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| Sim | Doc | Source | Pred | Domain | Prior | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | SEM_036 World-class AI programmers will appear within 1-2 years (by 2027-2028). Eric Schmidt | AI/Cognition | 70% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | SEM_036 World-class AI programmers will appear within 1-2 years (by 2027-2028). Eric Schmidt | AI/Cognition | 70% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 246_038 Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers). Peter Diamandis | Space | 60% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | AI_020 NVIDIA will launch a 'space computing' push via the specialized Vera Rubin Space Module — bringing AI infrastructure, geospatial intelligence, and autonomous operations into low Earth orbit, then to autonomous lunar manufacturing bases. NVIDIA | Space | 36% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | SEM_043 SpaceX is actively exploring deployment of data centers in space — seeking regulatory permission immediately as rivals investigate orbital compute. Gwynne Shotwell | Space/Compute | 54% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_007 AI regulation window is this calendar year 2026 before chaos breaks out. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 45% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | AI_037 EU AI Act compliance will become a first-class enterprise priority — Anthropic among first frontier labs positioning proactive regulatory governance as a competitive differentiator against hyperscaler peers. Daniella Amodei | Geopolitics | 60% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_007 AI regulation window is this calendar year 2026 before chaos breaks out. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 45% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | AI_037 EU AI Act compliance will become a first-class enterprise priority — Anthropic among first frontier labs positioning proactive regulatory governance as a competitive differentiator against hyperscaler peers. Daniella Amodei | Geopolitics | 60% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 247_045 1X Neo humanoid robot will be delivered this summer 2026 Peter Diamandis | Robotics | 32% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | 247_045 1X Neo humanoid robot will be delivered this summer 2026 Peter Diamandis | Robotics | 32% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 242_057 Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission Peter Diamandis | Space | 56% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_012 Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_014 Elon's stated orbital refueling and Mars/Moon timelines will slip. Alex Wissner-Gross | Space | 40% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 242_057 Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission Peter Diamandis | Space | 56% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_012 Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_014 Elon's stated orbital refueling and Mars/Moon timelines will slip. Alex Wissner-Gross | Space | 40% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | 242_057 Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission Peter Diamandis | Space | 56% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | 246_012 Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). Peter Diamandis | Space | 31% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | 246_014 Elon's stated orbital refueling and Mars/Moon timelines will slip. Alex Wissner-Gross | Space | 40% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 246_016 Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. Peter Diamandis | Space | 36% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 246_017 Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. Peter Diamandis | Space | 38% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-08 | 246_016 Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. Peter Diamandis | Space | 36% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-08 | 246_017 Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. Peter Diamandis | Space | 38% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_008 More direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and Remus Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_008 More direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and Remus Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.90 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_008 More direwolves will be produced after initial Romulus and Remus Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | CMQ_001 By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks. Sam Altman | AI | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | CMQ_005 AI will handle the entire software development process end-to-end within 6-12 months (by late 2026) — humans relegated to reviewer/editor role. Dario Amodei | AI | 56% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | CMQ_001 By 2026, AI will reach 'intern-level' capability — millions of virtual interns performing supervised, economically useful tasks. Sam Altman | AI | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | CMQ_005 AI will handle the entire software development process end-to-end within 6-12 months (by late 2026) — humans relegated to reviewer/editor role. Dario Amodei | AI | 56% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-21 | 231_030 US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited). Eric Schmidt | Energy | 49% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-21 | 246_037 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation). Peter Diamandis | AI | 53% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-21 | INF_032 Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price... Seattle Met / Washington State regulators | Macro/Economy | 54% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | 231_030 US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited). Eric Schmidt | Energy | 49% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | 246_037 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation). Peter Diamandis | AI | 53% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | INF_032 Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price... Seattle Met / Washington State regulators | Macro/Economy | 54% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | 231_030 US AI industry needs 80 gigawatts of power in the next 3-5 years (Eric Schmidt cited). Eric Schmidt | Energy | 49% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | 246_037 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical equipment shortage and regulation). Peter Diamandis | AI | 53% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | INF_032 Residential electricity costs are a structural byproduct of DC buildout: Washington state household electricity costs rose 10.3% from 2024 to 2025 directly tied to infrastructure strain, with utility-proposed rate increases projecting residential price... Seattle Met / Washington State regulators | Macro/Economy | 54% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | 235_025 Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | CMQ_022 AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling. Elon Musk | AI | 34% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 235_025 Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. Dave Blundin | Markets/Stocks | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | CMQ_022 AGI will arrive within a decade (by 2030) — driven primarily by massive raw compute deployment and neural-network scaling. Elon Musk | AI | 34% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 248_019 US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm. Alex Wissner-Gross | Space | 12% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | INF_018 SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 solar, near-absolute-zero vacuum for passive cooling, and eliminating freshwater consumption constraints of terrestrial facilities. Elon Musk | Space | 28% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_046 Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 235_046 Window of global AI regulation is a few months before capabilities proliferate widely. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_014 Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 35% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_015 The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 43% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_016 Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_014 Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expansion. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 35% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_015 The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full capacity. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 43% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_016 Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands to millions of robots per year. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | SEM_041 At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances). Brett Adcock | Robotics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | SEM_041 At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances). Brett Adcock | Robotics | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | 246_013 Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. Peter Diamandis | Space | 42% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | 247_041 AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional Peter Diamandis | Biotech/Longevity | 55% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.75 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_007 Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 45% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | COD_AI_004 Frontier agents reach one-workday autonomous task horizon by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | AI | 36% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | COD_AI_004 Frontier agents reach one-workday autonomous task horizon by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | AI | 36% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | COD_AI_001 Vera Rubin becomes commercially available across major cloud and OEM partners by H2 2026 Codex Research Pack | Technology | 51% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | COD_AI_001 Vera Rubin becomes commercially available across major cloud and OEM partners by H2 2026 Codex Research Pack | Technology | 51% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | COD_AI_002 At least one 1 GW Vera Rubin frontier-training cluster reaches deployment by Q1 2027 Codex Research Pack | AI/Compute | 40% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | COD_TECH_001 A16/N2-class TSMC process availability materially supports 2027 AI accelerator ramps Codex Research Pack | Semis | 50% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | COD_AI_003 EU AI Act GPAI enforcement powers begin on 2026-08-02 without a blanket delay Codex Research Pack | Geopolitics | 40% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | COD_AI_003 EU AI Act GPAI enforcement powers begin on 2026-08-02 without a blanket delay Codex Research Pack | Geopolitics | 40% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | COD_ROB_001 Figure sustains a one-robot-per-hour Figure 03 production run-rate for at least 30 consecutive days by Q4 2026 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 31% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | COD_ROB_003 At least two humanoid vendors exceed 1,000 cumulative deployed robots by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 33% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | COD_ROB_001 Figure sustains a one-robot-per-hour Figure 03 production run-rate for at least 30 consecutive days by Q4 2026 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 31% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_ROB_002 1X ships first paid NEO Early Access units to US homes in 2026 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 31% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_ROB_003 At least two humanoid vendors exceed 1,000 cumulative deployed robots by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 33% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | COD_ROB_002 1X ships first paid NEO Early Access units to US homes in 2026 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 31% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_ROB_003 At least two humanoid vendors exceed 1,000 cumulative deployed robots by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Robotics | 33% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | COD_SPC_001 Artemis III flies as an Earth-orbit HLS/EVA suit test mission in 2027, not a lunar landing Codex Research Pack | Space | 44% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | COD_SPC_002 The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028 Codex Research Pack | Space | 22% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | COD_SPC_002 The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028 Codex Research Pack | Space | 22% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | COD_SPC_003 SpaceX completes large-scale Starship vehicle-to-vehicle cryogenic propellant transfer by end 2026 Codex Research Pack | Space | 42% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_SPC_004 Europa Clipper completes Earth gravity assist in December 2026 Codex Research Pack | Space | 48% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-08 | COD_SPC_005 NASA Dragonfly launches on Falcon Heavy in the July 2028 window Codex Research Pack | Space | 33% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-11-13 | COD_SPC_007 NASA ESCAPADE arrives at Mars in fall 2027 after 2026 Earth gravity assist Codex Research Pack | Space | 43% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_SPC_006 Vast Haven-1 reaches orbit by end 2026 Codex Research Pack | Space | 52% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-06 | COD_BIO_001 FDA finalizes or materially advances AI-for-drug-submission guidance by end 2026 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 47% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | COD_BIO_002 An AI-designed Isomorphic or peer drug enters or completes Phase 1 by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 50% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | COD_BIO_003 Colossal completes mammoth embryo transfer into an elephant surrogate by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 20% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | COD_BIO_004 Colossal produces a live mammoth-like elephant calf by end 2028 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 12% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | COD_BIO_005 Colossal adds at least one more de-extinction species to active embryo-transfer pipeline by end 2028 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 47% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_BIO_003 Colossal completes mammoth embryo transfer into an elephant surrogate by end 2027 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 20% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_BIO_004 Colossal produces a live mammoth-like elephant calf by end 2028 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 12% | ||
| 0.70 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | COD_BIO_005 Colossal adds at least one more de-extinction species to active embryo-transfer pipeline by end 2028 Codex Research Pack | Biotech/Longevity | 47% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | AUT_009 'Powerful AI' (functional AGI) arrives 2026-2027 — data centers house a 'nation of geniuses' consisting of millions of highly specialized autonomous agents operating orders of magnitude faster than human counterparts; entire software development lifecy... Dario Amodei | AI | 22% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-19 | ROB_005 True AGI requires 'physical intelligence' — an AGI system must be able to control a robotic chassis to play sports or perform complex physical manipulations at amazing levels to truly mirror human brain architecture; software alone cannot achieve full ... Demis Hassabis | Robotics | 47% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | AUT_009 'Powerful AI' (functional AGI) arrives 2026-2027 — data centers house a 'nation of geniuses' consisting of millions of highly specialized autonomous agents operating orders of magnitude faster than human counterparts; entire software development lifecy... Dario Amodei | AI | 22% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-26 | ROB_005 True AGI requires 'physical intelligence' — an AGI system must be able to control a robotic chassis to play sports or perform complex physical manipulations at amazing levels to truly mirror human brain architecture; software alone cannot achieve full ... Demis Hassabis | Robotics | 47% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-21 | INF_050 Within approximately 6-7 years (2031-2032), major tech companies will operate their own small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) co-located directly with AI data centers — in the hundreds-of-megawatts range, bypassing the public grid entirely. Jensen Huang | Energy | 39% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-07-22 | INF_050 Within approximately 6-7 years (2031-2032), major tech companies will operate their own small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) co-located directly with AI data centers — in the hundreds-of-megawatts range, bypassing the public grid entirely. Jensen Huang | Energy | 39% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-09-24 | INF_050 Within approximately 6-7 years (2031-2032), major tech companies will operate their own small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) co-located directly with AI data centers — in the hundreds-of-megawatts range, bypassing the public grid entirely. Jensen Huang | Energy | 39% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-06 | 241_053 AI chips are 2 kilowatts each - requires water cooling Eric Schmidt | AI | 54% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-16 | 241_053 AI chips are 2 kilowatts each - requires water cooling Eric Schmidt | AI | 54% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 232_021 No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administration and China competition. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 75% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | CMQ_018 By 2027-2028, the strategic value of superintelligence + impossible trillion-dollar infrastructure cost will trigger government consolidation of AGI development — 'The Project'. Leopold Aschenbrenner | Geopolitics | 35% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | 232_021 No chance AI will be paused in the next three years given current administration and China competition. Dave Blundin | Geopolitics | 75% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-28 | CMQ_018 By 2027-2028, the strategic value of superintelligence + impossible trillion-dollar infrastructure cost will trigger government consolidation of AGI development — 'The Project'. Leopold Aschenbrenner | Geopolitics | 35% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | 229_033 Figure will deploy robots into its new 'Grid' facility to run 24/7 starting this month with Figure 3s. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 40% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-29 | INF_025 Figure AI targets deployment of 100,000 general-purpose humanoid robots by 2029, networked to a centralized 'universal brain' capable of controlling any robot body on Earth — requiring continuous high-bandwidth DC-to-edge data streams. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | 229_033 Figure will deploy robots into its new 'Grid' facility to run 24/7 starting this month with Figure 3s. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 40% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-16 | INF_025 Figure AI targets deployment of 100,000 general-purpose humanoid robots by 2029, networked to a centralized 'universal brain' capable of controlling any robot body on Earth — requiring continuous high-bandwidth DC-to-edge data streams. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 37% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | CMQ_052 Humanoid robot price will drop to ~$20K-$30K per unit — leased cost ~$500/month for a 24/7 robotic laborer, fundamentally altering physical-labor economics. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 22% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | ROB_009 External sales of Tesla Optimus will commence in 2026 at approximately $30,000 retail price — a $30K capital expenditure for a 24/7-capable machine represents a 36-week payback period vs the lowest US minimum wage; fundamentally alters the mathematics ... Elon Musk | Robotics | 18% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | CMQ_052 Humanoid robot price will drop to ~$20K-$30K per unit — leased cost ~$500/month for a 24/7 robotic laborer, fundamentally altering physical-labor economics. Brett Adcock | Robotics | 22% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-01-12 | ROB_009 External sales of Tesla Optimus will commence in 2026 at approximately $30,000 retail price — a $30K capital expenditure for a 24/7-capable machine represents a 36-week payback period vs the lowest US minimum wage; fundamentally alters the mathematics ... Elon Musk | Robotics | 18% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | SPC_012 SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical prerequisite for future Mars missions, enabling Starship depot-based beyond-LEO operations. Peter Diamandis | Space | 41% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-03-01 | SPC_012 SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical prerequisite for future Mars missions, enabling Starship depot-based beyond-LEO operations. Peter Diamandis | Space | 41% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-01 | SPC_012 SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical prerequisite for future Mars missions, enabling Starship depot-based beyond-LEO operations. Peter Diamandis | Space | 41% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-06 | 242_048 FDA will move to zero clinical trial model given enough Bayesian/computational evidence Alex Wissner-Gross | Biotech/Longevity | 36% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-06 | 247_033 Timelines for solving all disease are collapsing; Demis says cure all disease within a decade Demis Hassabis | Biotech/Longevity | 62% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-06 | 247_041 AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional Peter Diamandis | Biotech/Longevity | 55% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-01-06 | 248_029 Regime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason. Alex Wissner-Gross | Biotech/Longevity | 35% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | 230_031 We are in an era of domain collapse — AlphaFold pattern will repeat across many fields starting now. Alex Wissner-Gross | AI | 43% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | 247_033 Timelines for solving all disease are collapsing; Demis says cure all disease within a decade Demis Hassabis | Biotech/Longevity | 62% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-31 | 247_035 Dario Amodei will solve most/all neurological diseases by end of decade Dario Amodei | Biotech/Longevity | 39% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_024 Colossal gene editing will reach thousands of edits (up from current hundreds) Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 34% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_033 Colossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their environments Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 44% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-03-04 | 245_040 Biovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnerships Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 38% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_024 Colossal gene editing will reach thousands of edits (up from current hundreds) Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 34% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_033 Colossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their environments Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 44% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2025-04-07 | 245_040 Biovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnerships Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 38% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_024 Colossal gene editing will reach thousands of edits (up from current hundreds) Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 34% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_033 Colossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their environments Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 44% | ||
| 0.55 | codex_research_pack 2026-04-30 | 245_040 Biovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnerships Ben Lamm | Biotech/Longevity | 38% |