Flying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 months

Flying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 months | flying cars are almost here. We're going to start to see them operating in the US in the next 18 months.

flying cars are almost here. We're going to start to see them operating in the US in the next 18 months.

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "qty": "18 months",
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMLcIWLlcWg",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "flying cars are almost here. We're going to start to see them operating in the US in the next 18 months.",
  "to_year": 2027,
  "verbatim": "flying cars are almost here. We're going to start to see them operating in the US in the next 18 months.",
  "conv_cues": "going to start",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "next 18 months",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "FAA publishes final powered-lift airworthiness rule (eVTOL framework)",
      "source": "https://www.altitudesmagazine.com/faa-issues-final-air-taxi-certification-rules-as-joby-and-archer-race/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -10,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.99,
      "source_url": "https://www.altitudesmagazine.com/faa-issues-final-air-taxi-certification-rules-as-joby-and-archer-race/",
      "expected_date": "2026-03-27",
      "observed_date": "2026-03-27",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "FAA publishes final powered-lift certification rule establishing airworthiness standards for eVTOL aircraft"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Joby achieves FAA Stage 4 type-certification clearance",
      "notes": "HIT - FAA confirmed late March 2026.",
      "source": "https://www.altitudesmagazine.com/faa-moves-closer-first-evtol-commercial-certification-joby-aviation/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.97,
      "source_url": "https://www.altitudesmagazine.com/faa-moves-closer-first-evtol-commercial-certification-joby-aviation/",
      "expected_date": "2026-03-31",
      "observed_date": "2026-03-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "FAA confirms Joby Aviation has cleared Stage 4 (airworthiness conformity review) of its type certification, the last major hurdle before Stage 5 issuance"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Joby completes US point-to-point demo flights (JFK-Manhattan)",
      "source": "https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/04/28/jobys-nyc-air-taxi-demo-is-the-evtol-commercial-breakthrough-finally-here/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/04/28/jobys-nyc-air-taxi-demo-is-the-evtol-commercial-breakthrough-finally-here/",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-28",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-28",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Joby Aviation completes first eVTOL point-to-point demo flights between JFK Airport and Manhattan heliports as part of FAA Integration Pilot Program"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "SEM_008",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": "SEM_042",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Recursive 
... (truncated)