The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity.

The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. | this facility will top out 50,000 a little under 50,000 units a year at full full capacity.

Watch events: Figure 03 shipment volume; BMW, 2nd customer deployment count

this facility will top out 50,000 a little under 50,000 units a year at full full capacity.

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "qty": "~50,000 units/year",
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_fXhVT67Uw",
  "mode": "FORECAST",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "context": "that facility can support about four lines. Each line can do about 12,000 units a year. So a little under 50,000 units a year... this facility will top out 50,000 a little under 50,000 units a year at full full capacity.",
  "to_year": 2027,
  "verbatim": "this facility will top out 50,000 a little under 50,000 units a year at full full capacity.",
  "conv_cues": "will top out",
  "direction": "NUMERIC_TARGET",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "at full capacity (near-term)",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
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      "label": "Figure publicly states 50,000 units/yr capacity target for Sunnyvale BotQ",
      "notes": "HIT — Figure publicly confirms 50K-unit annual target for current facility (with 12K initial line).",
      "source": "https://www.therobotreport.com/figure-ai-unveils-botq-high-volume-humanoid-manufacturing-facility/ — BotQ targets 50,000 units/yr",
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      "expected_date": "2026-03-15",
      "observed_date": "2026-03-15",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Brett Adcock or Figure officially announces 50,000-units-per-year nameplate capacity goal for the Sunnyvale BotQ facility"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "BotQ achieves one-robot-per-hour cadence (24x prior throughput)",
      "source": "https://www.humanoidsdaily.com/news/24x-throughput-figure-scales-manufacturing-to-one-robot-per-hour",
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      "confidence": 0.99,
      "source_url": "https://www.humanoidsdaily.com/news/24x-throughput-figure-scales-manufacturing-to-one-robot-per-hour",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-15",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-15",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure publishes data showing BotQ producing one Figure 03 every hour, sustained over a measurement window"
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026",
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)",
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
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    {
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "The current Figure facility will top out around
... (truncated)