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DISH

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47
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0 explicit links; 47 public links lack move; 0 lack probability

Bull scenarios (0)

Predictions where this ticker benefits
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Adverse scenarios (47)

Predictions where this ticker is displaced
PredDomainPredictionPredictorCurrentMoveImpactMechanism
246_001Markets/StocksSpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO in history.Peter Diamandis78.6%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
SPC_016SpaceAI transforms Earth Observation satellites via on-orbit edge computing — parsing raw visual and radar data in space, downlinking only actionable insights rather than raw imagery; permanently handing tedious low-cognitive tasks to AI and reserving human...Ben Lamm72.3%unknownunknownLEO constellations + Starship cost-curve obsolete legacy satcom.
SPC_015SpaceAI will continuously analyze orbital trajectories of active satellites and space debris to predict collisions with superhuman accuracy — upon identifying collision risks, AI systems will autonomously command satellite Hall-effect thrusters to adjust or...Andrej Karpathy72.3%unknownunknownLEO constellations + Starship cost-curve obsolete legacy satcom.
SPC_003Markets/StocksThe 'Space 60' framework — mapping 60 public companies spanning the full aerospace supply chain — will drive value capture well beyond prime contractors to encompass raw-material suppliers, component manufacturers, and satellite-service operators, fund...Morgan Stanley65.1%unknownunknownLEO constellations + Starship cost-curve obsolete legacy satcom.
246_008Markets/StocksElon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view).Peter Diamandis62.4%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
231_037SpaceDyson swarm launchers will not be a SpaceX singleton; many orgs will launch their own.Alex Wissner-Gross57.8%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
248_004SpaceLaunching 40,000 V3 Starlinks requires only 3 Starship launches per week over 3 years.Peter Diamandis57.5%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
SPC_005Markets/StocksAST SpaceMobile (ASTS) will scale from $70.9M full-year 2025 revenue (guided $150M-$200M for 2026) to approximately $1 billion by 2027 — driven by direct-to-cell satellite technology commercialization.Morgan Stanley55.7%unknownunknownLEO constellations + Starship cost-curve obsolete legacy satcom.
230_016SpaceData center regulation in NY/elsewhere will accelerate moving compute to orbit (Dyson swarm).Alex Wissner-Gross54.7%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
SEM_043Space/ComputeSpaceX is actively exploring deployment of data centers in space — seeking regulatory permission immediately as rivals investigate orbital compute.Gwynne Shotwell53.6%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
246_004Markets/StocksSpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T.Peter Diamandis50.1%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
232_051SpaceAmazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Starlink and Amazon LEO.Peter Diamandis49.1%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_005SpaceStarship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day)Peter Diamandis49.1%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
232_045EnergyTesla and SpaceX each aim to generate 100 gigawatts of solar per year.Elon Musk47.8%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
231_035SpaceSpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving other providers constrained.Peter Diamandis47.6%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_002Markets/StocksSpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025).Peter Diamandis46.3%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_026Auto/TransportRocket point-to-point travel will win over hyperloop due to Starship launch cadencePeter Diamandis46.2%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_037SpaceChina will land on the moon before end of 2030China (government)45.7%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
248_041SpaceMaine data center moratorium gives other states / Elon time to move compute to orbit.Peter Diamandis45.3%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
230_033AIIntelligence explosion shockwave propagates from math → physical sciences → planetary systems, Dyson swarm by early 2030s.Alex Wissner-Gross42.8%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
246_010Markets/StocksSpaceX/XAI/Tesla will be the first $100 trillion company within 5 years.Peter Diamandis42.7%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_013SpaceArtemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028.Peter Diamandis42.2%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
248_001SpaceApple will soon pit Amazon (Global Star) against SpaceX Starlink as dual satellite vendors.Alex Wissner-Gross42.0%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_015SpaceElon will launch Starship toward Mars this year (2026, cited from Elon).Elon Musk41.6%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_014SpaceElon's stated orbital refueling and Mars/Moon timelines will slip.Alex Wissner-Gross40.1%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
234_040Real EstateElon predicts FSD and Starlink may reverse urbanization in AmericaElon Musk38.4%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_007Markets/StocksPrediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab valuePrediction markets37.6%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_051SpaceDyson swarm compute infrastructure will be realized in a few yearsAlex Wissner-Gross37.0%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
234_045SpaceMoon disassembly for AI data centers may not actually be needed due to physics advancesAlex Wissner-Gross36.9%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
246_054SpaceBlue Origin gearing up to be first-tier competitor with SpaceX for moon missions.Alex Wissner-Gross36.7%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_038SpaceHumans will land on the moon again in 2-3 years via StarshipAlex Wissner-Gross35.2%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_007Markets/StocksSpaceX road show will begin in June 2026.Peter Diamandis35.1%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
242_009SpaceWe will have multiple Dyson swarmsAlex Wissner-Gross33.9%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
232_046SpaceSpaceX will build a system that allows anyone to travel to moon and Mars after Starship V3 flies repeatedly.Elon Musk32.5%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
SEM_044SpaceBlue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating lunar economy and resource extraction as immediate commercial priority.Peter Diamandis32.2%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_009Markets/StocksSpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need.Alex Wissner-Gross32.1%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
246_020GeopoliticsChina will land on moon by 2030 (credible competitive mission).Alex Wissner-Gross31.7%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
235_016SpaceSpaceX IPO anticipated potentially as early as next month (April 2026).Peter Diamandis31.2%unknownunknownStarlink LEO capacity + Starship cost curve destroys GEO satcom unit economics; legacy satellite operators face stranded capacity 2026-2030.
237_026AIThe cadence of AI breakthroughs and Moonshot episodes will keep picking up as we are in the singularity.Peter Diamandis31.2%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
231_032SpaceEveryone (China included) will want their own Dyson swarms/Saturnian rings in solar-synchronous orbit.Alex Wissner-Gross31.2%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
246_012SpaceArtemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests).Peter Diamandis30.5%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
234_029SpaceHumans will not take cows to the moon or Mars as foodstockAlex Wissner-Gross30.0%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
235_040SpaceEarth-scale Dyson swarm in solar synchronous orbit will be built regardless of physics.Alex Wissner-Gross26.2%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
238_003Media/AdsMoonshots podcast team will soon move into an Airbnb for continuous podcastingPeter Diamandis25.0%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
232_049SpaceDyson swarm of AI orbital data centers will be built by disassembling the moon via mass drivers.Alex Wissner-Gross19.0%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
248_019SpaceUS data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm.Alex Wissner-Gross11.9%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.
248_037AIState data-center moratoriums will accelerate Dyson-swarm / orbital compute innovation due to constriction.Alex Wissner-Gross10.2%unknownunknownOrbital compute + Starlink backhaul marginalizes geostationary comms and legacy earth-observation providers.