Predictions
91 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243_026 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Exciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_034 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous is bringing new customers and expanding the market, not just repla… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_036 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Price of rides will come down with autonomous driving | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_047 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous revolution will have even more impact on society than Uber | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_001 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Technology will always be a part of the human driving experience | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_004 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Race car driving will persist as a sport | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-11-30 |
| 244_005 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Fewer and fewer drivers on the road, like fewer people knowing how to ride a … | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_006 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby vertiports will need to be designed for mass market with multiple vehicl… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_009 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous insurance will have multiple layers: AV provider coverage plus add… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_011 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous transportation will eventually make transportation cheaper | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_015 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | AV insurance model (driver vs platform vs combination) is TBD for a young ind… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 246_040 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | In cities people mostly won't own cars once autonomy mainstream (subscription… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_027 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby end-to-end eVTOL service in Abu Dhabi launching end of 2026 | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_013 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Uber will work with Chinese autonomous players (Pony, WeRide, hopefully Baidu… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_033 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 240_037 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | Amazon Zoox Robotaxi will launch in LA in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 243_028 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby eVTOL service hopefully coming to US sometime next year (2027) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| INF_066 | Auto/Transport | charging-bifurcation | EV charging will totally bifurcate: consumer charging becomes localized and i… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 68.0% | in_progress | 2027-01-01 – 2033-11-30 |
| 230_017 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Self-driving will become the norm; manual driving will become uncool, then il… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_021 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Zipline will reach a delivery per second in next 2-3 years. | Zipline | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 238_049 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Archer Aviation plans to become operational in LA by 2028 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 242_013 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Flying cars will operate in LA in a big way in 2028 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 242_015 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Full autonomy achieved within 2 years before Salim's son gets driver's license | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 242_019 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | EVTOL autonomy will come within ~2 years after piloted version | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 244_019 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Peter's son won't need a driver's license in 2 years | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 246_039 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous vehicles/flying cars coming by 2028. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 242_016 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | TV ad campaign against human driving in 3-5 years will drive voting to ban it | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| 243_003 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | By 2029, Uber will facilitate more autonomous/robotaxi rides than anyone else… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 244_017 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Ilia (age 13) will still want a driver's license in 3 years due to slow AV ma… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| AUT_023 | Auto/Transport | eVTOL-29B-2030-1T-2040 | Urban air mobility (eVTOL) market will generate $29 billion by 2030, scaling … | Morgan Stanley | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2040-11-30 |
| 230_018 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | In 5 years, 70-80% of cars will be autonomous, especially hooked up to your AI. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| INF_061 | Auto/Transport | 1000-mile-EV-range | Within approximately 10 years, battery chemistry and pack architecture advanc… | CATL | 3/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2033-01-01 – 2036-10-31 |
| 243_013 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Every new car sold 10 years from now will have autonomous software | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 243_014 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | 10+ autonomous providers will operate on streets of LA a decade from now | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 243_015 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Software space for autonomous may consolidate to fewer than 10 providers | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-10-31 |
| 243_017 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cost of lidar and cameras will continue coming down, making new cars autonomo… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 244_018 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | In 10 years you won't have to drive and will have plenty of choices | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 244_002 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Humans will be demonstrably less safe than autonomous drivers (within 25 year… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2041-01-01 – 2051-11-30 |
| INF_064 | Auto/Transport | autonomous-ride-hailing-majority | Within 15-20 years, the vast majority of global ride-hailing trips will be fu… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2041-01-01 – 2046-11-30 |
| 230_020 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Peter's 14-year-old son Milan will never get a driver's license. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2063-06-01 – 2063-06-30 |
| 244_014 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | AV is an industry where Chinese players have a lot to offer | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |