Maine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute to orbit.

Maine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute to orbit. | the state of Maine passed the first ever statewide data center ban in the United States legislature passed an 18-month moratorum on new data centers to give the task force time to study their impact, which means time for all the other data centers to pull out ahead and for Elon's efforts to go to orbit to take place

Watch events: Starcloud Blackwell satellite (Oct 2026); Google Project Suncatcher demo satellite; FCC DC filings

the state of Maine passed the first ever statewide data center ban in the United States legislature passed an 18-month moratorum on new data centers to give the task force time to study their impact, which means time for all the other data centers to pull out ahead and for Elon's efforts to go to orbit to take place

Beneficiaries (22)

Adverse (3)

{
  "nia": false,
  "qty": "18 months",
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVvleNtllPk",
  "mode": "FORECAST",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "Maine's 18-month moratorum... time for all the other data centers to pull out ahead and for Elon's efforts to go to orbit to take place",
  "to_year": 2027,
  "verbatim": "the state of Maine passed the first ever statewide data center ban in the United States legislature passed an 18-month moratorum on new data centers to give the task force time to study their impact, which means time for all the other data centers to pull out ahead and for Elon's efforts to go to orbit to take place",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "18-month moratorium window",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Maine LD 307 18-month data center moratorium passes Legislature with bipartisan support",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -9,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.98,
      "source_url": "https://mainemorningstar.com/2026/04/09/landmark-data-center-moratorium-passes-maine-legislature/",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-09",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-09",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Maine Morning Star / state government records confirm bill passage through Legislature"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q1 window check-in (25%)",
      "status": "overdue",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2026-04-17",
      "observed_date": null,
      "miss_emitted_at": "2026-05-02T22:07:21.384228+00:00",
      "miss_emitted_by": "metadata_milestone_sweep"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Gov. Mills vetoes Maine data center moratorium (LD 307)",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.98,
      "source_url": "https://www.mainepublic.org/politics/2026-04-25/janet-mills-vetoes-moratorium-on-data-center-development-in-maine",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-25",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-25",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Maine Public / WBUR / TechCrunch confirm gubernatorial veto of LD 307"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Maine House sustains Mills' veto — moratorium dies; thesis premise (statewide moratorium gives time) invalidated",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "miss",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://www.centralmaine.com/2026/04/29/maine-legislature-sustains-mills-data-center-moratorium-veto/",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Maine House vote fails to override veto; LD 307 dead. Underlying premise of prediction (Maine moratorium creates window for orbital migration) negated."
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Maine Data Center Advisory Council established by EO (replaces moratorium pathway)",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": null,
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      "source_url": "https://www.maine.gov/governor/mills/news/governor-mills-signs-executive-order-establish-maine-data-center-advisory-council-2026-04-29",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Mills EO signed creating advisory council to study impacts; substitute for moratorium"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q2 window check-in (50%)",
      "status": "
... (truncated)