Predictions
1,178 of 1,660 predictions match — page 16 of 24. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMCI_AMAT_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AMAT >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_ANET_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ANET >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_ASML_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ASML >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_AYI_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AYI >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_BE_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | BE >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_DASH_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | DASH >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_J_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | J >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_MP_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MP >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_MVIS_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MVIS >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_QQQ_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | QQQ >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_SPY_20260611 | short_horizon_breakout | — | SPY >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-11 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-11 – 2026-06-18 |
| PMCI_ACN_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ACN >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| PMCI_APPN_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | APPN >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| PMCI_ATKR_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | ATKR >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| PMCI_AYI_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | AYI >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| PMCI_CRWV_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | CRWV >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| PMCI_SPY_20260612 | short_horizon_breakout | — | SPY >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-06-12 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 2.5% | pending | 2026-06-12 – 2026-06-19 |
| 229_004 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | By summer 2026, Figure will have almost none of its supply chain in China. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31 |
| 238_015 | Robotics | humanoids | Brent Bornick/1X to ship Peter a humanoid robot this summer (2026) | Brent Bornick | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31 |
| 239_011 | Robotics | Optimus | Optimus 3 production starts summer 2026 | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31 |
| 240_045 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | White House to disclose something about aliens/UAPs in the next few months (r… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31 |
| 248_010 | AI | AI-scaling | AI capabilities will advance 100x in 2026 (by summer, potentially more). | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | A | 35.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31 |
| COD_AI_001 | Technology | NVIDIA-roadmap | Vera Rubin becomes commercially available across major cloud and OEM partners… | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 78.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| COD_TECH_001 | Semis | TSMC-advanced-node | A16/N2-class TSMC process availability materially supports 2027 AI accelerato… | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 65.0% | pending | 2026-07-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| COD_AI_003 | Geopolitics | EU-AI-Act-compliance | EU AI Act GPAI enforcement powers begin on 2026-08-02 without a blanket delay | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 72.0% | pending | 2026-08-02 – 2026-08-02 |
| 238_005 | AI | AI-timing | By September 2026 there will be 1000+ ultra-high-inspirational-quality videos… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-09-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 241_047 | Education | AI-timing | Universities should create prompt engineering course starting September for a… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-09-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| COD_AI_002 | AI/Compute | gigawatt-cluster | At least one 1 GW Vera Rubin frontier-training cluster reaches deployment by … | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 52.0% | pending | 2026-10-01 – 2027-03-31 |
| COD_AI_004 | AI | autonomous-agents | Frontier agents reach one-workday autonomous task horizon by end 2027 | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 55.0% | pending | 2026-12-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| COD_SPC_004 | Space | Europa-Clipper | Europa Clipper completes Earth gravity assist in December 2026 | Codex Research Pack | 5/5 | — | 95.0% | pending | 2026-12-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 229_021 | Robotics | humanoids | In 2027, Figure will be on the path to ship robots into users' homes and iter… | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 229_023 | Robotics | humanoids | First Figure robot in a customer's home expected 2027-2029 timeframe. | Brett Adcock | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 231_005 | AI | AI-timing | Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 231_054 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Uncertain whether people will have any purpose at all a year from today. | Dave Blundin | 2/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 232_001 | AI | AI-timing | Societal change across non-Silicon Valley companies taking 1-5 years is too a… | Ben Horowitz | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2031-08-31 |
| 233_004 | AI | AI-timing | AI will be able to bootstrap four-year-olds into reading within roughly 18 mo… | Joe Liemandt | 3/5 | D | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_003 | AI | AI-timing | Within 1-2 years we will look back and wonder why training was centralized wh… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 234_021 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 234_034 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Andrew Yang predicts 20-50% of 70M US white collar workers could be displaced… | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 234_037 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Civilizational left turns will hit us in the next 1-2 years | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 235_033 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 236_005 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Anthropic predicts 50% of entry-level white collar jobs automated in 1-5 years | Dario Amodei / Anthropic | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2031-12-31 |
| 236_018 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2034-12-31 |
| 236_023 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | AI will replace white-collar jobs: 20-50% of 70M US office workers in 12-18 m… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 238_016 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure CEO Brett Adcock will appear at Abundance Summit next year (2027) with… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 238_070 | AI | AI-scaling | Small language models will be where most algorithmic breakthroughs come from … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-08-31 |
| 240_012 | AI | AI-timing | Neutrino-based communication will give ultra-low latency through the Earth in… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 240_037 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | Amazon Zoox Robotaxi will launch in LA in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |