Figure will ship a figure with 'personality' the user can talk to and that remembers, over the next year or two.

Figure will ship a figure with 'personality' the user can talk to and that remembers, over the next year or two. | Yeah. And um we've been really focused on getting the core building blocks built. But like over the next year or two, I think you'll see us um I think I just want a robot in my home I can talk to like remember things. Talk to my kids.

Watch events: Figure 03 shipment volume; BMW, 2nd customer deployment count

Yeah. And um we've been really focused on getting the core building blocks built. But like over the next year or two, I think you'll see us um I think I just want a robot in my home I can talk to like remember things. Talk to my kids.

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_fXhVT67Uw",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "context": "over the next year or two, I think you'll see us um I think I just want a robot in my home I can talk to like remember things. Talk to my kids.",
  "to_year": 2028,
  "verbatim": "Yeah. And um we've been really focused on getting the core building blocks built. But like over the next year or two, I think you'll see us um I think I just want a robot in my home I can talk to like remember things. Talk to my kids.",
  "conv_cues": "I think",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "next year or two",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": "SEM_008",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": "SEM_042",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "238_009",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Figure 03 ships with persistent memory feature accessible to home users",
      "notes": "PARTIAL — Figure 03 unveiled with memory architecture, but full home deployment with conversational personality + persistent memory at user-facing scale not yet shipped. Adcock 2026 Twitter prediction explicit.",
      "source": "Time magazine — Figure 03 reveal explicitly notes memory feature; Brett Adcock confirms 'we want unsupervised multi-day tasks in homes' for 2026",
      "status": "partial",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "source_url": "https://time.com/7324233/figure-03-robot-humanoid-reveal/",
      "expected_date": "2026-11-14",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2027-06-30",
        "from": "2026-04-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure 03 (or successor) shipped to alpha home customers (Brookfield etc.) with documented voice/personality interface and demonstrable cross-session memory of user preferences, schedules, locations of items"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Voice-agent persistent-memory consumer norm reaches inflection (cascade enabler)",
      "notes": "Cascade — broader 'AI remembers you' UX makes the robot version less radical.",
      "source": "OpenAI memory rollout 2025; Anthropic Claude memory 2026; Hark personal-intelligence framing 2026",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "expected_date": "2026-11-14",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2027-06-30",
        "from": "2026-04-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Hark all ship persistent cross-session memory enabled by default for >100M MAU — establishes social norm Figure leverages"
    },
    {
  
... (truncated)