ASI will reinvent patent and copyright practices

ASI will reinvent patent and copyright practices | ASI is going to definitely reinvent patent and copyright practices.

Watch events: ARC-AGI-2 scores; Frontier Math Tier 4 benchmark; SWE-bench Verified; Humanity's Last Exam

ASI is going to definitely reinvent patent and copyright practices.

Beneficiaries (14)

Adverse (7)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOGHXAfvK8w",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "But yes, ASI is going to definitely reinvent patent and copyright practices.",
  "verbatim": "ASI is going to definitely reinvent patent and copyright practices.",
  "conv_cues": "definitely",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "timeframe": "Future (post-ASI)",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "USPTO updates inventorship guidance to expand 'significant contribution' threshold for AI-assisted inventions",
      "source": "USPTO 'Revised inventorship guidance for AI-assisted inventions' (2025); Alloy Patent Law 2026 update",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "source_url": "https://www.uspto.gov/subscription-center/2025/revised-inventorship-guidance-ai-assisted-inventions",
      "expected_date": "2028-03-16",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2029-12-31",
        "from": "2026-06-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "USPTO publishes Federal Register notice updating the November 2025 guidance to broaden allowable AI involvement in patent inventorship; tracks current PTAB liberalization trend on Section 101 AI-related claims"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Major copyright-infringement settlement / verdict against frontier AI lab establishes new training-data licensing precedent",
      "source": "PACER federal court dockets; Copyright.gov AI consultations",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.5,
      "source_url": "https://www.copyright.gov/ai/",
      "expected_date": "2028-03-16",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2029-12-31",
        "from": "2026-06-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Settlement >=$1B or jury verdict against OpenAI/Anthropic/Meta/Google in NYT, Authors Guild, music-publishers, or analogous training-data lawsuit; alters de-facto economics of training-data acquisition and forces statutory clarification"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Congress introduces AI-authorship / AI-inventorship statutory reform bill with bicameral sponsorship",
      "source": "Congress.gov; House/Senate Judiciary IP subcommittee dockets",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.3,
      "expected_date": "2028-12-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2030-12-31",
        "from": "2027-01-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Bill introduced in both House and Senate proposing amendments to Title 17 (Copyright) or Title 35 (Patents) to define rights for AI-generated works; sponsored by majority party committee chair on Judiciary IP subcommittees"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q1 window check-in (25%)",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2029-01-13",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "ARC-AGI-2 / Frontier Math Tier 4 / Humanity's Last Exam achieves >=80% benchmark passage by frontier model",
      "source": "ARC-AGI-2 leaderboard; Frontier Math benchmark",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.45,
      "expected_date": "2029-07-01",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2031-12-31",
        "from": "2027-01-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Public leaderboard for ARC-AGI-2, Frontier Math Tier 4, or Humanity's Last Exam shows score >=80% by any model; per metadata watch_ev
... (truncated)