Predictions
85 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUT_004 | Markets/Stocks | algorithmic-equity-headcount-reward | Equity markets will algorithmically reward corporate entities that utilize AI… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | B | 68.0% | in_progress | 2025-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| INF_040 | Markets/Stocks | DC-M&A | Massive financial conglomerates will execute historic mergers to control unde… | SoftBank | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| SPC_004 | Markets/Stocks | Rocket-Lab-small-launch-dominance | Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) will leverage its dominance in the small-to-medium laun… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 90.0% | hit | 2025-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| SPC_005 | Markets/Stocks | AST-SpaceMobile-direct-to-cell | AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) will scale from $70.9M full-year 2025 revenue (guided … | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2025-01-01 – 2025-11-30 |
| 231_031 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI planning $100B infrastructure spend, going public this year at $1T val… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 72.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 234_014 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | We will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year period | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 234_015 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 235_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion companies will emerge before end of this decade. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_042 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO. | Peter Diamandis | 2/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 237_016 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | A specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million co… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 240_001 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | NVIDIA to reach at least $1 trillion in bookings/revenue through 2027 | Jensen Huang | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 240_010 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | NVIDIA revenue will hit $350 billion this calendar year | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 240_027 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX and xAI will merge and go public in the next couple of months | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 241_021 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | America can raise $5 trillion over 5 years for data center/AI buildout | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 242_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | S&P will see massive reshuffling with huge winners; no company can project FC… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2036-05-31 |
| 243_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20% | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31 |
| 244_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will cash flow $10B this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_001 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX will IPO at $2 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion as largest IPO … | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 246_002 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_004 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-05-31 |
| 246_005 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will head toward $1 trillion valuations. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 246_006 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 246_008 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | Elon Musk will merge SpaceX and XAI (with Tesla) within a year (Peter's view). | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 72.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 246_030 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | DeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| AI_013 | Markets/Stocks | SaaSpocalypse | 'SaaSpocalypse' — traditional Software-as-a-Service incumbents (Salesforce, A… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| AI_019 | Markets/Stocks | copper-basemetals-alpha | Copper and other critical base metals will be the premier investment assets o… | Chamath Palihapitiya | 5/5 | B | 55.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-05-31 |
| CYB_010 | Markets/Stocks | agentic-commerce-redistribution | Agentic commerce will radically redistribute — not grow — the global commerce… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 70.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| CYB_028 | Markets/Stocks | AI-dot-com-bubble-parallel | The 2024-2026 AI arms race directly parallels the hyper-speculative early-199… | Mark Cuban | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30 |
| INF_024 | Markets/Stocks | VC-infrastructure-pivot | Venture capital will pivot from funding software startups toward financing na… | Marc Andreessen / Ben Horowitz | 4/5 | B | 80.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30 |
| SPC_002 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX-valuation-target | A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trill… | Morgan Stanley | 5/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| SPC_003 | Markets/Stocks | Space-60-framework | The 'Space 60' framework — mapping 60 public companies spanning the full aero… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31 |
| SPC_018 | Markets/Stocks | five-core-space-miners | Five North America-linked miners — MP Materials, Almonty Industries, Freeport… | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 75.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31 |
| 229_011 | Markets/Stocks | economy | The humanoid robotics market/economy will be roughly $50 trillion—roughly hal… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 236_008 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_008 | Markets/Stocks | abundance | Many incumbent companies will be in deep trouble between now and the abundanc… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 238_028 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Anthropic plugins will enable market-by-market disruption (could short stocks… | Emad Mostaque | 2/5 | D | 40.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 240_002 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Amazon or Anthropic will hit a trillion in revenue within a calendar year fas… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | NVIDIA can grow another 2x into the 2nm node before being floored | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_022 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | All five major AI labs will be worth trillions of dollars | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_026 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Elon's combined empire (SpaceX/xAI/Tesla/Optimus/Terrafab/orbital DCs) will b… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-05-31 |
| 242_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_004 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Musk ecosystem will lap Nvidia by 1-2 orders of magnitude | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value | Prediction markets | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_034 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | AI could compress S&P 500 equity valuations 2-7x free cash flow (down from 22x) | Chamath Palihapitiya | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_036 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Mid-cap/small-cap firms with high-labor ops will triple FCF while multiple co… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Activist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firms | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will monetize its Didi stake at some point | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 245_003 | Markets/Stocks | synbio | Colossal's $10B valuation is massively undervalued | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_009 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 247_005 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Harvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBC | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |