Uploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the future

Uploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the future | I would say fully realized uploading is really going to be you. We're not there yet. It's not imminent

Watch events: Neuralink human trial enrollment; first commercial BCI

I would say fully realized uploading is really going to be you. We're not there yet. It's not imminent

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOGHXAfvK8w",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Host",
  "caveats": "Missing science/biophysics; not imminent",
  "context": "I would say fully realized uploading is really going to be you. We're not there yet. It's not imminent, but in in a fully realized uploading technology stack...my expectation is it really will be you.",
  "verbatim": "I would say fully realized uploading is really going to be you. We're not there yet. It's not imminent",
  "conv_cues": "my expectation",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "timeframe": "Future (not imminent)",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Cortical Labs CL1 maintains commercial neural compute platform with API access; whole-brain emulation NOT achieved",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://corticallabs.com/cl1",
      "expected_date": "2026-08-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2026-12-31",
        "from": "2026-05-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "CL1 platform remains commercially available with documented neuron lifetimes <12 months and minimal-viable-brain at <100 neurons (vs ~86B human neurons), per Cortical Labs roadmap and 2026 CL API paper"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Connectomics milestone: full mouse brain (~70M neurons) connectome mapped or in active mapping",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.55,
      "source_url": "https://www.microns-explorer.org/",
      "expected_date": "2028-12-31",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2030-12-31",
        "from": "2027-01-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "MICrONS / Allen Institute / Janelia announces completion or >50% progress on full-mouse-brain electron microscopy connectome, published in Nature or peer-reviewed venue"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Philosophical surveys (PhilPapers / Bostrom Future of Humanity follow-ups) show no consensus on personal-identity continuity after WBE",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.78,
      "source_url": "https://philpapers.org/surveys/",
      "expected_date": "2028-12-31",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2030-12-31",
        "from": "2027-01-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "PhilPapers survey or equivalent of academic philosophers shows <60% agreement on the question 'a successful WBE upload is the same person as the original'"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Whole-brain emulation timelines pushed back: leading labs (Cortical, Allen Institute, OpenWorm follow-ups) project WBE >30 years out",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -1,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.62,
      "source_url": "https://singularityhub.com/2025/12/11/how-scientists-are-growing-computers-from-human-brain-cells-and-why-they-want-to-keep-doing-it/",
      "expected_date": "2030-07-02",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2032-12-31",
        "from": "2028-01-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Cortical Labs / Allen / Future of Humanity Institute successor publishes roadmap citing >30 year WBE horizon, supporting 'not imminent' framing"
    }
  ],
  "repeat_eps": 1,
  "sub_domain": "Longevity",
  "untimeable": true,
  "affiliation": "Moonshots",
  "attribution": "FIRST_PERSON",
  "episode_num": 2
... (truncated)