Within roughly 24 months, robots will build robots on Figure's lines.

Within roughly 24 months, robots will build robots on Figure's lines. | And so like there is really no um and then you know we will be at a point I hope in 24 months where the all the robots will build all the robots.

Watch events: Figure 03 shipment volume; BMW, 2nd customer deployment count

And so like there is really no um and then you know we will be at a point I hope in 24 months where the all the robots will build all the robots.

Beneficiaries (24)

Adverse (5)

{
  "nia": false,
  "qty": "100% robot-built",
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_fXhVT67Uw",
  "mode": "ASPIRATION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "caveats": "aspiration",
  "context": "I mean, you're basically building like a replica of a human that's really cheap that works 24/7. And so like there is really no um and then you know we will be at a point I hope in 24 months where the all the robots will build all the robots.",
  "to_year": 2028,
  "verbatim": "And so like there is really no um and then you know we will be at a point I hope in 24 months where the all the robots will build all the robots.",
  "conv_cues": "I hope",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "from_year": 2028,
  "timeframe": "in 24 months",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Figure 03 enters production with manufacturing-cost optimized design",
      "source": "https://www.figure.ai/news/production-at-bmw",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
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      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.9,
      "expected_date": "2025-10-15",
      "observed_date": "2025-10-15",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure announces Figure 03 (third-gen) commercial release with cost-optimized BOM and target unit economics enabling >=10,000 unit annual production"
    },
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      "label": "Figure 02 logs >=1,250 hours on BMW Spartanburg active assembly line",
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      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "expected_date": "2025-12-31",
      "observed_date": "2025-12-31",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Figure AI press release or BMW Group disclosure confirms Figure 02 robots accumulated >=1,000 hours on active production line with measured contribution to vehicle output"
    },
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      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Figure 02 helps produce >=30,000 BMW X3 vehicles via sheet-metal loading",
      "source": "https://humanoidroboticstechnology.com/industry-news/figure-humanoid-robots-contributed-to-the-production-of-30000-cars-at-bmw/",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
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      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "expected_date": "2026-04-15",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-15",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Joint Figure/BMW disclosure confirms >=20,000 vehicles produced where Figure 02 contributed to material-handling/assembly tasks on active line, with >=50,000 parts loaded"
    },
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      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Nvidia quadrupled chip production output while only doubling human headcount — achieved by deploying AI coding tools (Cursor, Claude Code) a",
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      "weight": 0.5,
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      "source_id": "SEM_012",
      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "label": "Training runs costing $10 billion for a single model will commence sometime in 2025.",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.5,
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      "expected_date": "2026-04-29",
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      "kind": "prereq",
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      "kind": "prereq",
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      "ordinal": -4,
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    {
      "kind": "prereq",
      "lab
... (truncated)