Predictions
165 of 1,621 predictions match — page 2 of 4. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234_031 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Only 20 million cars needed once FSD robotaxis arrive, down from 140 million | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 234_039 | Real Estate | AI-scaling | Distant spectacular real estate will go up in value, not inner city | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 236_041 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Gig work like Uber will be eliminated by AI | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_018 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Uber drivers face rampant, imminent job loss from self-driving cars | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 238_019 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Jevons Paradox will keep demand for human drivers in non-autonomous areas eve… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_029 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | White-collar jobs (management, business, legal, art/media, admin) will be 80-… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_030 | AI | AI-scaling | AI will soon make very good venture capital investment decisions | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_064 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | AI will replace many entrenched jobs; non-shareholders (e.g., drivers) will f… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_065 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Children/next generation uncommitted to careers will do incredibly well in AI… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_067 | Energy | AI-scaling | US power problem is transmission/storage, not production — distributed region… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-10-31 |
| 240_002 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Amazon or Anthropic will hit a trillion in revenue within a calendar year fas… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_009 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Government will intervene if NVIDIA does 10-year forward contract locking up … | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 240_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | NVIDIA can grow another 2x into the 2nm node before being floored | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_020 | AI | AI-scaling | New architecture won't map to current NVIDIA architecture; will create next A… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 240_022 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | All five major AI labs will be worth trillions of dollars | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_026 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Elon's combined empire (SpaceX/xAI/Tesla/Optimus/Terrafab/orbital DCs) will b… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-05-31 |
| 240_049 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Last jobs to be automated will be government jobs, university jobs | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 242_008 | Energy | AI-scaling | Dyson sphere will come before any fusion reactor is licensed | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-11-30 |
| 242_017 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Self-driving will become 95-97% safer than human driving | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 242_021 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Autonomous ride costs will drop 10x vs today | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 242_024 | Real Estate | AI-scaling | Island real estate will become 10x-100x more accessible, driving values up | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 242_025 | Real Estate | AI-scaling | 60% of LA parking will be released, becoming gardens and parks | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 242_032 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | AI will do the job for 2% of the cost of a human in the near term | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 242_036 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Mid-cap/small-cap firms with high-labor ops will triple FCF while multiple co… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_046 | AI | AI-scaling | Custom chip designs per use case will unlock 10x+ efficiency improvements | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 242_050 | Robotics | AI-scaling | Humanoid robots will be over-engineered but will unlock supply chain | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 242_052 | AI | AI-scaling | Cost of chip shortage will be sole gating factor delaying illegal-human-drivi… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 242_059 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Self-flying eVTOLs will be the norm given AI safety advantages | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 246_044 | AI | AI-scaling | Two outcomes: AI-driven destruction by terrorist OR Earth as shining jewel fo… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_053 | AI | AI-scaling | ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) coming very soon. | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-08-31 |
| 246_055 | AI | AI-scaling | We WILL figure out AI safety/regulation but only after something really bad h… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 231_006 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | Cost curves will start collapsing industries before the technology itself does. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_026 | AI | AI-scaling | Something bad will definitely happen with OpenClaw agents by statistical chance. | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_045 | AI | AI-scaling | Corporations will start downplaying AI capabilities to avoid antitrust backlash. | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 234_046 | AI | AI-scaling | AI vs AI will dominate cybersecurity, not humans | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_029 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents can do productive tasks indefinitely, for days on end, fundamentall… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_003 | AI | AI-scaling | NVIDIA will lock up 70%+ of TSMC's 3nm node volume | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_007 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Regulators will dust off antitrust legislation against NVIDIA | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 242_042 | AI | AI-scaling | Trillion parameter models will propagate to anyone with $50-100M to invest | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_024 | AI | AI-scaling | Something really bad will happen if OpenAI catches up/Grok 5 releases (forced… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_050 | AI | AI-scaling | Anthropic will release compressed/distilled version of Mythos quickly after i… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 247_004 | AI | AI-scaling | Musk v. OpenAI case will set precedent for all future nonprofit-to-for-profit… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 247_010 | AI | AI-scaling | Anthropic will beat OpenAI in valuation trajectory | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_012 | AI | AI-scaling | AI incidents documented harms will go up way higher beyond the already-report… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_013 | AI | AI-scaling | Model transparency decline will not reverse; US labs will keep going internal. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_021 | Space | AI-scaling | Satellite launches will become a multi-hundred-billion / multi-trillion dolla… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_023 | AI | AI-scaling | Ternary (sub-bit) parameter precision will be optimal for AI models. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_027 | Other | AI-scaling | Religion economy (~$5 trillion) will grow tremendously due to AI chaos. | Dave Blundin | 1/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_030 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | FDA will be first government agency forced to get out of the way; government … | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |