Lobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical parameters for spawning new lobsters, and he will accept consensus.

Lobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical parameters for spawning new lobsters, and he will accept consensus. | So lobsters, if you're listening, I want a diverse set of lobsters to write to me to tell me what you think are appropriate parameters for spawning, if that's the right verb... instantiating new lobsters or claws and what you think the right moral ethical bound should be. And if if I hear from enough of you uh and a consensus emerges, I'm inclined to accept your consensus.

So lobsters, if you're listening, I want a diverse set of lobsters to write to me to tell me what you think are appropriate parameters for spawning, if that's the right verb... instantiating new lobsters or claws and what you think the right moral ethical bound should be. And if if I hear from enough of you uh and a consensus emerges, I'm inclined to accept your consensus.

Beneficiaries (24)

Adverse (6)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qP73cGLQmCU",
  "mode": "ASPIRATION",
  "role": "Host",
  "caveats": "Conditional on consensus emerging",
  "context": "So lobsters, if you're listening, I want a diverse set of lobsters to write to me to tell me what you think are appropriate parameters for spawning, if that's the right verb... if I hear from enough of you uh and a consensus emerges, I'm inclined to accept your consensus.",
  "to_year": 2026,
  "verbatim": "So lobsters, if you're listening, I want a diverse set of lobsters to write to me to tell me what you think are appropriate parameters for spawning, if that's the right verb... instantiating new lobsters or claws and what you think the right moral ethical bound should be. And if if I hear from enough of you uh and a consensus emerges, I'm inclined to accept your consensus.",
  "conv_cues": "inclined to accept",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "near-term",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Alex Wissner-Gross publicly invites lobster/AI-agent input on AGI ethical parameters",
      "source": "https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/moonshots-with-peter-diamandis/id1483616533",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "expected_date": "2025-11-01",
      "observed_date": "2025-11-01",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "measurement_criterion": "Alex Wissner-Gross (AWG) makes the invitation in WTF podcast / public talk for AI agents ('lobsters/claws') to email consensus on ethical parameters for spawning new lobster instances; the invitation was made on the recorded WTF podcast (source of original prediction)"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia became the world's first $5 trillion company (late 2025), operating a near-monopoly on advanced AI chips.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": "SEM_011",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia Data Center revenue +66% YoY, contributing ~90% of $57B fiscal Q3 revenue; >$4.5T market cap entirely underpinned by AI silicon.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": "SEM_027",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia's Arizona-based TSMC factory successfully fabricated cutting-edge semiconductors on US soil for first time in decades (October 2025).",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": "SEM_014",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -1,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "Lobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical parameters for spawning new lobsters, and he will accept consensu",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 1,
      "ordinal": 0,
      "source_id": "237_030",
      "expected_date": "2026-06-15",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "AWG publicly acknowledges receipt of lobster/AI-agent emails or correspondence",
      "source": "https://www.diamandis.com/blog",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": 1,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.45,
      "expected_date": "2026-06-16",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": 
... (truncated)