Predictions
143 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 3. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240_056 | AI | AI-timing | Anthropic enterprise market share to continue growing (went from 40% to 73% i… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| ROB_015 | Labor/Jobs | compressed-industrial-revolution-3yr | The 2025-2028 period is defined by massive automation/job displacement equiva… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 42.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 229_037 | Energy | humanoids | With humanoids, Greenland mineral extraction becomes viable even though Europ… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30 |
| 230_025 | AI | AI-timing | The next 18 months to 2 years will set the rules for the next century. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 230_034 | Macro/Economy | abundance | Abundance will be achieved by 2035. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 230_040 | AI | AI-scaling | AI capability/accuracy will improve recursively; output-checking issues will … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 231_012 | AI | AI-timing | Within 6 months to a year physics problems will be massively addressed by AI. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 231_044 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Universal High Income programs need to be figured out in next 2-3 years. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 234_014 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | We will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year period | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 234_015 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 235_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion companies will emerge before end of this decade. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_022 | Energy | AI-timing | US will add a record 86 gigawatts of utility-scale capacity this coming year. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 235_027 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Longevity VC market expected to grow from $8.5B in 2024 to $12-18B in 2026. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 235_029 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Big pharma companies will transition into longevity business in next 3 years. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_042 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO. | Peter Diamandis | 2/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 237_024 | AI | AI-timing | Skippy will listen to this YouTube video and self-improve based on the transc… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 237_025 | AI | AI-timing | We are currently in the midst of the singularity, not waiting for it in the 2… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 238_004 | Media/Ads | AI-timing | Future Vision X-Prize will produce at least one (possibly two) feature films … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 241_011 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | By end of 2026, no one will write code manually - it'll be a quaint skill | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 242_012 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Flying cars (eVTOLs) will be operating in US within 18 months | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 243_043 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Tesla Cybercab priced around $30K vs Waymo cars around $150K | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 243_044 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Tesla with FSD is 10 times safer than human driving (host claim) | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 246_002 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_004 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-05-31 |
| 246_006 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 246_037 | AI | NVIDIA | 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_051 | AI | AI-scaling | GPT-5.5 Spud will have equal or greater capability to Mythos. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 247_001 | AI | $100T | xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 247_006 | AI | AI-timing | Anthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 247_032 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Full cell simulation achievable within 5 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 247_041 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | AI-powered drugs have 85% phase 1 success vs 52% traditional | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 247_045 | Robotics | humanoids | 1X Neo humanoid robot will be delivered this summer 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 247_046 | AI | AI-timing | AI investment will reach $3 billion per day, up from $2B in 2025 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 248_004 | Space | SpaceX | Launching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 248_041 | Space | orbital-AI | Maine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute t… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| IND_017 | Macro/Economy | AI-CEO-billionaire-Agentic-Era-50T | Arrival of the 'AI CEO Billionaire' in 2026 — AI will automate knowledge work… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 22.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| SEM_044 | Space | SpaceX | Blue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating l… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 235_016 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026). | Peter Diamandis | 2/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 234_023 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | 80% of audit tech team roles at big four firms to disappear | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_028 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Lab grown meat will replace conventional meat as the healthier environmental … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 234_042 | Macro/Economy | jobs | AI displacement will collapse the payroll tax base funding Medicare/Social Se… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 236_008 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_003 | Media/Ads | orbital-AI | Moonshots podcast team will soon move into an Airbnb for continuous podcasting | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-09-30 |
| 238_011 | AI | $100T | Frontier AI labs will generate trillions of dollars in new revenue from break… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_013 | AI | AGI | Frontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_035 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents will outnumber humans — trillion agents vs 8 billion humans | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_054 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Post-capitalist society: compute, energy, raw materials will be the scarce re… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| 238_055 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Marginal cost of production will approach zero for most goods (molecular manu… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 240_025 | AI | AI-timing | Tesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per m… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_053 | AI | AI-timing | AI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meani… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |