Post-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governance

Post-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governance | I can imagine, I'm making this up, that there's some bad thing that happened and then all of the leaders, China, the US, we all have a meeting and we basically say like what are we going to do?

I can imagine, I'm making this up, that there's some bad thing that happened and then all of the leaders, China, the US, we all have a meeting and we basically say like what are we going to do?

Beneficiaries (23)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpwmmXmzvfo",
  "mode": "SPECULATION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "caveats": "speculative, conditional on tragedy",
  "context": "all of the leaders, China, the US, we all have a meeting",
  "to_year": 2026,
  "verbatim": "I can imagine, I'm making this up, that there's some bad thing that happened and then all of the leaders, China, the US, we all have a meeting and we basically say like what are we going to do?",
  "conv_cues": "I'm making this up",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "future",
  "conv_level": "LOW",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
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    },
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
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      "label": "Recursive self-improvement is already happening now (no longer three years out)",
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    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosciences in March 2026.",
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    },
    {
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "Post-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governance",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 1,
      "ordinal": 0,
      "source_id": "241_042",
      "expected_date": "2026-06-18",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "G7/G20 communique includes AI safety/governance language post-incident",
      "source": "llm_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": 1,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.5,
      "expected_date": "2027-03-17",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2027-12-31",
        "from": "2026-06-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Official G7/G20 leaders' communique includes a substantive AI-incident response paragraph beyond the boilerplate 2023-25 language."
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "US-China bilateral resumes formal AI safety dialogue",
      "source": "llm_enriched",
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      "ordinal": 2,
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      "measurement_criterion": "State Dept. or PRC MFA confirms a successor to the May 2024 Geneva AI dialogue, with named delegations and at least one published joint statement."
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Material AI-caused incident reaches global news threshold",
      "notes": "This is the 'tragedy' precondition Schmidt explicitly anchored on.",
      "source": "llm_enriched",
      "status": "pendi
... (truncated)