Money will stop being relevant at some point

Money will stop being relevant at some point | I think money will stop being relevant at some point in the future.

I think money will stop being relevant at some point in the future.

Beneficiaries (14)

Adverse (7)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5KCm_55xeQ",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "context": "I think money will stop being relevant at some point in the future.",
  "verbatim": "I think money will stop being relevant at some point in the future.",
  "conv_cues": "I think",
  "direction": "NOT_HAPPEN",
  "timeframe": "future, unspecified",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "238_009",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": "235_038",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": "242_057",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-30",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-30"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Anthropic CEO restates AGI 2026-2027 timeline at major venue",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "source_url": "https://www.windowscentral.com/software-apps/sam-altman-claims-agi-will-whoosh-by-in-5-years-with-surprisingly-little-societal-change-while-anthropic-ceo-predicts-a-2026-or-2027-breakthrough-theres-no-ceiling-below-the-level-of-humans-theres-a-lot-of-room-at-the-top-for-ais",
      "expected_date": "2026-06-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Dario Amodei (or Anthropic OSTP submission update) publicly maintains 2026-late / 2027-early powerful AI emergence timeline at named conference / regulatory filing"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Frontier model achieves novel scientific insight (Altman 2026 prediction)",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "source_url": "https://blog.samaltman.com/the-gentle-singularity",
      "expected_date": "2026-09-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2026-12-31",
        "from": "2026-07-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Peer-reviewed publication or major announcement attributes a previously unknown scientific result (drug target, math conjecture, materials property) primarily to a frontier AI model with limited human guidance"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "G20 / OECD policy paper acknowledges money/work decoupling scenario",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -1,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.45,
      "source_url": "https://www.un.org/en/un-chronicle/rethinking-universal-basic-income-economic-productivity-quality-life-and-sustainable",
      "expected_date": "2026-09-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Multilateral institution publishes policy paper that explicitly contemplates a post-scarcity / wage-decoupling scenario as plausible by 2030"
    },
    {
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "Money will stop being relevant at some point",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 1,
      "ordinal": 0,
      "source_id": "239_021",
      "expected_date": "2026-11-01",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Macro indicator: rea
... (truncated)