Probability-Mass Flow (Mars uncrewed)

Each horizontal band is a scenario branch; band height = scenario prior probability (taller = more likely). Predictions linked to a scenario sit inside that band at their expected resolution date. Visual area answers "what is likely to happen and when."

Compute scale (cumulative)Energy / grid (cumulative)Humanoid deployment (cumulative)Robotaxi (cumulative)AGI ASI $1T+ IPO Mars uncrewed AI pause Recession

How to read this

Tall bands are high-prior futures — the network thinks they're most likely.
Dots inside a band are the tracked claims linked to that scenario. Click any dot to drill in.
Dashed colored vertical line = the scenario's own resolution date. Scenarios with target_window_end past the right edge resolve "beyond horizon."
Claims appearing in multiple bands (Phase 2A's cosine-linked correlate edges often link a prediction to several scenarios) just render in each band they touch — a hint the claim is scenario-robust.