Predictions
39 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMQ_053 | Robotics | Figure-funding | Figure AI secured $675M Series B in 2024 and partnered commercially with BMW … | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | A | 99.0% | hit | 2024-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| SEM_041 | Robotics | humanoids | At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by spe… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | B | 45.0% | partial | 2025-01-01 – 2025-11-30 |
| 229_001 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will put robots on its own manufacturing lines (BotQ) this year to bui… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 229_002 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will scale out robots in industrial/commercial workforce in 2026 via i… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 229_003 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure is effectively sold out on its current customer base for the next two … | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 229_007 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure's entire 2026 roadmap will be built around Helix 2, extending from log… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| 229_020 | Robotics | humanoids | By end of 2026, Figure will be able to drop a robot into an unseen home and d… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 229_022 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure plans to launch an alpha in-home test robot (in Adcock's home) doing e… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 229_026 | Robotics | AI-scaling | By next year (2027), Figure expects to show real general purpose capability i… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 229_043 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure expects to hire a small handful of lead customers rather than broad di… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| CMQ_052 | Robotics | humanoid-economics | Humanoid robot price will drop to ~$20K-$30K per unit — leased cost ~$500/mon… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | A | 45.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| CMQ_055 | Robotics | humanoid-UI | Multimodal voice recognition powered by generative AI will serve as the defau… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | A | 78.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| CYB_018 | Robotics | Figure-39B-valuation | Figure AI valuation has eclipsed $39 billion by early 2026 — surpassing Space… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 229_033 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will deploy robots into its new 'Grid' facility to run 24/7 starting t… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-02-01 – 2026-02-28 |
| 229_005 | Robotics | humanoids | The global humanoid robotics industry will consolidate to far fewer than 10 p… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | B | 62.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_012 | Robotics | humanoids | Every major tech company in the world will enter the humanoid robotics space. | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_014 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will be able to make millions of robots via BotQ and future BotQ expan… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_016 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will scale manufacturing from thousands to tens of thousands to hundre… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_017 | Robotics | humanoids | Long term, robot cost will fall to $10,000-$20,000 per unit. | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 229_018 | Robotics | humanoids | In the future, everything that moves (besides humans) will be a robot. | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 229_019 | Robotics | humanoids | Humanoids will dominate the plurality of all robots; other form factors will … | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_024 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure's scale-up path: working in 1 home, then 10, 100, 1,000, 10,000, 100,0… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_028 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 229_029 | Robotics | humanoids | Humanoid robots could become safer than humans by a large margin, similar to … | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 229_031 | Robotics | humanoids | At some point, you'll walk out in a city (likely San Francisco first) and see… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_039 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will integrate additional sensors (infrared, ultraviolet, etc.) into f… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 229_045 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure will not differentiate by vertical form factor—general-purpose humanoi… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 229_046 | Robotics | humanoids | Current Figure robots have 3-5x headroom in speed via existing actuators once… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-09-30 |
| 229_006 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure will graduate from room-scale autonomy to full-house autonomy next. | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 229_015 | Robotics | AI-timing | The current Figure facility will top out around 50,000 units per year at full… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 229_030 | Robotics | humanoids | If Figure solved a general-purpose humanoid today, they could ship a billion … | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 229_034 | Robotics | humanoids | Robot production cadence target: one robot every ~30 minutes in the near term. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 229_021 | Robotics | humanoids | In 2027, Figure will be on the path to ship robots into users' homes and iter… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 229_023 | Robotics | humanoids | First Figure robot in a customer's home expected 2027-2029 timeframe. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 229_009 | Robotics | humanoids | Within roughly 24 months, robots will build robots on Figure's lines. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 229_025 | Robotics | AI-timing | Competitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two yea… | Brett Adcock | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| INF_025 | Robotics | humanoid-deployment | Figure AI targets deployment of 100,000 general-purpose humanoid robots by 20… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | A | 40.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-09-30 |
| 229_010 | Robotics | humanoids | Eventually there will be tens of billions of humanoids on planet Earth—one pe… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2040-10-31 |
| AI_030 | Robotics | humanoids-outnumber-workers-2035 | By 2035, synthetic humanoid workers will physically outnumber human employees… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | A | 35.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-11-30 |