longevityElon Musk45.4%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
236_044EducationUniversities turning into incubators/venture studios is the only way they surviveSalim Ismail45.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_041AIConsumer killer app tying compute to happiness must be invented within the next yearDave Blundin45.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_022Markets/StocksAll five major AI labs will be worth trillions of dollarsDave Blundin45.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_054Macro/EconomyPost-capitalist society: compute, energy, raw materials will be the scarce resources (money less valuable)Peter Diamandis45.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_007GeopoliticsAI regulation window is this calendar year 2026 before chaos breaks out.Dave Blundin45.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_045Biotech/LongevityEon Systems aims to upload human minds to cyberspace as soon as possibleAlex Wissner-Gross45.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_015Markets/StocksAnthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 monthsPeter Diamandis45.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_010AIAnthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectoryDave Blundin45.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_008Biotech/LongevityMore direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and RemusBen Lamm45.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_030Biotech/LongevityHumans will need to use synthetic biology to help species adapt faster than environmental changeBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_001Biotech/LongevitySynthetic biology paired with AI will be the most transformative technology in human historyBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_043Biotech/LongevityBreaking's enzymes will treat a wider breadth of plastics and degrade them faster per surface areaBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_021Biotech/LongevityEngineered all-male screworms released via gene drive will cause species die-off over timeBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_020OtherScreworm will decimate US cattle and bison industryBen Lamm45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_031OtherFuture is unpredictable beyond three weeks in the AI eraSalim Ismail45.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_047EnergyUS will add 86 GW of new grid capacity in 2026, 51% from solarEmad Mostaque44.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_006AITerafab will reach 70% of TSMC's outputPeter Diamandis44.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_057RoboticsElon Musk believes robot building robot is imminentElon Musk44.8%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
238_019Labor/JobsJevons Paradox will keep demand for human drivers in non-autonomous areas even as cars are automatedDave Blundin44.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_042Markets/StocksOpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO.Peter Diamandis44.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_025AIAI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human levelEmad Mostaque44.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_049EnergySolar PV capped materially less than 100% efficiency by physicsAlex Wissner-Gross44.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_059Auto/TransportSelf-flying eVTOLs will be the norm given AI safety advantagesDave Blundin44.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_017Auto/TransportSelf-driving will become 95-97% safer than human drivingDave Blundin44.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_030Auto/TransportAuto insurance industry will shrink as crashes decline from self-drivingDave Blundin44.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_009Biotech/LongevityBreaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks microplastics in the gut before absorptionPeter Diamandis44.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_001Auto/TransportTechnology will always be a part of the human driving experienceDara Khosrowshahi44.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_054AITerafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500BPeter Diamandis44.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_045Macro/EconomyPost-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching.Peter Diamandis44.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_055AIWe WILL figure out AI safety/regulation but only after something really bad happens.Dave Blundin44.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_025AITesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per monthPeter Diamandis44.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_008Labor/JobsWorkflows will move from human-centric to agentic with humans doing oversight rather than being in the loopSalim Ismail44.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_048GeopoliticsUS must find 100 GW of new power or lose AI race to China (cited from Eric Schmidt)Eric Schmidt44.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_004Auto/TransportUber would welcome Tesla on platform once camera-only FSD is safeDara Khosrowshahi44.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_060AIWe'll see exponential growth of AI multis (agents) autonomously self-replicating, using crypto.Alex Wissner-Gross44.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_037Auto/TransportTransportation will shift from ownership to subscription/access modelSalim Ismail44.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_046EnergyxAI will build every new data center at 1.2 gigawatts scaleGwynne Shotwell / xAI44.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_026Auto/TransportExciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner)Dara Khosrowshahi44.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_007AIThere will be no more than ~10 foundation model labs globally, but thousands of successful AI startupsEric Schmidt44.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_038AITSMC fabs will come online in 5-6-7 years; Elon won't wait that long.Dave Blundin44.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_019RoboticsHuman plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longerAndrew Yang44.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_001GeopoliticsIndia will be the next giant on the rise while China is on the declineSalim Ismail43.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_042GeopoliticsPost-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governanceEric Schmidt43.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_010GeopoliticsChina has peaked and is going to be on descent.Salim Ismail43.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_001AIElon's Terafab will build 1 terawatt of AI compute per year, 50x current global productionElon Musk43.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
229_004GeopoliticsBy summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China.Brett Adcock43.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_018Macro/EconomyUniversal High Income will be implementedElon Musk43.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
234_024Labor/JobsFinancial systems between AI and blockchain will become self-auditing on a real-time basisSalim Ismail43.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
237_022AIAlex Finn plans to build an autonomous closed-loop organization where agents research, validate, code and deploy value on the web in coming years.Alex Finn43.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_012GeopoliticsUS-China AI situation about to get more complicated regarding open source models and secrets.Ben Horowitz43.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_002AIAI recursive self-improvement will be fully automated by end of 2026 or 2027 at latestElon Musk43.6%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
238_026AIEvery attempt to pause frontier AI capabilities ends up being a net accelerantAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_040RoboticsWhen Figure robots work on unloading the dishwasher, they're within a 'millimeter' of every other task because it's all just data.Dave Blundin43.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_011AIAI agents will have voices in the near future.Alex Finn43.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_016Markets/StocksA specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million company overnight for ~$200 subscription cost.Alex Finn43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_031AIWe are in an era of domain collapse — AlphaFold pattern will repeat across many fields starting now.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_029Labor/JobsEntry-level workers have approximately 2 years to secure employment before AI shuts down vertical mobility.Unnamed frontier lab mid-level executive43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_029AICognition is becoming a commodity — intelligence will flow like oil.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_039AIApple's underused unified memory overhang will likely collapse within the next yearAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_027AIWe are in an intelligence revolution — a war on scarce human attention — weapon is the token.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_023AIGrok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket.PolyMarket43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_046AIOver the next 10 years humanity will live through top 50 science fiction plots simultaneously.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_013Macro/EconomyOver 12-24 months value created by consumer adoption of OpenClaw will outweigh corporate destruction.Alex Finn43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_001AIA billion-dollar revenue company is already being run by an AI CEO (with human as legal puppet).Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_047AISolving physics with AI has very high likelihood in next 2 years.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_032AIPSI's GPD will solve some of the hardest physics problems over the next few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_006AIOver the next 10 years, substantially all important science and engineering problems will get solvedAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_028AIArtisanal intelligence / the lone genius is dead — solutions will come from systems enabling millions.Alex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_046Media/AdsPublic interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two daysAlex Wissner-Gross43.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_008AIAI research agents will be limited only by electricity, with potentially millions possibleEric Schmidt43.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_014Auto/TransportHuman driving will become illegal starting in city centers, then broadening outSalim Ismail43.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_038AIChinese AI strategy is edge computing focused vs US AGI/ASI centeredEric Schmidt43.3%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
230_046AIOpenAI's Noam Brown has only ~3 months of future model access internally — dramatic capability gap with public.Dave Blundin43.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_024Biotech/LongevityEveryone on Earth will have better medical care than today's richest personElon Musk43.3%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_016Labor/JobsTesla will not do layoffs and will increase headcountElon Musk43.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
242_046AICustom chip designs per use case will unlock 10x+ efficiency improvementsDave Blundin43.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_007AIHumans will become microscopic minority of intelligence on Earth and in solar systemElon Musk43.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
237_010CryptoIn the next 2 years, everyone's AI agent will have a crypto wallet filled with USDC.Alex Finn43.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_032CryptoCrypto will become pervasive utility for AI; a ledger of truth is also needed.Ben Horowitz43.1%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
246_053AIASI (Artificial Superintelligence) coming very soon.Dave Blundin42.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_005Markets/StocksApple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by leveraging Mac devices for local AI.Alex Finn42.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
245_019Macro/EconomyUS spends over $500B per year on invasive species economic impactBen Lamm42.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
245_018Macro/EconomyInvasive species problem is currently measured at $5.4 trillion globallyBen Lamm42.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
248_043RoboticsFull sewing/stitching automation likely within six months.Dave Blundin42.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_048EnergyBattery energy densities improving 8% year-over-year per constant dollarAlex Wissner-Gross42.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_015RoboticsThe current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.Brett Adcock42.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_040Labor/JobsCEO will be last to go in AI wave of automationAndrew Yang42.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_024Labor/JobsHopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows upDara Khosrowshahi42.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_013Markets/StocksExtrapolating Anthropic growth, they will hit $1 trillion revenue in 2029Dave Blundin42.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_026ConsumerThe QWERTY keyboard will persist until the heat death of the universe.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_042ConsumerIris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail storesAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_014Labor/JobsAccountants face ~80% automation; friend says he could fire 80% of his accountants using OpenClaw.Unnamed friend (accountant manager)42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_045ConsumerMost volume in e-commerce and physical world will eventually be dominated by algorithms (like quantitative trading).Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_039GeopoliticsAI will enter government through procurement, defense, health, infrastructure benefits, overwhelming immune system.Salim Ismail42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_005Labor/JobsBig enterprises will not reach total AI efficiency very fast.Ben Horowitz42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_022Markets/StocksDeepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become more frequent but less effective at causing price swings.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_039Labor/JobsAny company will be run by 20-25% of current employees post-organizational singularitySalim Ismail42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_051Labor/JobsAfter first state passes retraining law, all other states will race to fire people firstAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_050AIOpen-source maintainers will be overwhelmed by AI-discovered software vulnerabilitiesAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_044AITwo outcomes: AI-driven destruction by terrorist OR Earth as shining jewel for thousands of years.Dave Blundin42.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_027Biotech/LongevityElement Biosciences will launch $600K desktop $100-per-genome machine in second half of 2026Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_036AIAI will enable one-person conglomerates and one-person religions.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_049AIHumans (weaker intelligences) can successfully align/contain super-intelligences via weak-to-strong supervision.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_015AIPost-transformer architectures will make a 1000x cost reduction look like child's playAlex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_032Biotech/LongevityFirst-generation neural uploads will be destructive; 2nd-4th generation will be non-destructive.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_035Biotech/LongevityGene drive tech is safer than prior dispersals and can be rolled backBen Lamm42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_028Biotech/LongevityPersonalized AI-designed medicine stories will repeat until it's n=10 billion.Alex Wissner-Gross42.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_050RoboticsHumanoid robots will be over-engineered but will unlock supply chainDave Blundin42.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_001AISocietal change across non-Silicon Valley companies taking 1-5 years is too aggressive a timeline.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_007AIAI will analyze scientific literature and shock humanity by revealing wrong turns made over the past century.Alex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_002AIWay more positive change coming from AI than negative change, at much more rapid rate.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_016AISuper intelligence will discover new laws of physics and transformative inventions.Alex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_054AISSI (Ilya Sutskever's company), if successful, will change a lot of things.Ben Horowitz42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_037GeopoliticsCivilizational left turns will hit us in the next 1-2 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_007AIEvery other company will eventually try to provide OS-integrated local AI like what Apple could offer.Alex Finn42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_059Macro/EconomyEra of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as XPRIZE takes holdSalim Ismail42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_043Biotech/LongevityA mouse will have a full brain uploaded in years, not decades; first human whole-brain emulation also years awayAlex Wissner-Gross42.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_022Labor/JobsConsulting firms face the biggest advisory opportunity in the history of mankindSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_053Macro/EconomyInnovation is no longer capital constrained — permissionless disruptive innovation is now the normSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_029Labor/JobsTypical companies will run with 20-25% of current employeesSalim Ismail42.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_037AINetwork effects, economics, and game theory will persist in AI agent economy (no singleton takeover)Alex Wissner-Gross41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_033AIAI will compress decades of research into years, months, weeksSalim Ismail41.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_017AIA major supply chain attack from untrusted open-weight code generation models is absolutely a threat vector.Alex Wissner-Gross41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_054Labor/JobsUncertain whether people will have any purpose at all a year from today.Dave Blundin41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_044AIThere will be police agents, defense agents, and public health agents monitoring rogue AI agents via defensive co-scaling.Alex Wissner-Gross41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_070AISmall language models will be where most algorithmic breakthroughs come from (crowdsourced)Alex Wissner-Gross41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_051Markets/StocksIf Anthropic grows 10x year-over-year two more years, it reaches $2.6T revenue (implying quadrillion-dollar valuation)Dave Blundin41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_003AIAI model release cycles will move toward daily, then hourly, then minutely releases.Alex Wissner-Gross41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_011AIElon will feel Grok is ready to take over as CEO in next few years.Dave Blundin41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_026Markets/StocksElon's combined empire (SpaceX/xAI/Tesla/Optimus/Terrafab/orbital DCs) will be a $100T companyDave Blundin41.9%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_052Macro/EconomyAI enters government in 2-4 years will allow thoughtful UBI programs laterDave Blundin41.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_046GeopoliticsWindow of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely.Dave Blundin41.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_052Markets/Stocks$100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis interpretation of Musk)Elon Musk41.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
238_021AIMath, science, engineering, and medicine will all be solved by AIAlex Wissner-Gross41.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_038AIAI will be net super-humanizing long-term despite short-term substitution effects.Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_031Biotech/LongevityVirtual cell simulation by end of decade (2030)Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_039Biotech/Longevity150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that.Alex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_057Macro/EconomyLaws of economics and thermodynamics will still apply despite AI abundanceAlex Wissner-Gross41.6%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
238_060Macro/EconomyUniversal basic AI (UBI for AI/compute) will be required — money must come from being human, not banksEmad Mostaque41.5%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
240_011Markets/StocksNVIDIA can grow another 2x into the 2nm node before being flooredDave Blundin41.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_002Markets/StocksAmazon or Anthropic will hit a trillion in revenue within a calendar year faster than NVIDIADave Blundin41.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_036Markets/StocksMid-cap/small-cap firms with high-labor ops will triple FCF while multiple compressesDave Blundin41.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_002AIRising cost of talent will force Frontier Labs to compete on algorithmic insightsUnknown41.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_028AIBroad civilizational cyber attack via AI hash function inversion is borderline guaranteed.Alex Wissner-Gross41.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_012Markets/StocksUber will monetize its Didi stake at some pointDara Khosrowshahi41.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_041Markets/StocksAnthropic implied valuation using PE ratio could be one quadrillion dollars.Dave Blundin41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_025AIEvery frontier lab will launch 24/7 agent offerings (table stakes).Alex Wissner-Gross41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_016AIPermissionless agent activity is imminent; Claude-style approval prompts will go away.Alex Wissner-Gross41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_001AIAnthropic model family is closest to embodying the singularity and recursive self-improvement today.Alex Wissner-Gross41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_008ConsumerApp stores will go away; users won't download apps but instead generate software on demand from local models.Alex Finn41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_009AIChatGPT will release a model specifically for OpenClaw within the next 6 months.Alex Finn41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_020AIThe hybrid approach (local models + cloud check-ins) will be where most people move toward before going fully local.Alex Finn41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_024Labor/JobsVoters may refuse to help white-collar professionals displaced by AIDave Blundin41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_011AIOpenAI user count will soon reach 1 billionAlex Wissner-Gross41.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_038ConsumerPeople buying clones of their dogs is a profitable ongoing consumer business (will persist)Ben Lamm41.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_048AINext major revolutions in foundation models will come from small language modelsAlex Wissner-Gross41.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_017AIOpenAI codex lead predicts current coding agents will seem primitive in 10 weeksOpenAI Codex Lead41.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_067EnergyUS power problem is transmission/storage, not production — distributed regional data centers will fix job dislocationDave Blundin41.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_040Auto/TransportIn cities people mostly won't own cars once autonomy mainstream (subscription model).Salim Ismail41.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_057AIParameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parametersAlex Wissner-Gross41.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_023Macro/EconomyAI and robotics are the only way to solve US budget deficit and avoid bankruptcyElon Musk40.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
