Predictions
160 of 1,607 predictions match — page 3 of 4. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248_020 | Robotics | humanoids | Jevons paradox: bandwidth demand will explode as 10 billion robots and AVs ne… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_005 | AI | AI-timing | Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 234_021 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 235_033 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Chinese eVTOL taxi service moving toward commercial operations in 2027. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 236_018 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2034-12-31 |
| 238_016 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure CEO Brett Adcock will appear at Abundance Summit next year (2027) with… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_037 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | Amazon Zoox Robotaxi will launch in LA in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 241_014 | AI | AI-timing | The world a year from today will be nothing like the world today | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 246_012 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 247_007 | AI | $100T | Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| AUT_027 | Biotech/Longevity | Longevity-Escape-Velocity-2027 | Integration of AI with advanced bio-sensing, quantum computing, and genomics … | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 22.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2035-09-30 |
| SPC_012 | Space | SpaceX-orbital-refueling-2027 | SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical pr… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 230_006 | AI | AI-scaling | The frontier models will go dark — kept internal to benefit the labs in an al… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 232_010 | AI | AI-timing | Voice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 232_051 | Space | SpaceX | Amazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Sta… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 232_052 | Macro/Economy | AI-scaling | Lowered interest rates will drive AI agent and robot purchases instead of hir… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 233_001 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Rapid pace of AI will soon require every major company to begin reskilling em… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 235_019 | Robotics | humanoids | Fast food chains will bring in humanoid robots very shortly to replace workers. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_026 | Education | AI-timing | College bankruptcy rate will skyrocket | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 247_030 | AI | AI-scaling | GPT-6 breakthroughs in science worth hundreds of billions to trillions | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 238_049 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Archer Aviation plans to become operational in LA by 2028 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 241_043 | AI | AGI | ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | in_progress | 2028-01-01 – 2035-10-31 |
| 242_005 | Space | SpaceX | Starship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day) | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 242_013 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Flying cars will operate in LA in a big way in 2028 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 242_019 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | EVTOL autonomy will come within ~2 years after piloted version | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 242_031 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Most large companies' business models will be disrupted in 2-5 years | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 244_019 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Peter's son won't need a driver's license in 2 years | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 246_013 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_039 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous vehicles/flying cars coming by 2028. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 247_015 | Macro/Economy | economy | Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-12-31 |
| 230_044 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Unrest/civil unrest will materialize; tech AI leaders will face security thre… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_008 | AI | AI-timing | AI discoveries of past errors will topple some Nobel prizes. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_021 | Consumer | AI-timing | Privacy is cooked; every major company will have AI-recording wearables and m… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_035 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving othe… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_039 | AI | NVIDIA | Elon will build out his own chip fabs due to his attack-constraints approach. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_043 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Lack of hiring for junior positions will cause social unrest from young peopl… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_006 | Media/Ads | AI-timing | YouTube will win from AI video content proliferation as everyone produces res… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_026 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | World will split into consumers and creators (couch potatoes vs Star Trek emp… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_041 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | PhD students in the US should have green cards stapled to their PhD at gradua… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_055 | AI | AI-timing | We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement un… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 233_017 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Reskilling using AI technology will be fundamentally critical for workforce. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 236_034 | Macro/Economy | economy | Rapid inflation in near-term from UBI money printing, then rapid deflation fr… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 247_059 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | African nations will be impacted least by AI transition | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 234_020 | AI | AI-timing | AI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 235_028 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Longevity market will grow from $5 trillion to $8 trillion in next four years. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 246_017 | Space | AI-timing | Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 247_047 | Energy | AI-timing | Vertical farming market will reach $40 billion by 2030 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| 230_021 | Robotics | humanoids | Figure and Tesla will make millions, then billions of robots. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 230_030 | Macro/Economy | economy | Economy will shift from paying for inputs/hours to paying for verified outcomes. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |