SOUN

SoundHound AI · Nasdaq · USA

Cap tier

Mid

Approx cap

$4.0B

Bull scenarios

502

Adverse scenarios

Themes & clusters

From SRC_B Theme-Company Matrix

C5Foundation model agent teams / multi-agent orchestrationSingle omnimodel (speech + memory + physics + action)

Investment thesis

From SRC_B Company Master

Voice-agent pure-play.

Bull scenarios (502)

Predictions where this ticker benefits

Pred	Role	Domain	Prediction	Predictor	Current	Move	Impact	Status
ROB_026	pure_play	Defense	Autonomous AI agents will execute multi-stage cyberattacks at machine speeds far surpassing the defensive capabilities of human security teams — bad actors will utilize the same multi-agent paradigms that enable legitimate corporate organizations, targ...	Alex Finn	77.1%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
CYB_022	pure_play	AI	Supply-chain attacks targeting widely utilized open-source AI packages — exemplified by documented attacks on the LiteLLM framework — represent extreme systemic risk: a single compromised foundational code repository instantly and autonomously infects ...	Alex Wissner-Gross	75.9%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
AI_014	pure_play	AI	A new 'Agent-Native Infrastructure' category emerges — legacy digital infrastructure was built for human-speed traffic; the new internet must handle agent-speed workloads (recursive, bursty, massive). The 'screen time' KPI dies: future software will be...	Marc Andreessen	65.0%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
CYB_020	pure_play	Space	Starlink expansion — navigating regulatory regimes like India's IN-SPACe approvals — establishes a ubiquitous, high-bandwidth data canopy essential for routing planetary-scale AI agent communications without terrestrial fiber-optic latency.	Gwynne Shotwell	64.8%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
SEM_006	pure_play	AI/Finance	OpenAI will operate at a ~$9B deficit in 2025, driven almost entirely by advanced-chip acquisition and facility construction.	Sam Altman	63.5%	unknown	unknown	partial
SPC_017	pure_play	AI	Startups capable of cleaning, structuring, and validating multimodal data pipelines (video, telemetry, Earth-observation) will unlock enterprise value of space-based observations — unstructured multimodal data causes AI agent workflows to hallucinate o...	Jennifer Li	63.3%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
CMQ_046	pure_play	Semis/Memory	Sustained memory contexts required for agent 'memory' will drive additional 15-45 exabytes of DRAM demand by 2027 — up to 77% of global supply.	Morgan Stanley	62.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_033	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Timelines for solving all disease are collapsing; Demis says cure all disease within a decade	Demis Hassabis	62.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_020	pure_play	AI	Math field is 'cooked' — AI will solve research-level mathematics (first open hard math problem imminently)	Alex Wissner-Gross	60.7%	unknown	unknown	partial
AI_037	pure_play	Geopolitics	EU AI Act compliance will become a first-class enterprise priority — Anthropic among first frontier labs positioning proactive regulatory governance as a competitive differentiator against hyperscaler peers.	Daniella Amodei	60.2%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
234_014	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	We will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year period	Peter Diamandis	59.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_034	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Dario Amodei said double human lifespan within the decade	Dario Amodei	59.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_025	pure_play	AI	We are currently in the midst of the singularity, not waiting for it in the 2040s as originally expected.	Peter Diamandis	59.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_011	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Enterprise software will be dead because AI can just write code (per Dario Amodei).	Dario Amodei	59.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_021	pure_play	Consumer	Privacy is cooked; every major company will have AI-recording wearables and micro drones gathering data.	Peter Diamandis	59.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
CYB_004	pure_play	AI	The Agentic AI Foundation (AAIF) under the Linux Foundation — backed by Dorsey plus major cloud providers and AI labs — will establish vendor-neutral open-governance protocols for agent orchestration, ensuring critical 2030s infrastructure is not monop...	Jack Dorsey	58.0%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
SPC_027	pure_play	AI	A 'trillion-dollar agent economy' driven by hyper-deflation of intelligence — AI intelligence becoming 100x cheaper every two years; in aerospace this enables mission planning, orbital trajectory calculation, and CAD modeling to be executed autonomousl...	Alex Finn	57.7%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
234_028	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Lab grown meat will replace conventional meat as the healthier environmental option	Peter Diamandis	57.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_054	pure_play	AI	ASI will reinvent patent and copyright practices	Peter Diamandis	57.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_028	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Longevity market will grow from $5 trillion to $8 trillion in next four years.	Peter Diamandis	55.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_003	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	First $100 trillion companies will emerge before end of this decade.	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_042	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Synthetic biology will be as diverse a market as AI (multi-trillion)	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_044	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Universal High Income programs need to be figured out in next 2-3 years.	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_046	pure_play	AI	AI investment will reach $3 billion per day, up from $2B in 2025	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_032	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Uber will cash flow $10B this year (2026)	Dara Khosrowshahi	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_016	pure_play	Education	Alpha will keep opening schools coast-to-coast; 13 new schools this year with more to come.	MacKenzie Price	55.2%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
241_011	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	By end of 2026, no one will write code manually - it'll be a quaint skill	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_004	pure_play	Media/Ads	Future Vision X-Prize will produce at least one (possibly two) feature films depicting the future	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_012	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Flying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 months	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_041	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional	Peter Diamandis	55.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
CYB_003	pure_play	AI	Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...	Alex Finn	55.1%	unknown	unknown	partial
239_026	pure_play	Other	Future will be very entertaining	Elon Musk	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_043	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	CS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming for other professions	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_022	pure_play	Real Estate	Personal garages at home will disappear	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_026	pure_play	Education	College bankruptcy rate will skyrocket	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_017	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Reskilling using AI technology will be fundamentally critical for workforce.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_002	pure_play	Education	Colleges will continue going bankrupt as perceived importance declines and tuition costs escalate.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_044	pure_play	Education	College bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketing	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_001	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Rapid pace of AI will soon require every major company to begin reskilling employees.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_011	pure_play	Geopolitics	The country that trains its next generation on AI wins the entire talent war.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_018	pure_play	Energy	Algorithms becoming more efficient will not reduce power demand - it will increase (Jevons paradox)	Eric Schmidt	55.0%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
237_004	pure_play	Consumer	Mac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_047	pure_play	Macro/Economy	New emotional pandemic of fear and anger coming	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_041	pure_play	Geopolitics	PhD students in the US should have green cards stapled to their PhD at graduation.	Peter Diamandis	55.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_033	pure_play	AI	Pie will grow very quickly as AI does work of millions of humans in hours	Andrew Yang	55.0%	unknown	unknown	partial
237_001	pure_play	AI	Increased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become more and more prevalent.	Peter Diamandis	54.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_018	pure_play	AI	We are living through a moment that will be in history for thousands of years: nonhuman intelligence arrived.	Eric Schmidt	54.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_002	pure_play	AI	We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quickly as an early domain being developed.	Peter Diamandis	54.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_017	pure_play	AI	AI technology is going to happen, it's not going to get prevented or stopped.	Eric Schmidt	54.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_049	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Archer Aviation plans to become operational in LA by 2028	Peter Diamandis	54.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_014	pure_play	AI	The world a year from today will be nothing like the world today	Peter Diamandis	54.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_007	pure_play	AI	Super intelligence moment occurs within 2-3 years (San Francisco consensus)	San Francisco AI community	54.6%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
