Insecurity of human-authored code will be recognized before insecurity of human drivers is legally.

Insecurity of human-authored code will be recognized before insecurity of human drivers is legally. | in the near-term future humans are now judged as insecure authors of code and and insecure drivers of cars... Except we're going to hit that with code, I think, before we fully hit it with with legally with cars.

in the near-term future humans are now judged as insecure authors of code and and insecure drivers of cars... Except we're going to hit that with code, I think, before we fully hit it with with legally with cars.

Beneficiaries (24)

Adverse (5)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFI-SqnvQK8",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Host",
  "context": "in the near-term future humans are now judged as insecure authors of code and and insecure drivers of cars",
  "verbatim": "in the near-term future humans are now judged as insecure authors of code and and insecure drivers of cars... Except we're going to hit that with code, I think, before we fully hit it with with legally with cars.",
  "conv_cues": "I think",
  "direction": "HAPPEN",
  "timeframe": "Near-term",
  "conv_level": "MEDIUM",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "CISA December 2025 AI-in-OT joint guidance flags LLM hallucination as high-risk",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -8,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "source_url": "https://www.insideprivacy.com/cybersecurity-2/cisa-releases-ai-data-security-guidance/",
      "expected_date": "2025-12-01",
      "observed_date": "2025-12-01",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "CISA publishes joint AI-data-security guidance specifically calling out LLM-authored code/decisions as high-risk in operational tech"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "CSA / OWASP-class data shows AI-generated code security crisis at scale (45% with OWASP Top 10 vulns)",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -7,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.85,
      "source_url": "https://blog.vibecoder.me/security-crisis-ai-generated-code-2026",
      "expected_date": "2026-03-01",
      "observed_date": "2026-03-01",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "measurement_criterion": "Cloud Security Alliance and Vibe Coder analyses publish that ~45% of AI-generated code contains OWASP Top 10 vulnerabilities; FTC/GDPR signaling holds AI-using developers liable"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q1 window check-in (25%)",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -6,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2026-10-23",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q2 window check-in (50%)",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -5,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2027-04-17",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "First major liability case / regulatory action explicitly faulting human-authored code over AI alternative",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -4,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.35,
      "source_url": "https://www.corporatecomplianceinsights.com/2026-operational-guide-cybersecurity-ai-governance-emerging-risks/",
      "expected_date": "2027-05-02",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2027-12-31",
        "from": "2026-09-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Court ruling, regulator finding (FTC/EU AI Act enforcement), or insurance underwriting standard treats absence of AI assistance as a contributory negligence factor in a security breach"
    },
    {
      "kind": "quartile_checkpoint",
      "label": "Q3 window check-in (75%)",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.05,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "expected_date": "2027-10-10",
      "observed_date": null
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_post_event",
      "label": "Code-vs-driver legal recognition timing test — code recognition arrives first",
      "source": "deep_research_enriched",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.45,
      "source_url": "https://cycode.com/blog/ai-security-vulnerab
... (truncated)