Predictions
1,160 of 1,622 predictions match — page 11 of 24. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245_011 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal is spinning out a dozen companies each with massive potential | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_013 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Artificial wombs will eventually enable productionized de-extinction species | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2032-12-31 |
| 245_015 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal could theoretically create Pikachu (engineer novel designer organisms) | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2032-12-31 |
| 245_016 | Biotech/Longevity | autonomous | Kitrid disease is the leading extinction driver in frogs/amphibians and can b… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_020 | Other | AI-timing | Screworm will decimate US cattle and bison industry | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 245_021 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Engineered all-male screworms released via gene drive will cause species die-… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31 |
| 245_026 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal editing tech will be applicable to human healthcare (spun out/licensed) | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_029 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | IVF will be transformed by Colossal's hydrogel/microfluidics embryo tech and … | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31 |
| 245_030 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Humans will need to use synthetic biology to help species adapt faster than e… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 245_033 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their en… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_036 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal will continue seeding and spinning out new companies from scientific… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_037 | Biotech/Longevity | AGI | Mosquito gene drive halted in Africa was possibly wrong to stop since mosquit… | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-09-30 |
| 245_038 | Consumer | AI-timing | People buying clones of their dogs is a profitable ongoing consumer business … | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 245_040 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-scaling | Biovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnerships | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_041 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal will build a living lab in UAE in addition to Biovault | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 245_042 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Synthetic biology will be as diverse a market as AI (multi-trillion) | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 245_043 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Breaking's enzymes will treat a wider breadth of plastics and degrade them fa… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31 |
| 245_044 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Northern white rhino saved by synthetic genetic diversity engineering + artif… | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2034-06-30 |
| 245_045 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal considers Colossal platform core will stay focused on biodiversity a… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-09-30 |
| 246_009 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_014 | Space | orbital-AI | Elon's stated orbital refueling and Mars/Moon timelines will slip. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 62.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_018 | Energy | AI-timing | Killer app of compact fusion reactors will be interplanetary/interstellar pro… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-11-30 |
| 246_019 | Space | AI-timing | Interstellar travel will use solar sail powered by terowatt lasers carrying u… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-10-31 |
| 246_028 | AI | AI-timing | Broad civilizational cyber attack via AI hash function inversion is borderlin… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-10-31 |
| 246_031 | AI | AI-scaling | Next OpenClaw moment will turn $30B ARR into $1T ARR with agents. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_032 | AI | AI-scaling | Claude or successors will be granted limited form of AI personhood. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_033 | AI | autonomous | Insecurity of human-authored code will be recognized before insecurity of hum… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_034 | AI | AI-timing | Thousands of Medev-like one-person unicorns will be created, following power … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_036 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_040 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | In cities people mostly won't own cars once autonomy mainstream (subscription… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_044 | AI | AI-scaling | Two outcomes: AI-driven destruction by terrorist OR Earth as shining jewel fo… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_045 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Post-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| 246_049 | AI | AI-scaling | Dyson swarm will host trillions of AI agents if we get it. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 246_053 | AI | AI-scaling | ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) coming very soon. | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-08-31 |
| 246_054 | Space | SpaceX | Blue Origin gearing up to be first-tier competitor with SpaceX for moon missi… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_055 | AI | AI-scaling | We WILL figure out AI safety/regulation but only after something really bad h… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 247_005 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Harvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBC | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 247_017 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Some form of 'capitalism 2.0' or post-scarcity capitalism will emerge eventually | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 247_029 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-scaling | OpenAI Foundation's cure for Alzheimer's could spawn a trillion-dollar pharma… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 247_040 | Crypto | AI-scaling | AI agents will invent their own currencies, won't stick with Bitcoin | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 247_049 | Energy | AI-timing | Solar PV capped materially less than 100% efficiency by physics | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-11-30 |
| 247_050 | Biotech/Longevity | crypto | Virtual cell achievable through classical scaling without quantum computing | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 247_053 | Crypto | AI-scaling | AI's largest risk to Bitcoin is irrelevance via AI agents not using it | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 247_054 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Real estate will be made post-scarce by AI (land growth via AI) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| CMQ_061 | Crypto | gov-memecoin | Cuban proposed issuance of a US government-backed memecoin specifically to he… | Mark Cuban | 3/5 | C | 5.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| COD_BIO_003 | Biotech/Longevity | mammoth-deextinction | Colossal completes mammoth embryo transfer into an elephant surrogate by end … | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 35.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| COD_BIO_005 | Biotech/Longevity | deextinction-platform | Colossal adds at least one more de-extinction species to active embryo-transf… | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 40.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| COD_ROB_002 | Robotics | consumer-humanoid | 1X ships first paid NEO Early Access units to US homes in 2026 | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| COD_SPC_006 | Space | commercial-space-station | Vast Haven-1 reaches orbit by end 2026 | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 50.0% | pending | 2026-05-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| PMCI_MMC_20260505 | short_horizon_breakout | — | MMC >10% in 5 trading days from 2026-05-05 | pmci_v1 | — | — | 5.0% | pending | 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-12 |