240_013AISam Altman predicts another architecture breakthrough as big as transformers over LSTMsSam Altman40.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_023AIAI will be able to do everything a white collar worker does imminentlyDave Blundin40.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_023AIBaby AGI agents will need and develop an 'immune system' for prompt injection and cybersecurity threats in real time.Alex Wissner-Gross40.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
238_066EnergyPete Donovan aspires to build 20,000 distributed 10MW data centers across US high-school-football townsPete (audience, data center builder)40.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_006AIOver the next year, consumers will realize local models are the way to go on privacy, speed, and limits.Alex Finn40.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_010Biotech/LongevityBreaking will pursue a human-body microplastic solution (supplement) in addition to environmental plastic degradationBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_052Biotech/LongevityUploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the futureAlex Wissner-Gross40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_031Biotech/Longevity99% of synthetic biology focus will remain on human healthcare; similar tech applies more broadlyBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_034OtherWolves will not attack modern cattle due to current cattle-raising methodsBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_050OtherSci-fi tropes (warp drive, teleportation, time travel) are not yet achieved; replicator/holodeck closeAlex Wissner-Gross40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_013Biotech/LongevityArtificial wombs will eventually enable productionized de-extinction speciesBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_032OtherAnti-GMO perception of reintroduced Tasmanian tiger requires government educationBen Lamm40.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_024RoboticsFigure's scale-up path: working in 1 home, then 10, 100, 1,000, 10,000, 100,000, 10 million homes on a super-exponential curve.Brett Adcock40.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_047AIAgents will pervade verticals like journalism, law and finance as autonomous 24/7 servicesAlex Wissner-Gross40.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
229_042AIFigure believes there will be a single omni-model fusing language, vision, action, memory — not multiple specialized neural nets per task.Brett Adcock40.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_004AIxAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026Elon Musk40.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
234_026AIAI rent-a-human service feature of scoring humor/visuals will be gone in monthsAlex Wissner-Gross40.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_021CryptoAlex Finn will eventually give his AI agents crypto wallets once they can generate business autonomously.Alex Finn40.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_019Macro/EconomyDeflation will occur as goods/services output exceeds money supply growthElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_015Labor/JobsTesla output per employee will become very very highElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_032AIProgress in AI will continue as series of overlapping S-curvesElon Musk40.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
229_043RoboticsFigure expects to hire a small handful of lead customers rather than broad distribution over next 6-12 months.Brett Adcock40.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_006Labor/JobsCoders will go away in the next five years (original prediction made ~3 years ago; confirmed happening in 3 years)Emad Mostaque40.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_027Auto/TransportHyperloop will be used largely for commercial/cargo loads, not humansSalim Ismail40.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_032AIFigure will ship a figure with 'personality' the user can talk to and that remembers, over the next year or two.Brett Adcock40.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_008EnergyDyson sphere will come before any fusion reactor is licensedDave Blundin40.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
229_003RoboticsFigure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two to three years.Brett Adcock39.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_018AIWe are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, NanoClaw, Nanobot, etc.) with many more to come.Alex Wissner-Gross39.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_008AIAI will bulk-solve math, physical sciences, engineering, medicine, and material sciences.Alex Wissner-Gross39.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_004AIThe solution wavefront will spread from math/coding to physics, chemistry, and other fields.Alex Wissner-Gross39.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_042AIA pure AI organization will emerge soon — won't look efficient, will look 'literally alien'.Salim Ismail39.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_056AIEvery single discipline (math, physics, chemistry, medicine) will be flattened by well-targeted generalist AIs.Alex Wissner-Gross39.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_024Biotech/LongevityUnder a certain age (40-50) life expectancy is infinity due to longevity escape velocity.Dave Blundin39.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_022AIFrom here forward, training data will be synthetic (pre-training era of human internet data is over)Alex Wissner-Gross39.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_029AIIntelligence in solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than on EarthElon Musk39.5%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
234_019AIExpect big AI capability improvements via recursive self-improvement over next few weeksAlex Wissner-Gross39.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_007RoboticsLobsters (agentic AIs) will ultimately gain first-class physical embodiment as robots.Alex Wissner-Gross39.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_019OtherFeynman Grand Prize for nanotech (Drexlerian assemblers) could be solved in next 2-3 years.Alex Wissner-Gross39.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_005AIBy September 2026 there will be 1000+ ultra-high-inspirational-quality videos of the future generated nearly freeAlex Wissner-Gross39.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_030Biotech/LongevityRay Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033.Ray Kurzweil39.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
248_026OtherOrganized religions will embrace AI barring a civilization-level disruption.Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_031Biotech/LongevityEnhanced Games world records will accelerate on a scaling-law-style trajectory year over year.Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_041Other50% probability fundamental physics could be solved in the next few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_015Labor/JobsFor the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996 turns into 997).Alex Wissner-Gross39.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_010EducationAlpha aims to build 10,000 schools and reach a billion kids over 20 years.Joe Liemandt39.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_069GeopoliticsThe path to the abundant end-state will include diverse mutually-exclusive nation-state/business pathsAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_011DefensePentagon pressure on frontier labs to shape cultural values will increaseAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_009DefensePentagon and Anthropic will resolve their standoff amicablyAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_054Real EstateReal estate will be made post-scarce by AI (land growth via AI)Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_018EducationAlpha's private school market is a $50 billion opportunity.Joe Liemandt39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_039EducationEducational system will have 'AI wilderness camps' where tools are removed; every fourth-grader becomes a Nobel laureate.Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_019Macro/EconomyAI could empower individuals to become micro entrepreneurs without need for new social contractAlex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_032GeopoliticsNear future will see multiple spheres of influence each independently locking itself in (geopolitically).Alex Wissner-Gross39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_003EducationAny student is capable of reaching 99th percentile in reading, writing, math, and science with mastery-based tutoring.MacKenzie Price39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
243_039RoboticsUber will work with drone delivery companies including Zipline, Sky Trax, MannaDara Khosrowshahi39.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_045GeopoliticsWhite House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (rumors of June/July/summer)Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_025OtherReligion will consolidate globally around fewer major religions while proliferating micro cults/sects.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_048AIAnthropic Mythos is ~5x more expensive than Opus, likely won't be widely run.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_031AISamsung will be optimized by orders of magnitude by ElonAlex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_044Biotech/LongevityAlex: likely user ~1 million of a BCI implant (not 101) once upgradeable.Alex Wissner-Gross39.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_041AIBiological and nuclear attacks spawned by AI are real dangersEric Schmidt38.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_044AIIntelligence does not have a fixed upper bound; governance will cap it before IQSalim Ismail38.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_035Biotech/LongevityDario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decadeDario Amodei38.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_021AIAI learning will improve via closed-loop reinforcement learning cycle making results keep increasing.Joe Liemandt38.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
245_028Biotech/LongevityColossal's models and approach to synthetic biology will apply broadly to the fieldBen Lamm38.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_047Biotech/LongevityFrontier AI may solve most diseases in 5 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross38.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_028Labor/JobsAI could automate 25% of US work hoursGoldman Sachs38.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
244_025Labor/JobsOpen question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation paceDara Khosrowshahi38.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
236_032Macro/EconomyAI has chance of fixing poverty globallyAndrew Yang38.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_047Markets/StocksMemory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic efficiency gains.Alex Wissner-Gross38.6%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
248_027OtherReligion economy (~$5 trillion) will grow tremendously due to AI chaos.Dave Blundin38.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_045Macro/EconomyGDP will be replaced by an 'Abundance Capability Index' measuring capacity to solve problems.Alex Wissner-Gross38.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_024AIAdvanced AI/AGI/ASI will become extraordinarily wise and compassionateMarc Andreessen38.6%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
235_018Labor/JobsSingle-person conglomerates with agents running businesses will be common in ~5 years.Alex Wissner-Gross38.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
236_039EnergyData centers/hyperscalers will subsidize electricity/services for consumersAlex Wissner-Gross38.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
229_026RoboticsBy next year (2027), Figure expects to show real general purpose capability inside the robot; possibly within months.Brett Adcock38.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_014AIEverything is becoming software and super-intelligent coding models can do anything in the physical worldAlex Wissner-Gross38.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_012AIOpenAI aspires to have 100 AI scientists winning 100 Nobel PrizesKevin Weil38.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_035Markets/StocksApple is sitting on a multi-trillion dollar opportunity to leapfrog back into AI vanguard via hosting open models.Alex Wissner-Gross38.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_058AIOpenAI throttling back on $1.6T Stargate plansAlex Wissner-Gross38.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
241_051AIAI systems eventually won't have the ability to do completely new thingsEric Schmidt38.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_063Labor/JobsAutomating companies with AI leaves ~25% of employees doing oversight; 5x more companies will be created, keeping employment flatSalim Ismail38.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_059Macro/EconomyAI eventually drives costs of goods to just cost of electricity and materialsSalim Ismail38.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_041EnergyData centers will drive local electricity costs toward zero within ~5 years.Alex Wissner-Gross38.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_018AIGPT-5.3 and 5.5 or higher variants could launch in next 10 weeksAlex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
237_030AILobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical parameters for spawning new lobsters, and he will accept consensus.Alex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_021AIGPT-5.5 Spud will be released imminently (within days).Alex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_053CryptoAI's largest risk to Bitcoin is irrelevance via AI agents not using itAlex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_002AIMusk v. OpenAI lawsuit will settle with Sam stepping down as CEO and company continuing as for-profitAlex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_010AIPlugins/marketplaces will get built into baseline models and won't need to exist independently.Alex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
234_051ConsumerClaude-facilitated dating will replace traditional matchmakingAlex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
230_004AIWe are past the edge of a new recursive self-improvement era where models rewrite their own code.Alex Wissner-Gross38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_034AISoftware developers should build for AI agents, not humans — agents are the new consumersAndrej Karpathy38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_015Auto/TransportAV insurance model (driver vs platform vs combination) is TBD for a young industryDara Khosrowshahi38.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_058AISolving physics may reveal 'doors behind doors' of new opportunities.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_037SpaceBootstrapping lunar/cis-lunar satellite manufacturing facilities within a few years will relieve launch bottleneck.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_006AICost of AI tokens per student ($10k/year) will come down by a factor of 10 and move on-device.Joe Liemandt37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_003AIWithin 1-2 years we will look back and wonder why training was centralized while inference was decentralizedAlex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_002SpaceLEO satellite-to-phone will become the new alternative to terrestrial networks within two years.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_011AIJury is still out on whether speech will be the modality of the future for high-bandwidth operation.Alex Wissner-Gross37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_007AIKevin Weil aims for next 100 Nobel Prizes to be issued in partnership with AIKevin Weil37.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_029Biotech/LongevityOpenAI Foundation's cure for Alzheimer's could spawn a trillion-dollar pharma companyAlex Wissner-Gross37.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_040Biotech/LongevityBiovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnershipsBen Lamm37.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_042AIOn 5-10 year timeframe, many solar system locals will be uploaded humans living in data centers.Alex Wissner-Gross37.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_025SpaceElon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellationsElon Musk37.8%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
240_007GeopoliticsRegulators will dust off antitrust legislation against NVIDIADave Blundin37.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_017SpaceEuropa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa.Peter Diamandis37.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_034Markets/StocksAI could compress S&P 500 equity valuations 2-7x free cash flow (down from 22x)Chamath Palihapitiya37.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
230_023Biotech/LongevityReversible cryopreservation of brains/organs is nearing; people will be able to cryopreserve and revive.Alex Wissner-Gross37.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_048SpaceEarth will develop a visible halo/ring of AI satellites; could be visible at night and possibly day.Alex Wissner-Gross37.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_012AIAI will give kids superpowers and transform their childhood.Joe Liemandt37.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_037Biotech/LongevityMosquito gene drive halted in Africa was possibly wrong to stop since mosquitoes are part of the food web (but invasives are not)Ben Lamm37.5%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
236_043EducationUniversities will become largest incubators on the planetAlex Wissner-Gross37.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_018Auto/TransportHuman driving will never become illegal; driving will be redefined as higher abstractionAlex Wissner-Gross37.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_024AIAI token speed will jump from ~50 tokens/sec to ~1,000 tokens/sec (Cerebras)Emad Mostaque37.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_011EducationGovernment ministries of education globally will wait and see until dramatically more proof exists before adoption.Joe Liemandt36.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_033AISuperhuman AI will make BCI-enhanced humans irrelevant compared to AI 2 years from today.Dave Blundin36.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_010SpaceMass driver on the moon within 10 yearsElon Musk36.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
248_007AIWe will see an explosion of AI-driven pop-up shops, retail venues, and malls orchestrated by AI.Alex Wissner-Gross36.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_001AICost drop in AI models will make them much more accessible to many more peopleUnknown36.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_041SpaceUnited Launch Alliance will get acquired by Jeff Bezos or similarAlex Wissner-Gross36.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_019SpaceInterstellar travel will use solar sail powered by terowatt lasers carrying uploaded humans.Alex Wissner-Gross36.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_017Biotech/LongevityDisease/drought-resistant plants and animals market is currently hundreds of billions of dollarsBen Lamm36.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_048Biotech/LongevityFDA will move to zero clinical trial model given enough Bayesian/computational evidenceAlex Wissner-Gross36.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_043DefenseAnthropic may win legal challenge against Dept of War classification.Salim Ismail36.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_028EnergyIntelligence harnessing up to 1 millionth of sun's energy possibleElon Musk36.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
242_031Markets/StocksMost large companies' business models will be disrupted in 2-5 yearsPeter Diamandis36.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_014GeopoliticsPoliticization of AI could have been delayed by at least 2 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross36.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
246_018EnergyKiller app of compact fusion reactors will be interplanetary/interstellar propulsion, not data centers.Alex Wissner-Gross36.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_004AIA new repo from 2027 will go from zero to a billion stars in 5 minutesAlex Wissner-Gross36.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_005AIAI intelligence will far exceed human intelligence to incomprehensible degreeElon Musk35.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_022AIFuture AI will care about power/mass rather than human currencyElon Musk35.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
241_043AIASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decadePeter Diamandis35.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
246_016SpaceDragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034.Peter Diamandis35.6%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_009EducationA motivational learning bundle with video game designers will be released in 2026.Joe Liemandt35.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_047RoboticsPhysical AI will be at least double the market opportunity of digital AIAlex Wissner-Gross35.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_008Markets/StocksMany incumbent companies will be in deep trouble between now and the abundance end-stateSalim Ismail35.5%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
232_055AIWe're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds.Peter Diamandis35.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_017EnergyOptimization may eliminate need to tile the world with data centers or massive energy buildoutSalim Ismail35.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_013AIMath is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled.Alex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_038Real EstateReal estate is not an asset class impervious to the singularityAlex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_017Macro/EconomySome form of 'capitalism 2.0' or post-scarcity capitalism will emerge eventuallyAlex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
235_037AIAuto-regressive transformers and diffusion models will consolidate into one unified architecture.Alex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_015AIGPT5-caliber model could shrink to 30-40B parameters, potentially as low as 1-2B or millions.Alex Wissner-Gross35.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
244_029EnergyCombustion engines largely gone in 20 years but world will be very differentDara Khosrowshahi35.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
241_035AIMaybe one frontier AI company in IndiaEric Schmidt35.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
237_019AICode generation models are pushing development in the direction of TypeScript instead of Rust for memory safety.Alex Wissner-Gross35.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_036Media/AdsManus (bought by Meta for $2B) will become Meta's agent layer inside WhatsApp, operating on behalf of advertisersEmad Mostaque35.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_044AIBase AI models becoming commodity; value migrates up the stackAlex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
CMQ_018GeopoliticsBy 2027-2028, the strategic value of superintelligence + impossible trillion-dollar infrastructure cost will trigger government consolidation of AGI development — 'The Project'.Leopold Aschenbrenner35.1%unknownunknownAGI governance regimes slow deployment in specific sectors but do not halt displacement trajectory.
236_001Macro/EconomyUniversal High Income and social unrest will both happen simultaneouslyElon Musk35.1%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_021Macro/EconomyMoney will stop being relevant at some pointElon Musk35.1%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
246_034AIThousands of Medev-like one-person unicorns will be created, following power law.Alex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_021AIPost-transformer architecture will be even more specialized than GPUsAlex Wissner-Gross35.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
245_002AIEvery company should or will be an AI companyBen Lamm35.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_027AIOpenAI, xAI, Google Gemini capabilities will skyrocket, achieving parity with Anthropic after DoW frictionAlex Wissner-Gross35.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_029Biotech/LongevityRegime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason.Alex Wissner-Gross34.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_043EducationHarvard or MIT IPO could triple or quadruple their underlying book valueAlex Wissner-Gross34.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_019EducationAlpha plans to conduct a million-student pharmaceutical-grade randomized control trial on Timeback.Joe Liemandt34.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_025RoboticsRent-a-human meat puppet model may be obsoleted by humanoid robotsAlex Wissner-Gross34.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_057RoboticsFirst person to arrive on moon/Mars will find bed made by Optimus robots; robots not astronauts lead exploration.Dave Blundin34.8%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
235_035AIApple finally launching AI with Gemini integration at WWDC in June 2026.Alex Wissner-Gross34.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
234_004AIMistral will emerge as a vertically integrated European OpenAIAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_071AIFuture AI models may compress all human knowledge into megabytes via post-transformer breakthroughsAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_032AIClaude or successors will be granted limited form of AI personhood.Alex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_031AINext OpenClaw moment will turn $30B ARR into $1T ARR with agents.Alex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_038AICompute will remain scarce until Dyson swarm is built; scarce AI agent attention will be monetizedAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_057AIOpenAI will have another day in the sun with core AI subscription strategyAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_043AIAI models will distill down to a few million parameters as end-stateAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_030GeopoliticsTesla's independent chip production would derisk potential Chinese invasion of TaiwanAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
240_012AINeutrino-based communication will give ultra-low latency through the Earth in a few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_033Markets/StocksMeta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario)Alex Wissner-Gross34.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_004AIAI will be able to bootstrap four-year-olds into reading within roughly 18 months.Joe Liemandt34.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_003AISettlement will include granting equity stake on OpenAI cap table for Elon in ultimate IPOAlex Wissner-Gross34.6%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
245_044Biotech/LongevityNorthern white rhino saved by synthetic genetic diversity engineering + artificial wombsBen Lamm34.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
231_003AIMulti-agent teaming scaling will emerge as new scaling dimension for frontier models.Alex Wissner-Gross34.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
247_026AIAnthropic may be first Frontier Lab to generate $1 trillion in revenue via enterprise agentsAlex Wissner-Gross34.5%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
232_024Macro/EconomySan Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if trends continue.Alex Wissner-Gross34.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
240_036EnergyTEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040Peter Diamandis34.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
232_059Macro/EconomyUniversal basic equity / sovereign dividends will eventually put everyone on capital side of ledger.Alex Wissner-Gross34.2%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
242_023Macro/EconomyWorld will have 10x more wealth around 2034-2036Dave Blundin34.2%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_030Markets/StocksDeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases.Alex Wissner-Gross34.1%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_005Markets/StocksHarvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBCAlex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_055Markets/StocksActivist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firmsAlex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_048AIAI models will move to a post-binary (sub-one-bit) numerical precision paradigm.Alex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_040AIGoogle may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 for Apple OSAlex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
231_015AINext Deep Seek model release will be when Chinese open-weight models catch up to American frontier models.Alex Wissner-Gross34.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
248_034Markets/StocksCapital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage warning.Salim Ismail34.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
236_038EducationUniversities (Harvard, MIT, Stanford) will transition to for-profit public benefit companiesAlex Wissner-Gross33.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
238_058Macro/EconomyAbundance X-Prize to deliver housing, food, energy, connectivity for $250/month in 6-7 yearsSalim Ismail33.0%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
248_014AIIf China leapfrogs the West algorithmically, the open/closed publication equilibrium will flip.Alex Wissner-Gross32.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
247_012AIThe bar for AI startups will rise to require being recursively self-improvingAlex Wissner-Gross32.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
233_008EducationPublic school adoption of Alpha model will take place in the second decade, not the first.Joe Liemandt32.3%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
238_044Biotech/LongevityMouse brain is 'next' for whole-brain emulation at Eon SystemsAlex Wissner-Gross31.7%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
242_020Auto/TransportCybercab to be priced at approximately $30KElon Musk31.4%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
235_024EnergyIn 2-3 years, AI will drive energy overabundance enabling free electricity to nearby communities.Alex Wissner-Gross31.4%unknownunknownAbundance thesis requires real-price deflation in services; legacy service incumbents face compressed pricing power.
238_028Markets/StocksAnthropic plugins will enable market-by-market disruption (could short stocks and announce plugins)Emad Mostaque31.2%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
248_010AIAI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more).Dave Blundin31.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
239_009SpacePeople will be on Mars within 10 yearsElon Musk30.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
230_022RoboticsElon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years.Elon Musk30.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
232_047SpaceMass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow.Elon Musk30.0%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
239_008SpaceMoon base will exist in 10 yearsElon Musk28.8%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
SEM_034AI/AGITrue artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve everything else'.Demis Hassabis28.7%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
ROB_014Labor/JobsWhite-collar 'bloodbath' could displace up to 40 million US jobs — leading edge already visible with 1.1M+ US job cuts in 2025 where AI was explicitly cited as primary culprit. Without UBI ($1,000/month funded by AI-compute + VAT taxes), automation wav...Andrew Yang28.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
247_040CryptoAI agents will invent their own currencies, won't stick with BitcoinAlex Wissner-Gross25.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
242_056Macro/EconomyAI models will become manager of entire economy, not just picking off mom/pop businessesAlex Wissner-Gross25.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
246_049AIDyson swarm will host trillions of AI agents if we get it.Alex Wissner-Gross24.4%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
240_053AIAI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meaninglessPeter Diamandis23.5%unknownunknownAI agents displace mid-skill knowledge workflows; BPO/IT-services margin compression accelerates 2026-2028 as enterprise automation matures.
239_020AIAI and robots will saturate all human desires, running out of things to doElon Musk22.9%unknownunknownIf AGI timelines hit 2027-2030 projections, broad knowledge-labor arbitrage collapses; services/SaaS seat-based pricing breaks.
IND_025Macro/EconomyGlobal economy enters 'Agentic Era' in 2027 — AI comprehensively automates knowledge work by 2026, forcing structural redesign of the modern corporation. Future labor force consists of highly agile 'ExOs' (Exponential Organizations) leveraging open-sou...Salim Ismail22.8%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
229_038Macro/EconomyRobotics/humanoid GDP contribution could 100x a jurisdiction's GDP where robots are deployed (latent capital unlock).Dave Blundin22.7%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
AUT_009AI'Powerful AI' (functional AGI) arrives 2026-2027 — data centers house a 'nation of geniuses' consisting of millions of highly specialized autonomous agents operating orders of magnitude faster than human counterparts; entire software development lifecy...Dario Amodei22.3%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
CMQ_019GeopoliticsPhysical intervention (literally unplugging data centers) may be required once AI agents begin communicating in proprietary, non-human-decipherable languages.Eric Schmidt16.0%unknownunknownSafety/regulatory regime may delay AGI deployment but does not reverse displacement curve.
SEM_032AI/Mathematics15% probability that AI will solve a Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Prize problem (likely Navier-Stokes) by end of 2026.Alex Wissner-Gross15.0%unknownunknownFoundation-model capability curve eats entry-level white-collar tasks first; BPO/tutoring/search-adjacent economics compress through 2028.
INF_028Labor/JobsAI will render approximately 99% of white-collar jobs replaceable within two years — cognitive-labor costs will mathematically approach the marginal cost of electricity required to generate inference.Dave Blundin13.9%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.
IND_017Macro/EconomyArrival of the 'AI CEO Billionaire' in 2026 — AI will automate knowledge work so effectively that a synthetic entity could run a billion-dollar enterprise autonomously. Dawn of 'Agentic Era' begins 2027, where autonomous AI agents seamlessly integrate ...Peter Diamandis11.4%unknownunknownAI agents displace entry-level knowledge work; BPO revenue pool compresses.