Iris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail stores

Iris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail stores | I think they they have a a 3 meter range on these things. I don't know if these ones do, but the military has 3 meter range on these. It'll get better and you'll be able to do it at a distance.

I think they they have a a 3 meter range on these things. I don't know if these ones do, but the military has 3 meter range on these. It'll get better and you'll be able to do it at a distance.

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "qty": "3+ meter range",
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d__HRChE2ZE",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "I think they they have a a 3 meter range on these things. I don't know if these ones do, but the military has 3 meter range on these. It'll get better and you'll be able to do it at a distance.",
  "verbatim": "I think they they have a a 3 meter range on these things. I don't know if these ones do, but the military has 3 meter range on these. It'll get better and you'll be able to do it at a distance.",
  "conv_cues": "it'll get better",
  "direction": "UP",
  "timeframe": "Future",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "World (Worldcoin) US launch with six Orb locations live",
      "notes": "HIT — first generation iris-scanning retail rollout precedent.",
      "source": "https://news-nest.com/2025/05/02/sam-altmans-eye-scanning-identity-project-world-officially-launches-in-the-u-s-with-six-orb-locations/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -10,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.99,
      "source_url": "https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/sam-altmans-iris-scanning-tech-launches-us-raising-alarm-over-privacy-global-control",
      "expected_date": "2025-05-02",
      "observed_date": "2025-05-02",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Sam Altman's World Network launches iris-scanning identity verification in the US with first six Orb retail locations operational"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": "SEM_008",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": "SEM_042",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "238_009",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": "235_038",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "World Tinder/Zoom/Docusign integrations announced — broader enterprise iris-ID adoption",
      "source": "https://restofworld.org/2026/sam-altman-worldcoin-zoom-tinder-partnerships/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://restofworld.org/2026/sam-altman-worldcoin-zoom-tinder-partnerships/",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-30",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Worldcoin/World announces partnerships with Tinder, Zoom, and Docusign for iris-verified identity, signaling commercial demand for the modality even at current short range"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_even
... (truncated)