Neural nets will be 100x bigger at end of 2026 than at beginning (already in the bag)

Neural nets will be 100x bigger at end of 2026 than at beginning (already in the bag) | you remember at the beginning of the year my prediction was 100x the the neural nets will be 100 times bigger at the end of this year than at the beginning. That is so in the bag now I can tell you. In fact, in fact, we did the math on that... the ratio of the intelligence from the beginning of the year to the end of the year is the same as buzzard to human. | End-2026 frontier model capability disclosures

Key catalyst: End-2026 frontier model capability disclosures

you remember at the beginning of the year my prediction was 100x the the neural nets will be 100 times bigger at the end of this year than at the beginning. That is so in the bag now I can tell you. In fact, in fact, we did the math on that... the ratio of the intelligence from the beginning of the year to the end of the year is the same as buzzard to human.

Dave's 100x neural net size Jan-Dec 2026. Claude Opus 4.7 released April 2026; GPT-5.4 same window; ~10-30x parameter growth confirmed, 100x aspirational. On-track for 30-60x.

Beneficiaries (24)

Adverse (6)

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  "context": "you remember at the beginning of the year my prediction was 100x the the neural nets will be 100 times bigger at the end of this year than at the beginning. That is so in the bag now I can tell you.",
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  "verbatim": "you remember at the beginning of the year my prediction was 100x the the neural nets will be 100 times bigger at the end of this year than at the beginning. That is so in the bag now I can tell you. In fact, in fact, we did the math on that... the ratio of the intelligence from the beginning of the year to the end of the year is the same as buzzard to human.",
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... (truncated)