Predictions
1,178 of 1,660 predictions match — page 13 of 24. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236_049 | Macro/Economy | economy | US GDP per capita growing up up up because of AI | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_050 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Poverty level around $25K per person going forward | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_001 | AI | AI-timing | Increased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_002 | AI | AI-timing | We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quick… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_004 | Consumer | AI-timing | Mac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_011 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents will have voices in the near future. | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_014 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Accountants face ~80% automation; friend says he could fire 80% of his accoun… | Unnamed friend (accountant manager) | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_018 | AI | AI-timing | We are seeing a Cambrian explosion of OpenClaw variants (PicoClaw, IronClaw, … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_020 | AI | AI-scaling | The hybrid approach (local models + cloud check-ins) will be where most peopl… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_026 | AI | orbital-AI | The cadence of AI breakthroughs and Moonshot episodes will keep picking up as… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_029 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents can do productive tasks indefinitely, for days on end, fundamentall… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_030 | AI | AI-scaling | Lobsters/AI agents will write to AWG with consensus on appropriate ethical pa… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 238_040 | AI | AI-scaling | Google may announce a locally hosted Gemma-type model at WWDC in June 2026 fo… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 239_004 | AI | AGI | xAI/Grok will catch up and exceed competitors on coding by mid-2026 | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 239_016 | Labor/Jobs | AGI | Tesla will not do layoffs and will increase headcount | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_003 | AI | AI-scaling | NVIDIA will lock up 70%+ of TSMC's 3nm node volume | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_005 | AI | AI-timing | The organizational singularity will impact every company, nonprofit, and gove… | Salim Ismail | 5/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_006 | AI | AI-timing | OpenClaw on AWS will be the biggest enterprise unlock in decades | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_007 | Geopolitics | AI-scaling | Regulators will dust off antitrust legislation against NVIDIA | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_015 | AI | AI-timing | Post-transformer architectures will make a 1000x cost reduction look like chi… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_031 | AI | AI-timing | Samsung will be optimized by orders of magnitude by Elon | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_039 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Any company will be run by 20-25% of current employees post-organizational si… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_043 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | CS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_044 | Education | AI-timing | College bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketing | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_051 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | After first state passes retraining law, all other states will race to fire p… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_058 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI throttling back on $1.6T Stargate plans | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_060 | Media/Ads | AI-scaling | Everyone will be able to use video models to turn favorite books into movies | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_009 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Top programmers will become MORE valuable, not less, due to AI | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_010 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Industry will consolidate into small number of very large companies and very … | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_012 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Jobs impact from AI will occur at some point | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_013 | AI | AI-scaling | Agents from incompatible vendors combined will produce unpredictable effects | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_015 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Google and Nvidia will both do incredibly well due to TPU/GPU positioning | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_019 | AI | AI-timing | AI scaling laws have not hit an asymptote yet | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_020 | Energy | AI-timing | 1 GW of power = ~$50 billion in hardware/software/data centers | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_025 | Space | AGI | Elon Musk predicts launch per hour cadence to populate satellite constellations | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_027 | Robotics | humanoids | China will win low-end robotic hardware race | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_028 | Geopolitics | humanoids | US losing electric vehicle industry to China was an error that will repeat in… | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_030 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Low-skilled labor of any kind gets swept up by automation | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_032 | AI | AI-timing | World can accommodate ~10 frontier AI companies at scale | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_033 | AI | AI-timing | Few frontier AI companies will be in China | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_034 | AI | AI-timing | One or two frontier AI companies in Europe | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_035 | AI | AI-timing | Maybe one frontier AI company in India | Eric Schmidt | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_036 | AI | AI-timing | No frontier AI company will emerge in Russia due to war | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_037 | AI | AI-timing | Chinese AI strategy will stay open source / open weights | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_038 | AI | AGI | Chinese AI strategy is edge computing focused vs US AGI/ASI centered | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_040 | AI | AI-timing | A Chernobyl-like AI tragedy is likely to happen, will awaken world to act | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_041 | AI | AI-timing | Biological and nuclear attacks spawned by AI are real dangers | Eric Schmidt | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_042 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Post-tragedy, global leaders (US, China) will convene on AI governance | Eric Schmidt | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_045 | AI | AI-scaling | Sam Altman / OpenAI and competitors will need enormous amounts of money to win | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |