Figure plans to launch an alpha in-home test robot (in Adcock's home) doing end-to-end home work during 2026.

Figure plans to launch an alpha in-home test robot (in Adcock's home) doing end-to-end home work during 2026. | in 26 we launch we launched a robot to do like end to end home work like an alpha testing like in my home to do like full like mopping cleaning full scale like you know long horizon work

Watch events: Figure 03 shipment volume; BMW, 2nd customer deployment count

in 26 we launch we launched a robot to do like end to end home work like an alpha testing like in my home to do like full like mopping cleaning full scale like you know long horizon work

Beneficiaries (24)

Adverse (5)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_fXhVT67Uw",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "context": "um young earliest latest window. We we we pro I think last year I said in you know in this year in 2020 um in 2025 we uh in 26 we launch we launched a robot to do like end to end home work like an alpha testing like in my home to do like full like mopping cleaning full scale like you know long horizon work",
  "to_year": 2026,
  "verbatim": "in 26 we launch we launched a robot to do like end to end home work like an alpha testing like in my home to do like full like mopping cleaning full scale like you know long horizon work",
  "conv_cues": "we launch",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2026,
  "timeframe": "2026",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "At least 100,000 personal AI robots will be preordered in 2025 (driven by speech/vision/dexterity advances).",
      "status": "partial",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": "SEM_041",
      "expected_date": "2025-11-30",
      "observed_date": "2025-11-30"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Figure 03 unveiled with home-focused dexterity stack (Helix VLA, washing/dishwasher/laundry demos)",
      "source": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Figure_AI — Figure 03 demonstrations of laundry/dishwasher/package sorting reported by early 2026",
      "status": "overdue",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.92,
      "expected_date": "2026-02-28",
      "miss_emitted_at": "2026-05-02T22:07:21.384228+00:00",
      "miss_emitted_by": "metadata_milestone_sweep",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure publicly demonstrates Figure 03 humanoid completing at least 2 distinct home tasks (laundry loading, dishwasher, package sorting, etc.) in publicly released video before end of Q1 2026"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": "SEM_008",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "2025 will be the definitive year that agentic systems finally hit the mainstream.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": "SEM_042",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Helix v3 long-horizon planning model deployed enabling multi-step home task execution",
      "source": "https://interestingengineering.com/ai-robotics/science-fiction-become-reality-in-2026 — Figure CEO discusses memory AI and long-horizon humanoid work in 2026",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "expected_date": "2026-05-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2026-08-31",
        "from": "2026-03-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure publishes technical blog/paper demonstrating Helix VLA capable of >5-minute autonomous task chains (e.g., load laundry then start machine then fold) with human-intervention metric tracked"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "BotQ commercial-scale manufacturing facility supports alpha unit production",
      "source": "https://sacra.com/c/figure-ai/ — Fig
... (truncated)