Predictions

22 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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All Alex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)

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ID	Domain	Topic	Title	Predictor	Conv	SQ	Prior	Status	Window
243_041	Consumer	AI-timing	Delivery/retail (non-food) business growing much faster than expected	Dara Khosrowshahi	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
CYB_011	Consumer	ask-and-buy-delegation	Consumer commerce shifts from 'search and click' to 'ask and buy' — persisten…	Alex Finn	4/5	C	62.0%	in_progress	2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
INF_039	Consumer	Mac-supply-crunch	Consumer-facing AI hardware shortages will worsen: high-Unified-Memory Apple …	Alex Finn	4/5	C	90.0%	hit	2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
238_042	Consumer	AI-timing	Iris scanning will improve to a 3-meter (and longer) range at retail stores	Alex Wissner-Gross	4/5	B	50.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2029-06-30
243_029	Consumer	AI-timing	Drone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban markets	Dara Khosrowshahi	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31
243_040	Consumer	AI-timing	Suburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone delivery	Dara Khosrowshahi	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31
243_042	Consumer	AI-timing	Within-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forward	Dara Khosrowshahi	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31
245_038	Consumer	AI-timing	People buying clones of their dogs is a profitable ongoing consumer business …	Ben Lamm	4/5	C	50.0%	pending	2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31
230_026	Consumer	AI-timing	The QWERTY keyboard will persist until the heat death of the universe.	Alex Wissner-Gross	4/5	B	50.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
234_051	Consumer	AI-scaling	Claude-facilitated dating will replace traditional matchmaking	Alex Wissner-Gross	3/5	C	45.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_028	Consumer	AI-timing	AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately	Andrew Yang	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
237_004	Consumer	AI-timing	Mac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand.	Peter Diamandis	4/5	B	65.0%	pending	2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
AI_024	Consumer	face-to-face-economy-rebound	As AI-generated video becomes indistinguishable from reality, a massive econo…	Mark Cuban	4/5	B	58.0%	pending	2027-01-01 – 2032-12-31
235_034	Consumer	AI-scaling	Next-generation mobile phones will regain growth through AI neural chips.	Dave Blundin	3/5	C	55.0%	pending	2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
231_020	Consumer	AI-scaling	Smart glasses with face recognition will become part of normative culture (pe…	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
231_021	Consumer	AI-timing	Privacy is cooked; every major company will have AI-recording wearables and m…	Peter Diamandis	5/5	B	70.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
237_008	Consumer	AI-scaling	App stores will go away; users won't download apps but instead generate softw…	Alex Finn	3/5	D	50.0%	pending	2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
230_037	Consumer	AI-scaling	Handmade/human art will be astronomically more valuable in the future.	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
231_022	Consumer	AI-scaling	Young people getting smart glasses in their teens will have their entire life…	Dave Blundin	4/5	B	60.0%	pending	2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
235_045	Consumer	AI-timing	Most volume in e-commerce and physical world will eventually be dominated by …	Alex Wissner-Gross	4/5	B	50.0%	pending	2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
243_046	Consumer	AI-timing	When Uber opens in a market, drunk driving incidents go down significantly	Dara Khosrowshahi	4/5	C	60.0%	pending	— – —
245_004	Consumer	$100T	EY estimates the extinct-species educational/consumer market at $1.7 trillion…	EY (Ernst & Young)	3/5	D	50.0%	pending	— – —