150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that.

150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that. | I I think we have 150,000 people per day dying on Earth. And I think AI is probably the best chance we have at stopping that.

I I think we have 150,000 people per day dying on Earth. And I think AI is probably the best chance we have at stopping that.

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C1GLT9_tag0",
  "mode": "THESIS",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "I I think we have 150,000 people per day dying on Earth. And I think AI is probably the best chance we have at stopping that. I I think Nick Bostonramm, who also in the past 24 or 48 hours put out a a wonderful essay that I'd recommend everyone read called Optimal Timing for Super Intelligence, argues that AI can and should be paused, but only once we're on the verge of super intelligence.",
  "to_year": 2040,
  "verbatim": "I I think we have 150,000 people per day dying on Earth. And I think AI is probably the best chance we have at stopping that.",
  "conv_cues": "probably the best chance",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "unspecified",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "First fully AI-designed drug completes Phase IIa with efficacy",
      "notes": "HIT — Insilico INS018_055 announced Feb 2026 with significant Phase IIa efficacy.",
      "source": "Insilico Medicine — INS018_055 for IPF, designed and optimized by AI in 18 months at ~$6M cost vs $100-200M traditional",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -10,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.99,
      "source_url": "https://www.aimagicx.com/blog/ai-drug-discovery-pharma-cost-disruption-2026",
      "expected_date": "2026-02-28",
      "observed_date": "2026-02-28",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Drug fully designed by AI from target identification through optimization completes Phase IIa clinical trial with statistically significant efficacy reported"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "AlphaFold-derived AI cancer drug enters Phase 1",
      "source": "Demis Hassabis Davos 2026 confirmation of first AI-designed cancer drug entering Phase 1; Isomorphic Labs IsoDDE technical report Feb 2026",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://creati.ai/ai-news/2026-02-14/deepmind-ai-cancer-drug-clinical-trials-2026-demis-hassabis/",
      "expected_date": "2026-03-31",
      "observed_date": "2026-03-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "DeepMind/Isomorphic Labs or similar AlphaFold-pipeline cancer drug begins enrollment for Phase 1 clinical trial"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": "SEM_008",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "234_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Anthropic will exceed OpenAI in revenue this year (2026).",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": "235_002",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Stargate is a $500 billion multiyear capex program for distributed AI data-center construction (2025-2028, with Trump administration partner",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "
... (truncated)