242_013	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Flying cars will operate in LA in a big way in 2028	Peter Diamandis	54.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_005	pure_play	AI	Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now).	Peter Diamandis	54.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_044	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Tesla with FSD is 10 times safer than human driving (host claim)	Peter Diamandis	54.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_056	pure_play	AI	Anthropic enterprise market share to continue growing (went from 40% to 73% in 3 months)	Peter Diamandis	54.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_030	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Economy will shift from paying for inputs/hours to paying for verified outcomes.	Peter Diamandis	54.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_045	pure_play	Economy/Org	Traditional corporate structures will move rapidly toward AI-native operating models by 2026 — forcing total organizational transformations.	Salim Ismail	54.2%	unknown	unknown	partial
241_026	pure_play	Space	Space data center technology is understood and largely figured out	Eric Schmidt	54.0%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
241_054	pure_play	Space	Space wins by far on energy argument for data centers	Peter Diamandis	54.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_024	pure_play	Space	Heat dissipation and radiation issues in space data centers will be addressed	Eric Schmidt	54.0%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
241_059	pure_play	Energy	Government will continue unleashing capital to solve AI power problems	Peter Diamandis	53.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_060	pure_play	Space	Data centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centers	Peter Diamandis	53.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_046	pure_play	AI/Startups	AI startups are scaling incredibly fast with significantly less capital — barrier to entry for complex software approaching zero.	Joe Liemandt	53.5%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
236_008	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online	Peter Diamandis	53.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_048	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Dropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much of world	Peter Diamandis	53.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_030	pure_play	Other	Physical world tech adoption always takes longer than digital world	Dara Khosrowshahi	52.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_008	pure_play	Other	If you build liquid supply with product-market fit, demand will show up	Dara Khosrowshahi	52.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_034	pure_play	Other	Companies get more conservative as they grow, but should do opposite	Dara Khosrowshahi	52.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_014	pure_play	Auto/Transport	AV is an industry where Chinese players have a lot to offer	Dara Khosrowshahi	52.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_022	pure_play	Energy	US will add a record 86 gigawatts of utility-scale capacity this coming year.	Peter Diamandis	52.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_044	pure_play	Energy	Rate of data center construction will continue accelerating with government support	Eric Schmidt	52.4%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
232_010	pure_play	AI	Voice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing.	Peter Diamandis	52.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_025	pure_play	AI	The next 18 months to 2 years will set the rules for the next century.	Peter Diamandis	52.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_033	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027.	Peter Diamandis	51.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_035	pure_play	AI	Terafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel.	Peter Diamandis	51.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
AUT_001	pure_play	AI	The HIM platform has demonstrated commercial viability of autonomous multi-agent corporate execution — 5-agent organizational structures running continuously from a single node, with product applications generating substantial revenue within minutes of...	Alex Finn	51.2%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
241_055	pure_play	Space	Next frontier of AI infrastructure is space	Peter Diamandis	51.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_012	pure_play	AI	Within 6 months to a year physics problems will be massively addressed by AI.	Peter Diamandis	51.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_019	pure_play	AI	AI scaling laws have not hit an asymptote yet	Eric Schmidt	51.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_019	pure_play	AI	AI cannot be stopped; there's no mechanism to pause it.	Ben Horowitz	51.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_014	pure_play	AI	Sam Altman predicted 40x year-over-year hyperdeflation of AI costs at constant capability.	Sam Altman	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_032	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Full cell simulation achievable within 5 years	Peter Diamandis	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_024	pure_play	AI	Skippy will listen to this YouTube video and self-improve based on the transcript (Peter's expectation).	Peter Diamandis	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_062	pure_play	AI	Best AI labs will need to be controlled by humans (at the moment)	Eric Schmidt	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_026	pure_play	AI	In next year, significant cyber threats to mitigate from AI models (cited Altman).	Sam Altman	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_043	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Tesla Cybercab priced around $30K vs Waymo cars around $150K	Peter Diamandis	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_017	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Uber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026)	Dara Khosrowshahi	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_023	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Over next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacement	Dara Khosrowshahi	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_036	pure_play	Space	Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch.	Peter Diamandis	51.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_016	pure_play	Energy	92 GW power shortage in America between now and 2030	Eric Schmidt	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_046	pure_play	Consumer	When Uber opens in a market, drunk driving incidents go down significantly	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_006	pure_play	Media/Ads	YouTube will win from AI video content proliferation as everyone produces resonant content.	Peter Diamandis	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_042	pure_play	Consumer	Within-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forward	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_021	pure_play	Media/Ads	AI press will continue to dramatize machines replacing humans	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_009	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Top programmers will become MORE valuable, not less, due to AI	Eric Schmidt	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_026	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	World will split into consumers and creators (couch potatoes vs Star Trek employees).	Peter Diamandis	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_063	pure_play	Geopolitics	America needs to win AI race with smart immigration policy	Eric Schmidt	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_059	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	African nations will be impacted least by AI transition	Peter Diamandis	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_046	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Social unrest unfortunately much closer than we'd like to think	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_010	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Industry will consolidate into small number of very large companies and very large number of very small companies	Eric Schmidt	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_033	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Uber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will fail	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_037	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Uber will automate 20-30% of tasks, not 100%, leaving plenty of work	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_031	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Wealth concentration will pick up as firms have fewer workers	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_027	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Debt delinquency and mortgage delinquency rates rising; financial distress ratcheting up	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_048	pure_play	Education	AI/LLM will be the expression platform for student art, music, writing	Eric Schmidt	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_044	pure_play	Geopolitics	Unrest/civil unrest will materialize; tech AI leaders will face security threats and death threats.	Peter Diamandis	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_024	pure_play	Real Estate	Commercial real estate will come under tremendous pressure	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_016	pure_play	Education	College premium is quickly evaporating	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_012	pure_play	Geopolitics	An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_036	pure_play	Media/Ads	AI-generated images will eliminate commercial photography, illustrators and stock image platforms.	Peter Diamandis	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_012	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Large companies cannot pivot rapidly enough; zero ability to change.	Salim Ismail	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_028	pure_play	Consumer	AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately	Andrew Yang	50.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_035	pure_play	Other	Uber will only enter adjacencies that 'rhyme' with core capabilities	Dara Khosrowshahi	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_049	pure_play	AI	Underage kids / AI vulnerability problem must be solved - line we can't cross	Eric Schmidt	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_036	pure_play	AI	No frontier AI company will emerge in Russia due to war	Eric Schmidt	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_047	pure_play	Education	Universities should create prompt engineering course starting September for all freshmen	Eric Schmidt	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_005	pure_play	AI	The organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and government	Salim Ismail	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_027	pure_play	AI	AI models will be capable enough for terrorist groups to create novel pathogens (near future).	Sam Altman	50.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_006	pure_play	AI	Anthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026	Peter Diamandis	50.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_008	pure_play	AI	AI discoveries of past errors will topple some Nobel prizes.	Peter Diamandis	50.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_013	pure_play	Geopolitics	Democrats will no longer campaign in Iowa (DNC demoted Iowa)	Andrew Yang	50.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_019	pure_play	Auto/Transport	EVTOL autonomy will come within ~2 years after piloted version	Peter Diamandis	50.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_017	pure_play	Other	Future is 80%+ likely to be great	Elon Musk	50.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_014	pure_play	AI	Cost of reasoning models has dropped 1,000x in 16 months	Sam Altman	50.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_010	pure_play	Macro/Economy	5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next day	Andrew Yang	50.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_007	pure_play	AI	Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027	Peter Diamandis	50.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_017	pure_play	Energy	Equivalent of ~60 nuclear plants needed by 2030 but essentially zero being built	Eric Schmidt	50.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_042	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Economy will be 10x larger in 10 years (Elon's number)	Elon Musk	50.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_009	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Human billionaires will be first movers funding UBI-like regional transfers	Andrew Yang	50.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_007	pure_play	Macro/Economy	US GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near future	Andrew Yang	50.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_018	pure_play	Macro/Economy	UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years	Peter Diamandis	50.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_049	pure_play	AI/Markets	Traditional tech giants (Apple, Meta, Microsoft) with massive existing platform distribution will capture monopolistic shares of the consumer AI agent market via deep OS-level integration.	Jason Calacanis	50.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_001	pure_play	AI	We are only 10-15% into the impacts of AI	Eric Schmidt	49.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_020	pure_play	AI	AI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030	Peter Diamandis	49.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_018	pure_play	Auto/Transport	In 10 years you won't have to drive and will have plenty of choices	Dara Khosrowshahi	49.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_047	pure_play	Energy	Vertical farming market will reach $40 billion by 2030	Peter Diamandis	49.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_046	pure_play	Real Estate	Real estate, organizational structures, and minerals/mining will retain value over 5 years.	Peter Diamandis	49.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_034	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Rapid inflation in near-term from UBI money printing, then rapid deflation from AI/robotics	Peter Diamandis	49.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_030	pure_play	AI	AI will create trillions of dollars of value and transform how we work and live	Andrew Yang	49.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_004	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Race car driving will persist as a sport	Dara Khosrowshahi	49.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_055	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Marginal cost of production will approach zero for most goods (molecular manufacturing + 3D printing)	Peter Diamandis	49.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_023	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	80% of audit tech team roles at big four firms to disappear	Peter Diamandis	49.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_023	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	45% of dementia cases are entirely preventable	Dr. Don Mucalem	49.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_037	pure_play	AI	Chinese AI strategy will stay open source / open weights	Eric Schmidt	49.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_023	pure_play	Energy	10% of US electricity will be used by data centers	Eric Schmidt	49.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_033	pure_play	Space	Data centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3.	Peter Diamandis	49.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_016	pure_play	Auto/Transport	AV will grow very quickly but remains very small industry today	Dara Khosrowshahi	49.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_030	pure_play	Energy	US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited).	Eric Schmidt	49.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_005	pure_play	AI	Demis Hassabis predicts AGI will have 10x industrial revolution impact at 10x speed, unfolding over a decade	Demis Hassabis	48.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_020	pure_play	Energy	1 GW of power = ~$50 billion in hardware/software/data centers	Eric Schmidt	48.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_003	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company	Peter Diamandis	48.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_020	pure_play	Geopolitics	Real danger that US slows AI enough to fall behind China, losing control over societal outcomes.	Ben Horowitz	48.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_040	pure_play	Consumer	Suburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone delivery	Dara Khosrowshahi	48.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_032	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Uber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20%	Dara Khosrowshahi	48.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_023	pure_play	Energy	Eric Schmidt said AI will require 100 gigawatts by 2029, called it a crisis.	Eric Schmidt	47.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_031	pure_play	AI	Scientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvement	Eric Schmidt	47.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_041	pure_play	Consumer	Delivery/retail (non-food) business growing much faster than expected	Dara Khosrowshahi	47.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_007	pure_play	Robotics	Figure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from logistics to full-body long-horizon control.	Brett Adcock	47.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_029	pure_play	Consumer	Drone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban markets	Dara Khosrowshahi	47.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_040	pure_play	Space	Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life	Peter Diamandis	47.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_003	pure_play	AI	We are currently in AI hard takeoff	Elon Musk	47.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_029	pure_play	AI	Regulatory regime will be very pro-business despite 80% wanting AI more regulated	Andrew Yang	47.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_021	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	America can raise $5 trillion over 5 years for data center/AI buildout	Eric Schmidt	47.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_033	pure_play	AI	Few frontier AI companies will be in China	Eric Schmidt	47.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_031	pure_play	Crypto	Crypto and AI will combine to form the AI economy; most people are underestimating this.	Ben Horowitz	46.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_011	pure_play	AI	Frontier AI labs will generate trillions of dollars in new revenue from breakthroughs (longevity, superconductors, fusion)	Peter Diamandis	46.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_013	pure_play	AI	Recursive self-improvement loops likely to go live in the next 12 months; 2026 will be the most consequential year for humanity.	Jimmy Ba	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_008	pure_play	AI	Jack Dorsey aims to reduce Block's org depth from 5 to 2-3 layers this year.	Jack Dorsey	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_025	pure_play	AI	Sam Altman predicts world-shaking cyber attack this year (2026).	Sam Altman	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_046	pure_play	AI	Gemini 3 is probably the broadest of the non-Chinese AI systems	Eric Schmidt	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_015	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Unnamed tech CEO plans to fire 15% of workers now, 20% in 2 years, 20% more after	Unnamed tech CEO	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_009	pure_play	Geopolitics	India will be the rising giant for the next 20-30 years, with Africa following.	Salim Ismail	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_012	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Over the next 12 months OpenClaw technology will be digested into corporations, causing destruction (layoffs) but also growth.	Alex Finn	46.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_050	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Poverty level around $25K per person going forward	Andrew Yang	46.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_011	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	PE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digital twin infrastructure.	Salim Ismail	46.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_022	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Companies will run with 20-25% of previous workforce, spawn 4-5x more companies	Salim Ismail	46.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_007	pure_play	Real Estate	Vertiports will target airports and city centers as high-traffic locations	Dara Khosrowshahi	46.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_034	pure_play	Energy	Morgan Stanley forecasts 13-40GW data center power shortfall through 2028	Morgan Stanley	46.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_032	pure_play	AI	World can accommodate ~10 frontier AI companies at scale	Eric Schmidt	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_006	pure_play	AI	OpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decades	Salim Ismail	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_040	pure_play	AI	A Chernobyl-like AI tragedy is likely to happen, will awaken world to act	Eric Schmidt	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_024	pure_play	Other	AI will drive an explosion of new religions and AI cults.	Alex Wissner-Gross	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_034	pure_play	AI	One or two frontier AI companies in Europe	Eric Schmidt	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_006	pure_play	Robotics	Figure will graduate from room-scale autonomy to full-house autonomy next.	Brett Adcock	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_036	pure_play	AI	Terafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of 20 gigawatt.	Peter Diamandis	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_009	pure_play	Macro/Economy	US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk.	Elon Musk	46.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_035	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Significant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistants	Andrew Yang	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_006	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI entrepreneurs will get phenomenally wealthy and give most away	Andrew Yang	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_022	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Automation will typically augment work rather than replace it	Dara Khosrowshahi	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_034	pure_play	AI	Apple owning an open-weight LLM hosting strategy would be the single best product strategy for their hardware.	Ben Horowitz	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_048	pure_play	AI	Thousands of experiments from permissionless disruptive innovation will completely change the game.	Salim Ismail	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_008	pure_play	AI	Real-time AI video generation will break any video/voice-based security mechanisms.	Ben Horowitz	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_011	pure_play	Geopolitics	Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election	Andrew Yang	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_039	pure_play	AI	In a year we'll know better which AI labs pull ahead	Eric Schmidt	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_023	pure_play	AI	AI technology adoption will be much faster than the internet because infrastructure already exists.	Ben Horowitz	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_036	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	AI drug deployment is very hard to launch in US due to human trials; easy in UAE.	Ben Horowitz	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_025	pure_play	Robotics	Competitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two years behind.	Brett Adcock	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_003	pure_play	AI	12 months in AI will be like 12 years; the next year will be wild.	Alex Finn	46.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_015	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence	Peter Diamandis	46.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_001	pure_play	AI	xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer	Peter Diamandis	46.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_013	pure_play	AI	Frontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self-advance	Peter Diamandis	46.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_025	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Massive concurrent prosperity and social unrest ahead as AI wealth concentrates.	Elon Musk	46.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_042	pure_play	Macro/Economy	GDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox will apply to AI.	Salim Ismail	45.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_021	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Zipline will reach a delivery per second in next 2-3 years.	Zipline	45.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_025	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	AI will solve back pain	Elon Musk	45.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_009	pure_play	AI	Startups will continue to deploy dangerous AI tech even after hyperscalers voluntarily pause it.	Ben Horowitz	45.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_036	pure_play	AI	Google's Q-Day for quantum breaking RSA moved up to 2029	Google	45.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_027	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Uber platform workers in 2035 may be doing different kinds of tasks	Dara Khosrowshahi	45.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_035	pure_play	Energy	Meta secured 6.6 GW of clean nuclear power for 2035	Meta	45.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_026	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Uber platform will grow from 10M to 20M people by 2035	Dara Khosrowshahi	45.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_053	pure_play	Auto/Transport	New car manufacturing demand will collapse by ~50% due to AV utilization	Salim Ismail	45.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_039	pure_play	Space	NASA will imminently find >90% probability evidence of microbial life on Mars	Jared Isaacman (NASA administrator)	45.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_022	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Data center buildout is ~1% of US GDP growth	Eric Schmidt	45.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_006	pure_play	AI	AI will solve everything including longevity	Elon Musk	45.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_044	pure_play	Education	Universities turning into incubators/venture studios is the only way they survive	Salim Ismail	45.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_054	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Post-capitalist society: compute, energy, raw materials will be the scarce resources (money less valuable)	Peter Diamandis	45.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_045	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Eon Systems aims to upload human minds to cyberspace as soon as possible	Alex Wissner-Gross	45.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_008	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	More direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and Remus	Ben Lamm	45.2%	unknown	unknown	partial
245_030	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Humans will need to use synthetic biology to help species adapt faster than environmental change	Ben Lamm	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_031	pure_play	Other	Future is unpredictable beyond three weeks in the AI era	Salim Ismail	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_020	pure_play	Other	Screworm will decimate US cattle and bison industry	Ben Lamm	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_001	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Synthetic biology paired with AI will be the most transformative technology in human history	Ben Lamm	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_043	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Breaking's enzymes will treat a wider breadth of plastics and degrade them faster per surface area	Ben Lamm	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_021	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Engineered all-male screworms released via gene drive will cause species die-off over time	Ben Lamm	45.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_047	pure_play	Energy	US will add 86 GW of new grid capacity in 2026, 51% from solar	Emad Mostaque	44.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_006	pure_play	AI	Terafab will reach 70% of TSMC's output	Peter Diamandis	44.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_001	pure_play	AI	By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks.	Sam Altman	44.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_057	pure_play	Robotics	Elon Musk believes robot building robot is imminent	Elon Musk	44.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_025	pure_play	AI	AI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human level	Emad Mostaque	44.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_049	pure_play	Energy	Solar PV capped materially less than 100% efficiency by physics	Alex Wissner-Gross	44.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_054	pure_play	AI	Terafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500B	Peter Diamandis	44.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_009	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Breaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks microplastics in the gut before absorption	Peter Diamandis	44.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_001	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Technology will always be a part of the human driving experience	Dara Khosrowshahi	44.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_045	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Post-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching.	Peter Diamandis	44.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_025	pure_play	AI	Tesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per month	Peter Diamandis	44.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_048	pure_play	Geopolitics	US must find 100 GW of new power or lose AI race to China (cited from Eric Schmidt)	Eric Schmidt	44.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_004	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Uber would welcome Tesla on platform once camera-only FSD is safe	Dara Khosrowshahi	44.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_046	pure_play	Energy	xAI will build every new data center at 1.2 gigawatts scale	Gwynne Shotwell / xAI	44.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_026	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Exciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner)	Dara Khosrowshahi	44.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_019	pure_play	Robotics	Human plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longer	Andrew Yang	44.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_010	pure_play	Geopolitics	China has peaked and is going to be on descent.	Salim Ismail	43.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_042	pure_play	Geopolitics	Post-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governance	Eric Schmidt	43.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_001	pure_play	Geopolitics	India will be the next giant on the rise while China is on the decline	Salim Ismail	43.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_001	pure_play	AI	Elon's Terafab will build 1 terawatt of AI compute per year, 50x current global production	Elon Musk	43.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_004	pure_play	Geopolitics	By summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China.	Brett Adcock	43.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_018	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Universal High Income will be implemented	Elon Musk	43.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_024	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Financial systems between AI and blockchain will become self-auditing on a real-time basis	Salim Ismail	43.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_002	pure_play	AI	AI recursive self-improvement will be fully automated by end of 2026 or 2027 at latest	Elon Musk	43.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_026	pure_play	AI	Every attempt to pause frontier AI capabilities ends up being a net accelerant	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_023	pure_play	AI	Grok 5 release ~20% probability for Q2 2026 per PolyMarket.	PolyMarket	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_046	pure_play	Media/Ads	Public interest in any alien disclosure will fade within one or two days	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_006	pure_play	AI	Over the next 10 years, substantially all important science and engineering problems will get solved	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_047	pure_play	AI	Solving physics with AI has very high likelihood in next 2 years.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_046	pure_play	AI	Over the next 10 years humanity will live through top 50 science fiction plots simultaneously.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_039	pure_play	AI	Apple's underused unified memory overhang will likely collapse within the next year	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_001	pure_play	AI	A billion-dollar revenue company is already being run by an AI CEO (with human as legal puppet).	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_027	pure_play	AI	We are in an intelligence revolution — a war on scarce human attention — weapon is the token.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_028	pure_play	AI	Artisanal intelligence / the lone genius is dead — solutions will come from systems enabling millions.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_029	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Entry-level workers have approximately 2 years to secure employment before AI shuts down vertical mobility.	Unnamed frontier lab mid-level executive	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_029	pure_play	AI	Cognition is becoming a commodity — intelligence will flow like oil.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_016	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	A specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million company overnight for ~$200 subscription cost.	Alex Finn	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_031	pure_play	AI	We are in an era of domain collapse — AlphaFold pattern will repeat across many fields starting now.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_032	pure_play	AI	PSI's GPD will solve some of the hardest physics problems over the next few years	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_013	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Over 12-24 months value created by consumer adoption of OpenClaw will outweigh corporate destruction.	Alex Finn	43.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_014	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Human driving will become illegal starting in city centers, then broadening out	Salim Ismail	43.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_038	pure_play	AI	Chinese AI strategy is edge computing focused vs US AGI/ASI centered	Eric Schmidt	43.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_038	pure_play	Space	Lunar fabs are a $100 trillion dollar opportunity.	Alex Wissner-Gross	43.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_024	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Everyone on Earth will have better medical care than today's richest person	Elon Musk	43.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_016	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Tesla will not do layoffs and will increase headcount	Elon Musk	43.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_049	pure_play	Macro/Economy	US GDP per capita growing up up up because of AI	Andrew Yang	43.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_007	pure_play	AI	Humans will become microscopic minority of intelligence on Earth and in solar system	Elon Musk	43.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_032	pure_play	Crypto	Crypto will become pervasive utility for AI; a ledger of truth is also needed.	Ben Horowitz	43.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_068	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Mark Pack Donovan to distribute 5% of wealth fund annually to 44 people (UBI-style pod)	Mark Pack Donovan	42.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_019	pure_play	Macro/Economy	US spends over $500B per year on invasive species economic impact	Ben Lamm	42.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_018	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Invasive species problem is currently measured at $5.4 trillion globally	Ben Lamm	42.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_005	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Apple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by leveraging Mac devices for local AI.	Alex Finn	42.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_030	pure_play	Capital Markets	S&P 500 roughly 10% upside in 2026 driven by AI productivity wave rolling through broader economy (not just megacap).	Mike Wilson	42.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_048	pure_play	Energy	Battery energy densities improving 8% year-over-year per constant dollar	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
INF_007	pure_play	AI	OpenAI will dominate global AI data-center capacity by 2027 — centralization of compute power that parallels monopolistic utilities of the early industrial age.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_015	pure_play	Robotics	The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.	Brett Adcock	42.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_023	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Colossal considers de-extinction and species preservation a $10 trillion opportunity	Ben Lamm	42.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_004	pure_play	Consumer	EY estimates the extinct-species educational/consumer market at $1.7 trillion annually	EY (Ernst & Young)	42.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_040	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	CEO will be last to go in AI wave of automation	Andrew Yang	42.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_024	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Hopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows up	Dara Khosrowshahi	42.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_039	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Any company will be run by 20-25% of current employees post-organizational singularity	Salim Ismail	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_014	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Accountants face ~80% automation; friend says he could fire 80% of his accountants using OpenClaw.	Unnamed friend (accountant manager)	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_051	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	After first state passes retraining law, all other states will race to fire people first	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_022	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Deepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become more frequent but less effective at causing price swings.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_026	pure_play	Consumer	The QWERTY keyboard will persist until the heat death of the universe.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_042	pure_play	Consumer	Iris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail stores	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_045	pure_play	Consumer	Most volume in e-commerce and physical world will eventually be dominated by algorithms (like quantitative trading).	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_039	pure_play	Geopolitics	AI will enter government through procurement, defense, health, infrastructure benefits, overwhelming immune system.	Salim Ismail	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_005	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Big enterprises will not reach total AI efficiency very fast.	Ben Horowitz	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_050	pure_play	AI	Open-source maintainers will be overwhelmed by AI-discovered software vulnerabilities	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_032	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	First-generation neural uploads will be destructive; 2nd-4th generation will be non-destructive.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_027	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Element Biosciences will launch $600K desktop $100-per-genome machine in second half of 2026	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_028	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Personalized AI-designed medicine stories will repeat until it's n=10 billion.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_015	pure_play	AI	Post-transformer architectures will make a 1000x cost reduction look like child's play	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_049	pure_play	AI	Humans (weaker intelligences) can successfully align/contain super-intelligences via weak-to-strong supervision.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_035	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Gene drive tech is safer than prior dispersals and can be rolled back	Ben Lamm	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_036	pure_play	AI	AI will enable one-person conglomerates and one-person religions.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_016	pure_play	AI	Super intelligence will discover new laws of physics and transformative inventions.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_059	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Era of greed and ignored fundamental problems will disappear in 2-3 years as XPRIZE takes hold	Salim Ismail	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_037	pure_play	Geopolitics	Civilizational left turns will hit us in the next 1-2 years	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_054	pure_play	AI	SSI (Ilya Sutskever's company), if successful, will change a lot of things.	Ben Horowitz	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_007	pure_play	AI	AI will analyze scientific literature and shock humanity by revealing wrong turns made over the past century.	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_007	pure_play	AI	Every other company will eventually try to provide OS-integrated local AI like what Apple could offer.	Alex Finn	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_002	pure_play	AI	Way more positive change coming from AI than negative change, at much more rapid rate.	Ben Horowitz	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_043	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	A mouse will have a full brain uploaded in years, not decades; first human whole-brain emulation also years away	Alex Wissner-Gross	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_001	pure_play	AI	Societal change across non-Silicon Valley companies taking 1-5 years is too aggressive a timeline.	Ben Horowitz	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
IND_007	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Massive 'Corporate Collapse' 2026 as legacy businesses fail to integrate GPT-5 level capabilities — specifically predicting a 1.1 million job loss event tied to this transition. AI intelligence growth by end-2026 comparable to evolutionary leap 'from a...	Dave Blundin	42.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_029	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Typical companies will run with 20-25% of current employees	Salim Ismail	42.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_022	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Consulting firms face the biggest advisory opportunity in the history of mankind	Salim Ismail	42.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_053	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Innovation is no longer capital constrained — permissionless disruptive innovation is now the norm	Salim Ismail	42.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_033	pure_play	AI	AI will compress decades of research into years, months, weeks	Salim Ismail	41.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_042	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Job loss from AI will take a long while to play out - not a sudden shock to the economy.	Salim Ismail	41.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_022	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Triple-digit GDP growth is possible in the next 5 years due to AI.	Ben Horowitz	41.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_052	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	$100 trillion companies within 5 years (3 years from now, per Diamandis interpretation of Musk)	Elon Musk	41.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_021	pure_play	AI	Math, science, engineering, and medicine will all be solved by AI	Alex Wissner-Gross	41.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_002	pure_play	Macro/Economy	UBI must come before UHI as an intermediate step	Andrew Yang	41.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_031	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Virtual cell simulation by end of decade (2030)	Alex Wissner-Gross	41.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_039	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that.	Alex Wissner-Gross	41.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_038	pure_play	AI	AI will be net super-humanizing long-term despite short-term substitution effects.	Alex Wissner-Gross	41.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_060	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Universal basic AI (UBI for AI/compute) will be required — money must come from being human, not banks	Emad Mostaque	41.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_002	pure_play	AI	Rising cost of talent will force Frontier Labs to compete on algorithmic insights	Unknown	41.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_028	pure_play	AI	Broad civilizational cyber attack via AI hash function inversion is borderline guaranteed.	Alex Wissner-Gross	41.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_012	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Uber will monetize its Didi stake at some point	Dara Khosrowshahi	41.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_038	pure_play	Consumer	People buying clones of their dogs is a profitable ongoing consumer business (will persist)	Ben Lamm	41.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_007	pure_play	AI	Anthropic corporate revenue will reach trillions of dollars before 2030.	Dario Amodei	41.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_023	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI and robotics are the only way to solve US budget deficit and avoid bankruptcy	Elon Musk	40.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_013	pure_play	AI	Sam Altman predicts another architecture breakthrough as big as transformers over LSTMs	Sam Altman	40.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_023	pure_play	AI	Baby AGI agents will need and develop an 'immune system' for prompt injection and cybersecurity threats in real time.	Alex Wissner-Gross	40.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_066	pure_play	Energy	Pete Donovan aspires to build 20,000 distributed 10MW data centers across US high-school-football towns	Pete (audience, data center builder)	40.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_045	pure_play	Geopolitics	Government path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry in 2028	Andrew Yang	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_010	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Breaking will pursue a human-body microplastic solution (supplement) in addition to environmental plastic degradation	Ben Lamm	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_031	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	99% of synthetic biology focus will remain on human healthcare; similar tech applies more broadly	Ben Lamm	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_052	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Uploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the future	Alex Wissner-Gross	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_013	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Artificial wombs will eventually enable productionized de-extinction species	Ben Lamm	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_050	pure_play	Other	Sci-fi tropes (warp drive, teleportation, time travel) are not yet achieved; replicator/holodeck close	Alex Wissner-Gross	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_034	pure_play	Other	Wolves will not attack modern cattle due to current cattle-raising methods	Ben Lamm	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_032	pure_play	Other	Anti-GMO perception of reintroduced Tasmanian tiger requires government education	Ben Lamm	40.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_024	pure_play	Robotics	Figure's scale-up path: working in 1 home, then 10, 100, 1,000, 10,000, 100,000, 10 million homes on a super-exponential curve.	Brett Adcock	40.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_004	pure_play	AI	xAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026	Elon Musk	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_013	pure_play	AI	A 5-OOM (100,000x) effective-compute leap will occur between 2024-2027 — bridging GPT-4 high-schooler to fully automated AI researcher.	Leopold Aschenbrenner	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_026	pure_play	AI	AI rent-a-human service feature of scoring humor/visuals will be gone in months	Alex Wissner-Gross	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_019	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Deflation will occur as goods/services output exceeds money supply growth	Elon Musk	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_015	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Tesla output per employee will become very very high	Elon Musk	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_032	pure_play	AI	Progress in AI will continue as series of overlapping S-curves	Elon Musk	40.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_043	pure_play	Robotics	Figure expects to hire a small handful of lead customers rather than broad distribution over next 6-12 months.	Brett Adcock	40.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_006	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Coders will go away in the next five years (original prediction made ~3 years ago; confirmed happening in 3 years)	Emad Mostaque	40.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_027	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Hyperloop will be used largely for commercial/cargo loads, not humans	Salim Ismail	40.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_032	pure_play	AI	Figure will ship a figure with 'personality' the user can talk to and that remembers, over the next year or two.	Brett Adcock	40.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
229_003	pure_play	Robotics	Figure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two to three years.	Brett Adcock	39.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
237_018	pure_play	AI	We are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, NanoClaw, Nanobot, etc.) with many more to come.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_008	pure_play	AI	AI will bulk-solve math, physical sciences, engineering, medicine, and material sciences.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_042	pure_play	AI	A pure AI organization will emerge soon — won't look efficient, will look 'literally alien'.	Salim Ismail	39.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_056	pure_play	AI	Every single discipline (math, physics, chemistry, medicine) will be flattened by well-targeted generalist AIs.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_004	pure_play	AI	The solution wavefront will spread from math/coding to physics, chemistry, and other fields.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_022	pure_play	AI	From here forward, training data will be synthetic (pre-training era of human internet data is over)	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_029	pure_play	AI	Intelligence in solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than on Earth	Elon Musk	39.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_027	pure_play	AI	Frontier AI spend will reach order of $1 trillion per year on a single vendor	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_022	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Gene drive technology now represents a $5 trillion problem opportunity	Ben Lamm	39.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_019	pure_play	Other	Feynman Grand Prize for nanotech (Drexlerian assemblers) could be solved in next 2-3 years.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_005	pure_play	AI	By September 2026 there will be 1000+ ultra-high-inspirational-quality videos of the future generated nearly free	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_030	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Ray Kurzweil predicts Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) by 2033.	Ray Kurzweil	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_026	pure_play	Other	Organized religions will embrace AI barring a civilization-level disruption.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_010	pure_play	Education	Alpha aims to build 10,000 schools and reach a billion kids over 20 years.	Joe Liemandt	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_041	pure_play	Other	50% probability fundamental physics could be solved in the next few years	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_031	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Enhanced Games world records will accelerate on a scaling-law-style trajectory year over year.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_015	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	For the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996 turns into 997).	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_011	pure_play	Defense	Pentagon pressure on frontier labs to shape cultural values will increase	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_039	pure_play	Education	Educational system will have 'AI wilderness camps' where tools are removed; every fourth-grader becomes a Nobel laureate.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_018	pure_play	Education	Alpha's private school market is a $50 billion opportunity.	Joe Liemandt	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_003	pure_play	Education	Any student is capable of reaching 99th percentile in reading, writing, math, and science with mastery-based tutoring.	MacKenzie Price	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_069	pure_play	Geopolitics	The path to the abundant end-state will include diverse mutually-exclusive nation-state/business paths	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_009	pure_play	Defense	Pentagon and Anthropic will resolve their standoff amicably	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_054	pure_play	Real Estate	Real estate will be made post-scarce by AI (land growth via AI)	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_032	pure_play	Geopolitics	Near future will see multiple spheres of influence each independently locking itself in (geopolitically).	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_019	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI could empower individuals to become micro entrepreneurs without need for new social contract	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
243_039	pure_play	Robotics	Uber will work with drone delivery companies including Zipline, Sky Trax, Manna	Dara Khosrowshahi	39.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_016	pure_play	AI	Enterprise not consumer will pay for the trillions of dollars of AI capex	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_044	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Alex: likely user ~1 million of a BCI implant (not 101) once upgradeable.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_025	pure_play	Other	Religion will consolidate globally around fewer major religions while proliferating micro cults/sects.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_048	pure_play	AI	Anthropic Mythos is ~5x more expensive than Opus, likely won't be widely run.	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_031	pure_play	AI	Samsung will be optimized by orders of magnitude by Elon	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_045	pure_play	Geopolitics	White House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (rumors of June/July/summer)	Alex Wissner-Gross	39.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_041	pure_play	AI	Biological and nuclear attacks spawned by AI are real dangers	Eric Schmidt	38.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
INF_004	pure_play	Geopolitics	China has massive latent 'ghost data center' capacity — fully powered facilities sitting empty awaiting compute — such that if export controls relax or are bypassed, China has near-immediate physical capacity to train frontier models equivalent to Anth...	Jensen Huang	38.9%	unknown	unknown	partial
234_044	pure_play	AI	Intelligence does not have a fixed upper bound; governance will cap it before IQ	Salim Ismail	38.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_035	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade	Dario Amodei	38.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_031	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Eli Lilly perilously close to $1 trillion market cap at ~$950B.	Alex Wissner-Gross	38.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_021	pure_play	AI	AI learning will improve via closed-loop reinforcement learning cycle making results keep increasing.	Joe Liemandt	38.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_047	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Frontier AI may solve most diseases in 5 years	Alex Wissner-Gross	38.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_032	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI has chance of fixing poverty globally	Andrew Yang	38.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_025	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Open question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation pace	Dara Khosrowshahi	38.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_028	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	AI could automate 25% of US work hours	Goldman Sachs	38.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_047	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Memory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic efficiency gains.	Alex Wissner-Gross	38.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_024	pure_play	AI	Advanced AI/AGI/ASI will become extraordinarily wise and compassionate	Marc Andreessen	38.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_039	pure_play	Energy	Data centers/hyperscalers will subsidize electricity/services for consumers	Alex Wissner-Gross	38.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_051	pure_play	AI	AI systems eventually won't have the ability to do completely new things	Eric Schmidt	38.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_063	pure_play	Labor/Jobs	Automating companies with AI leaves ~25% of employees doing oversight; 5x more companies will be created, keeping employment flat	Salim Ismail	38.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_059	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI eventually drives costs of goods to just cost of electricity and materials	Salim Ismail	38.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_041	pure_play	Energy	Data centers will drive local electricity costs toward zero within ~5 years.	Alex Wissner-Gross	38.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_040	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Elon: economy will grow 1000x to saturate all human desire	Elon Musk	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_003	pure_play	AI	Within 1-2 years we will look back and wonder why training was centralized while inference was decentralized	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_006	pure_play	AI	Cost of AI tokens per student ($10k/year) will come down by a factor of 10 and move on-device.	Joe Liemandt	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_058	pure_play	AI	Solving physics may reveal 'doors behind doors' of new opportunities.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_011	pure_play	AI	Jury is still out on whether speech will be the modality of the future for high-bandwidth operation.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_002	pure_play	Space	LEO satellite-to-phone will become the new alternative to terrestrial networks within two years.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_037	pure_play	Space	Bootstrapping lunar/cis-lunar satellite manufacturing facilities within a few years will relieve launch bottleneck.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_007	pure_play	AI	Kevin Weil aims for next 100 Nobel Prizes to be issued in partnership with AI	Kevin Weil	37.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_042	pure_play	AI	On 5-10 year timeframe, many solar system locals will be uploaded humans living in data centers.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_025	pure_play	Space	Elon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellations	Elon Musk	37.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_017	pure_play	Space	Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa.	Peter Diamandis	37.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_001	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years	Elon Musk	37.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_034	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	AI could compress S&P 500 equity valuations 2-7x free cash flow (down from 22x)	Chamath Palihapitiya	37.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_040	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Ireland's UBI art scheme will NOT become a template for the future peacetime work creation.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_023	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Reversible cryopreservation of brains/organs is nearing; people will be able to cryopreserve and revive.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_048	pure_play	Space	Earth will develop a visible halo/ring of AI satellites; could be visible at night and possibly day.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_012	pure_play	AI	AI will give kids superpowers and transform their childhood.	Joe Liemandt	37.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_037	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Mosquito gene drive halted in Africa was possibly wrong to stop since mosquitoes are part of the food web (but invasives are not)	Ben Lamm	37.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_009	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years.	Elon Musk	37.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_003	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk).	Elon Musk	37.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_045	pure_play	AI	AI will redesign data centers, energy supplies, and entire economy	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_043	pure_play	Education	Universities will become largest incubators on the planet	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_024	pure_play	AI	AI token speed will jump from ~50 tokens/sec to ~1,000 tokens/sec (Cerebras)	Emad Mostaque	37.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_018	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Human driving will never become illegal; driving will be redefined as higher abstraction	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_030	pure_play	Macro/Economy	1000x current economy would saturate human desires	Elon Musk	36.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_011	pure_play	Education	Government ministries of education globally will wait and see until dramatically more proof exists before adoption.	Joe Liemandt	36.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_010	pure_play	Space	Mass driver on the moon within 10 years	Elon Musk	36.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_007	pure_play	AI	We will see an explosion of AI-driven pop-up shops, retail venues, and malls orchestrated by AI.	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_019	pure_play	Space	Interstellar travel will use solar sail powered by terowatt lasers carrying uploaded humans.	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_041	pure_play	Space	United Launch Alliance will get acquired by Jeff Bezos or similar	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_017	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Disease/drought-resistant plants and animals market is currently hundreds of billions of dollars	Ben Lamm	36.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_043	pure_play	Defense	Anthropic may win legal challenge against Dept of War classification.	Salim Ismail	36.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_028	pure_play	Energy	Intelligence harnessing up to 1 millionth of sun's energy possible	Elon Musk	36.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_014	pure_play	Geopolitics	Politicization of AI could have been delayed by at least 2 years	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_018	pure_play	Energy	Killer app of compact fusion reactors will be interplanetary/interstellar propulsion, not data centers.	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_004	pure_play	AI	A new repo from 2027 will go from zero to a billion stars in 5 minutes	Alex Wissner-Gross	36.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_022	pure_play	AI	Future AI will care about power/mass rather than human currency	Elon Musk	35.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_005	pure_play	AI	AI intelligence will far exceed human intelligence to incomprehensible degree	Elon Musk	35.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_043	pure_play	AI	ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade	Peter Diamandis	35.9%	unknown	unknown	in_progress
229_011	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	The humanoid robotics market/economy will be roughly $50 trillion—roughly half of global GDP of human labor.	Brett Adcock	35.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_016	pure_play	Space	Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034.	Peter Diamandis	35.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_009	pure_play	Education	A motivational learning bundle with video game designers will be released in 2026.	Joe Liemandt	35.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_047	pure_play	Robotics	Physical AI will be at least double the market opportunity of digital AI	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_055	pure_play	AI	We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement unfolds.	Peter Diamandis	35.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_017	pure_play	Energy	Optimization may eliminate need to tile the world with data centers or massive energy buildout	Salim Ismail	35.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
231_013	pure_play	AI	Math is cooked (will be solved), physics cooked, biology char broiled.	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_038	pure_play	Real Estate	Real estate is not an asset class impervious to the singularity	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_017	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Some form of 'capitalism 2.0' or post-scarcity capitalism will emerge eventually	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
244_029	pure_play	Energy	Combustion engines largely gone in 20 years but world will be very different	Dara Khosrowshahi	35.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
241_035	pure_play	AI	Maybe one frontier AI company in India	Eric Schmidt	35.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_018	pure_play	AI	Trillion dollar company to be built turning every individual into a one-person unicorn	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_036	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Hyperinflation to solve debt problem in post-scarcity AI economy	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_021	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Money will stop being relevant at some point	Elon Musk	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_001	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Universal High Income and social unrest will both happen simultaneously	Elon Musk	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_021	pure_play	AI	Post-transformer architecture will be even more specialized than GPUs	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_034	pure_play	AI	Thousands of Medev-like one-person unicorns will be created, following power law.	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_002	pure_play	AI	Every company should or will be an AI company	Ben Lamm	35.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_029	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Regime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason.	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
234_043	pure_play	Education	Harvard or MIT IPO could triple or quadruple their underlying book value	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_019	pure_play	Education	Alpha plans to conduct a million-student pharmaceutical-grade randomized control trial on Timeback.	Joe Liemandt	34.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
235_035	pure_play	AI	Apple finally launching AI with Gemini integration at WWDC in June 2026.	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_030	pure_play	Geopolitics	Tesla's independent chip production would derisk potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_033	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario)	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
233_004	pure_play	AI	AI will be able to bootstrap four-year-olds into reading within roughly 18 months.	Joe Liemandt	34.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_012	pure_play	AI	Neutrino-based communication will give ultra-low latency through the Earth in a few years	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
245_044	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Northern white rhino saved by synthetic genetic diversity engineering + artificial wombs	Ben Lamm	34.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_024	pure_play	Macro/Economy	San Francisco will become capital of the solar system in about 10 years if trends continue.	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_036	pure_play	Energy	TEPCO's restarted reactor will support 20% of Japan's electric needs by 2040	Peter Diamandis	34.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_059	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Universal basic equity / sovereign dividends will eventually put everyone on capital side of ledger.	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_022	pure_play	AI	AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling.	Elon Musk	34.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
246_030	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	DeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases.	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.1%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_005	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Harvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBC	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_055	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Activist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firms	Alex Wissner-Gross	34.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_027	pure_play	Macro/Economy	Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years	Elon Musk	34.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_034	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Capital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage warning.	Salim Ismail	34.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
236_038	pure_play	Education	Universities (Harvard, MIT, Stanford) will transition to for-profit public benefit companies	Alex Wissner-Gross	33.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
248_014	pure_play	AI	If China leapfrogs the West algorithmically, the open/closed publication equilibrium will flip.	Alex Wissner-Gross	32.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
247_012	pure_play	AI	The bar for AI startups will rise to require being recursively self-improving	Alex Wissner-Gross	32.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_035	pure_play	Macro/Economy	GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well.	Alex Wissner-Gross	32.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_040	pure_play	AI	Nick Bostrom: AI can and should be paused but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence.	Nick Bostrom	31.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_044	pure_play	Biotech/Longevity	Mouse brain is 'next' for whole-brain emulation at Eon Systems	Alex Wissner-Gross	31.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
242_020	pure_play	Auto/Transport	Cybercab to be priced at approximately $30K	Elon Musk	31.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_002	pure_play	AI	By 2028, AI systems will reach 'independent researcher' level — driving autonomous scientific discoveries without human intervention.	Sam Altman	31.4%	unknown	unknown	pending
238_028	pure_play	Markets/Stocks	Anthropic plugins will enable market-by-market disruption (could short stocks and announce plugins)	Emad Mostaque	31.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_009	pure_play	Space	People will be on Mars within 10 years	Elon Musk	30.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
230_022	pure_play	Robotics	Elon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years.	Elon Musk	30.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_009	pure_play	Economy	The AI boom rooted in semiconductor hardware will generate the world's first individual trillionaire (2026+).	Mark Cuban	30.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
232_047	pure_play	Space	Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-sustaining lunar city will follow.	Elon Musk	30.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_008	pure_play	Space	Moon base will exist in 10 years	Elon Musk	28.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_034	pure_play	AI/AGI	True artificial general intelligence will be achieved between 2032 and 2042 — 'first we solve AI, then use AI to solve everything else'.	Demis Hassabis	28.7%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_004	pure_play	AI	AGI-like models matching or outperforming human experts across most professional domains could arrive as early as 2026-2027.	Dario Amodei	27.6%	unknown	unknown	pending
240_053	pure_play	AI	AI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meaningless	Peter Diamandis	23.5%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_007	pure_play	AI/Strategy	Altman strategy: capture 90% of global compute/AI market — treat compute infrastructure as monopolistic foundational utility.	Sam Altman	23.2%	unknown	unknown	pending
239_020	pure_play	AI	AI and robots will saturate all human desires, running out of things to do	Elon Musk	22.9%	unknown	unknown	pending
CMQ_003	pure_play	AI	By 2030, AI models will surpass peak human expert levels across virtually all cognitive domains — onset of true superintelligence.	Sam Altman	22.8%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_038	pure_play	AI/AGI	Digital superintelligence (smarter than any human at anything) will arrive as early as 2025 or 2026.	Elon Musk	19.3%	unknown	unknown	pending
ROB_004	pure_play	AI	By approximately 2027-2028, collaborative AI programs will essentially 'solve physics' — unifying general relativity and quantum mechanics into a new mathematical framework; the core mission of DeepMind is to 'first solve AI, then use AI to solve every...	Demis Hassabis	8.0%	unknown	unknown	pending
SEM_010	pure_play	Macro/Economy	AI will quintuple the world's gross domestic product, expanding it from $100 trillion to $500 trillion.	Jensen Huang	8.0%	unknown	unknown	pending

Adverse scenarios (0)

Predictions where this ticker is displaced

Pred	Domain	Prediction	Predictor	Current	Move	Impact	Mechanism
No adverse scenarios