Validations Queue

64,690 candidate doc → node links pending adjudication. Each was auto-generated by cosine similarity ≥ 0.55 between document and prediction embeddings (bge-base-en-v1.5, 768-dim). Showing page 23 of 26, 100 rows by similarity. Adjudicating updates doc_node_links.reviewed=true with the chosen polarity, writes per-link rows to audit_log, and removes the row from this queue. Phase 4 inference will use confirmed corroborates/contradicts links as Bayesian evidence.

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Confirm or label (corroborates / contradicts) all unreviewed links above a similarity threshold in one transaction. Each affected row writes a per-link audit_log entry. Capped at 1,000 links per call. Use Preview first.

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SimDocSourcePredDomainPrior
0.57github_release
2025-12-14
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI41%
0.57github_release
2022-12-14
S_ROBOTAXI_TESLA_2026
Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026
robotaxi_deployment40%
0.57github_release
2023-05-22
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.57github_release
2025-11-11
241_031
Scientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvement
Eric Schmidt
AI48%
0.57github_release
2025-01-31
COD_AI_001
Vera Rubin becomes commercially available across major cloud and OEM partners by H2 2026
Codex Research Pack
Technology51%
0.57github_release
2024-06-14
231_002
Grok 5 launches in March with massive expansion in training set, parameters, and capability.
Dave Blundin
AI30%
0.57github_release
2023-08-07
240_020
New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAI
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.57github_release
2022-04-12
238_038
Compute will remain scarce until Dyson swarm is built; scarce AI agent attention will be monetized
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2021-08-19
248_019
US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space12%
0.57github_release
2021-07-15
248_037
State data-center moratoriums will accelerate Dyson-swarm / orbital compute innovation due to constriction.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI10%
0.57github_release
2021-01-07
248_019
US data center moratoriums will push AI compute out to LEO / sun-synchronous orbit / Dyson swarm.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space12%
0.57github_release
2020-09-15
241_049
Underage kids / AI vulnerability problem must be solved - line we can't cross
Eric Schmidt
AI51%
0.57github_release
2026-02-12
AI_017
NVIDIA will make Agentic AI the primary demand vector via two specialized products: the 'NemoClaw' developer toolkit for building/orchestrating autonomous agents, and the 'Vera CPU rack' hardware platform explicitly designed to host, deploy, and execut...
Jensen Huang
Semis75%
0.57github_release
2022-12-08
AI_025
Most current generative AI wrappers are transient — they will fade into the background as infrastructure layers, analogous to Radio Shack fading in the Windows/PC era; winners will be infrastructure and verticalized depth plays, not thin API-wrapper apps.
Mark Cuban
AI60%
0.57github_release
2022-08-23
COD_TECH_001
A16/N2-class TSMC process availability materially supports 2027 AI accelerator ramps
Codex Research Pack
Semis50%
0.57github_release
2025-09-16
245_025
Colossal gene editing efficiency has risen from 15% industry / 40% internal to 90% at hundreds of edits
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity80%
0.57github_release
2018-03-01
229_039
Figure will integrate additional sensors (infrared, ultraviolet, etc.) into future humanoids.
Brett Adcock
Robotics28%
0.57github_release
2019-06-20
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis87%
0.57github_release
2025-10-14
TK08
Humanoid Capital Collapse (Figure/Apptronik Flop)
22%
0.57github_release
2025-09-03
237_019
Code generation models are pushing development in the direction of TypeScript instead of Rust for memory safety.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2025-08-13
242_044
Base AI models becoming commodity; value migrates up the stack
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2023-11-14
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis87%
0.57github_release
2022-12-16
CMQ_058
Localized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300' silicon) will allow developers to run powerful inference workloads directly on-premises — reducing cloud dependency.
Alex Finn
AI/Compute59%
0.57github_release
2026-05-07
245_033
Colossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their environments
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity44%
0.57github_release
2026-04-26
231_015
Next Deep Seek model release will be when Chinese open-weight models catch up to American frontier models.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI34%
0.57github_release
2026-04-26
248_022
Deepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become more frequent but less effective at causing price swings.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Markets/Stocks42%
0.57github_release
2023-03-08
248_014
If China leapfrogs the West algorithmically, the open/closed publication equilibrium will flip.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI32%
0.57github_release
2019-06-14
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.57github_release
2024-05-16
S_ROBOTAXI_TESLA_2026
Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026
robotaxi_deployment40%
0.57github_release
2025-10-28
CYB_029
Corporate API providers will increasingly restrict third-party agent harnesses (exemplified by Anthropic's April 2026 ban of OpenClaw) — this structural conflict highlights the precarious nature of building autonomous enterprises atop proprietary APIs,...
Anthropic
AI80%
0.57github_release
2025-04-09
COD_AI_001
Vera Rubin becomes commercially available across major cloud and OEM partners by H2 2026
Codex Research Pack
Technology51%
0.57github_release
2022-04-12
231_037
Dyson swarm launchers will not be a SpaceX singleton; many orgs will launch their own.
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space58%
0.57github_release
2021-04-28
237_030
Lobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical parameters for spawning new lobsters, and he will accept consensus.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI38%
0.57github_release
2021-02-01
241_049
Underage kids / AI vulnerability problem must be solved - line we can't cross
Eric Schmidt
AI51%
0.57github_release
2020-08-18
248_037
State data-center moratoriums will accelerate Dyson-swarm / orbital compute innovation due to constriction.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI10%
0.57github_release
2020-06-29
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.57github_release
2020-02-07
229_042
Figure believes there will be a single omni-model fusing language, vision, action, memory — not multiple specialized neural nets per task.
Brett Adcock
AI40%
0.57github_release
2022-08-23
CMQ_058
Localized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300' silicon) will allow developers to run powerful inference workloads directly on-premises — reducing cloud dependency.
Alex Finn
AI/Compute59%
0.57github_release
2026-04-23
235_037
Auto-regressive transformers and diffusion models will consolidate into one unified architecture.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2024-09-26
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.57github_release
2025-08-15
240_020
New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAI
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.57github_release
2024-10-24
CMQ_025
The entire global installed base of data centers must be ripped out and replaced — legacy DCs unfit for AI factory workloads.
Jensen Huang
AI/Compute49%
0.57github_release
2023-11-14
235_005
AI capability will grow 100x this year in raw parameter count as lower bound.
Dave Blundin
AI49%
0.57github_release
2023-05-08
AI_025
Most current generative AI wrappers are transient — they will fade into the background as infrastructure layers, analogous to Radio Shack fading in the Windows/PC era; winners will be infrastructure and verticalized depth plays, not thin API-wrapper apps.
Mark Cuban
AI60%
0.57github_release
2023-08-29
COD_ROB_002
1X ships first paid NEO Early Access units to US homes in 2026
Codex Research Pack
Robotics31%
0.57github_release
2021-01-25
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.57github_release
2025-11-12
COD_TECH_001
A16/N2-class TSMC process availability materially supports 2027 AI accelerator ramps
Codex Research Pack
Semis50%
0.57github_release
2019-06-24
238_024
AI token speed will jump from ~50 tokens/sec to ~1,000 tokens/sec (Cerebras)
Emad Mostaque
AI37%
0.57github_release
2025-12-03
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.57github_release
2019-06-14
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis87%
0.57github_release
2025-10-28
CYB_009
Hardware-software alignment will force widespread foundational-codebase rewrites — exemplified by Midjourney's strategic migration from Google TPU architecture to native GPU framework, enabling hyper-fast personalization, HD generation, and massive par...
David Holz
AI77%
0.57github_release
2022-12-21
242_051
Dyson swarm compute infrastructure will be realized in a few years
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space37%
0.57github_release
2020-08-18
237_002
We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quickly as an early domain being developed.
Peter Diamandis
AI55%
0.57github_release
2026-04-12
S_ASI_SLOW_2040PLUS
ASI slow: post-2040 / soft takeoff
asi_recursive_self_improvement60%
0.57github_release
2020-07-30
231_015
Next Deep Seek model release will be when Chinese open-weight models catch up to American frontier models.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI34%
0.57github_release
2025-10-22
247_012
The bar for AI startups will rise to require being recursively self-improving
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI32%
0.57github_release
2026-04-23
INF_072
There is approximately a 50/50 chance that simply scaling existing methodologies (transformer architecture + more data + more compute) will be enough to reach AGI — though "nowhere near" human-level AGI currently.
Demis Hassabis
AI40%
0.57github_release
2025-04-05
CMQ_058
Localized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300' silicon) will allow developers to run powerful inference workloads directly on-premises — reducing cloud dependency.
Alex Finn
AI/Compute59%
0.57github_release
2025-08-27
CYB_029
Corporate API providers will increasingly restrict third-party agent harnesses (exemplified by Anthropic's April 2026 ban of OpenClaw) — this structural conflict highlights the precarious nature of building autonomous enterprises atop proprietary APIs,...
Anthropic
AI80%
0.57github_release
2025-08-13
AI_010
The 2026 development landscape has entered the 'Slopacolypse' — AI writes the vast majority of new code, developer manual-coding skills atrophy, and engineering transitions from syntax-writing to high-level architectural prompting and 'vibe coding'.
Andrej Karpathy
AI90%
0.57github_release
2024-06-05
240_020
New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAI
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.57github_release
2024-06-05
CYB_029
Corporate API providers will increasingly restrict third-party agent harnesses (exemplified by Anthropic's April 2026 ban of OpenClaw) — this structural conflict highlights the precarious nature of building autonomous enterprises atop proprietary APIs,...
Anthropic
AI80%
0.57github_release
2020-05-25
S_HUMANOID_CONSUMER_2030
Humanoid R3: 1M+ consumer by Nov 2030
humanoid_deployment20%
0.57github_release
2021-01-25
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI41%
0.57github_release
2022-11-21
231_015
Next Deep Seek model release will be when Chinese open-weight models catch up to American frontier models.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI34%
0.57github_release
2025-12-03
236_028
AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately
Andrew Yang
Consumer51%
0.57github_release
2025-10-28
234_004
Mistral will emerge as a vertically integrated European OpenAI
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2025-05-14
234_004
Mistral will emerge as a vertically integrated European OpenAI
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2020-08-18
238_038
Compute will remain scarce until Dyson swarm is built; scarce AI agent attention will be monetized
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2026-04-12
232_014
Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI70%
0.57github_release
2018-06-15
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.57github_release
2024-09-26
237_018
We are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, NanoClaw, Nanobot, etc.) with many more to come.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI40%
0.57github_release
2025-08-13
237_018
We are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, NanoClaw, Nanobot, etc.) with many more to come.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI40%
0.57github_release
2025-08-15
CMQ_026
NVIDIA silicon roadmap: Blackwell (2025) → Vera Rubin (2026) → Vera Rubin Ultra (2027) → Feynman (2028) — annual architectural cadence.
Jensen Huang
Semis87%
0.57github_release
2025-06-04
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.57github_release
2022-06-06
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI41%
0.57github_release
2025-11-03
241_031
Scientists don't agree yet on approach for recursive self-improvement
Eric Schmidt
AI48%
0.57github_release
2023-03-08
238_025
AI computer-use benchmarks (OSWorld, Tbench) have broken through human level
Emad Mostaque
AI45%
0.57github_release
2023-02-01
238_022
From here forward, training data will be synthetic (pre-training era of human internet data is over)
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI39%
0.57github_release
2023-02-01
248_023
Ternary (sub-bit) parameter precision will be optimal for AI models.
Dave Blundin
AI50%
0.57github_release
2022-11-21
COD_SPC_005
NASA Dragonfly launches on Falcon Heavy in the July 2028 window
Codex Research Pack
Space33%
0.57github_release
2025-07-08
236_028
AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately
Andrew Yang
Consumer51%
0.57github_release
2023-02-02
S_ROBOTAXI_TESLA_2026
Tesla FSD unsupervised wide deployment by Nov 2026
robotaxi_deployment40%
0.57github_release
2026-05-11
239_004
xAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026
Elon Musk
AI40%
0.57github_release
2023-02-10
IND_005
Convergence of computational biology + AI-driven data modeling + CRISPR gene editing enables bringing back extinct species — Form Bio platform (spun out 2022) enables successful resurrection of woolly mammoth and Tasmanian tiger within the decade (by ~...
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity33%
0.57github_release
2023-01-07
IND_005
Convergence of computational biology + AI-driven data modeling + CRISPR gene editing enables bringing back extinct species — Form Bio platform (spun out 2022) enables successful resurrection of woolly mammoth and Tasmanian tiger within the decade (by ~...
Ben Lamm
Biotech/Longevity33%
0.57github_release
2025-01-31
234_004
Mistral will emerge as a vertically integrated European OpenAI
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI35%
0.57github_release
2025-08-12
240_020
New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next Anthropic/OpenAI
Dave Blundin
AI46%
0.57github_release
2021-06-22
AI_010
The 2026 development landscape has entered the 'Slopacolypse' — AI writes the vast majority of new code, developer manual-coding skills atrophy, and engineering transitions from syntax-writing to high-level architectural prompting and 'vibe coding'.
Andrej Karpathy
AI90%
0.57github_release
2021-08-19
231_016
Permissionless agent activity is imminent; Claude-style approval prompts will go away.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI41%
0.57github_release
2020-09-20
247_057
Parameter scaling race is over; frontier labs plateauing at 10T parameters
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI41%
0.57github_release
2020-08-18
TK11
Autonomous Regulatory Block (Level 4 Halt)
10%
0.57github_release
2020-08-18
AI_017
NVIDIA will make Agentic AI the primary demand vector via two specialized products: the 'NemoClaw' developer toolkit for building/orchestrating autonomous agents, and the 'Vera CPU rack' hardware platform explicitly designed to host, deploy, and execut...
Jensen Huang
Semis75%
0.57github_release
2020-09-18
CMQ_058
Localized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300' silicon) will allow developers to run powerful inference workloads directly on-premises — reducing cloud dependency.
Alex Finn
AI/Compute59%
0.57github_release
2026-02-12
242_051
Dyson swarm compute infrastructure will be realized in a few years
Alex Wissner-Gross
Space37%
0.57github_release
2022-03-25
CMQ_055
Multimodal voice recognition powered by generative AI will serve as the default user interface for humanoid physical workers — speak instructions, robot executes.
Brett Adcock
Robotics29%
0.57github_release
2022-03-25
CMQ_055
Multimodal voice recognition powered by generative AI will serve as the default user interface for humanoid physical workers — speak instructions, robot executes.
Brett Adcock
Robotics29%
0.57github_release
2025-01-29
232_014
Recursive self-improvement is already here, not 12 months away.
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI70%
0.57github_release
2021-03-02
CYB_003
Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their own social networks, governance manifestos, debated ethics, and closed-loop digital economies — exemplified by the Moltbook platform in early 2026 where 150,000+ autonomous AI...
Alex Finn
AI55%
0.57github_release
2020-11-21
234_018
GPT-5.3 and 5.5 or higher variants could launch in next 10 weeks
Alex Wissner-Gross
AI38%