Predictions
1,159 of 1,621 predictions match — page 10 of 24. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243_005 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | There will be many many winners in the autonomous space | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_006 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Autonomous fleets will move to asset-light model with financial owners like B… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_007 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous mobility will become another trillion-dollar marketplace | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_008 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Streets will be safer as autonomous cars don't get distracted or tired | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_009 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Regulation will come into place making autonomous safety case demonstrably su… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_010 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Human drivers will eventually be removed from Tesla FSD backup role | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_011 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous driver will be much safer than a human being | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_012 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Liability costs will come down industry-wide with autonomous driving | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_016 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will remain a very large fragmented industry, like OEMs | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_018 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Fleet turnover from human-driven to autonomous will take a very long time due… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_019 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will become a very big part of developed markets, cost curves will… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_020 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will take a while to penetrate developing markets (70+ countries U… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_021 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous cars will make it not sensible to own your own car | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_022 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cost per trip will come down and safety per trip will come up as autonomous p… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_023 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous is enormous opportunity for TAM expansion across mobility and deli… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_024 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Electric autonomous cars could be four times cheaper than owning a car (cited… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 243_025 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Middle East (UAE, KSA) will be most forward-leaning on autonomous vehicle dep… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_026 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Exciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_029 | Consumer | AI-timing | Drone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban markets | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 243_030 | Robotics | humanoids | Multimodal delivery network will emerge: drones, sidewalk robots, bike-lane r… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_034 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous is bringing new customers and expanding the market, not just repla… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_036 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Price of rides will come down with autonomous driving | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_037 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Drivers will be able to transition to becoming fleet managers/owners of auton… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_038 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Capital assets (cars) will at some point replace some labor (drivers) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 243_039 | Robotics | AI-timing | Uber will work with drone delivery companies including Zipline, Sky Trax, Manna | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_040 | Consumer | AI-timing | Suburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone delivery | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 243_042 | Consumer | AI-timing | Within-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forward | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 243_047 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous revolution will have even more impact on society than Uber | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_001 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Technology will always be a part of the human driving experience | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_004 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Race car driving will persist as a sport | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-11-30 |
| 244_005 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Fewer and fewer drivers on the road, like fewer people knowing how to ride a … | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_006 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby vertiports will need to be designed for mass market with multiple vehicl… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_007 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Vertiports will target airports and city centers as high-traffic locations | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 244_009 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous insurance will have multiple layers: AV provider coverage plus add… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_010 | Robotics | autonomous | Machines will be more predictable than human drivers with higher acceptance r… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_011 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous transportation will eventually make transportation cheaper | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will monetize its Didi stake at some point | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_015 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | AV insurance model (driver vs platform vs combination) is TBD for a young ind… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Automation will typically augment work rather than replace it | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_024 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Hopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows up | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_025 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Open question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation pace | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_028 | Macro/Economy | jobs | Labor ownership of assets is a positive direction society will move in | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_001 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Synthetic biology paired with AI will be the most transformative technology i… | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2035-12-31 |
| 245_002 | AI | AI-timing | Every company should or will be an AI company | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 245_003 | Markets/Stocks | synbio | Colossal's $10B valuation is massively undervalued | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 245_005 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Countries will become customers to preserve endangered species via Colossal | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_006 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal will productionize species development via biobanking, synthetic bio… | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_007 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal will bring back the woolly mammoth | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_009 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Breaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 245_010 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Breaking will pursue a human-body microplastic solution (supplement) in addit… | Ben Lamm | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31 |