Predictions

1,622 of 1,622 predictions match — page 10 of 33. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
ROB_023SpaceFalcon-9-140-launches-2026SpaceX expects approximately 140-145 Falcon 9 launches in 2026 — maintaining …Gwynne Shotwell5/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30
ROB_024Biotech/Longevityglobal-BioVault-networkAutomated robotics and AI-powered monitoring will establish a global network …Ben Lamm4/5B52.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2035-06-30
ROB_025Biotech/Longevityhigh-throughput-phenotypingGenomic prediction will be entirely revolutionized by high-throughput phenoty…Peter Dannenberg4/5C70.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30
ROB_026Defensemachine-speed-cyberattacksAutonomous AI agents will execute multi-stage cyberattacks at machine speeds …Alex Finn5/5C82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30
SEM_001AI/ComputeAI-scalingCompute clusters will scale from $10B → $100B → $1T by end of decade; 'anothe…Leopold Aschenbrenner5/5A70.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
SEM_003Energy/ComputehardwareFierce zero-sum scramble will saturate every available long-term power contra…Leopold Aschenbrenner5/5A88.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
SEM_007AI/Strategy$100TAltman strategy: capture 90% of global compute/AI market — treat compute infr…Sam Altman4/5A25.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
SEM_009Economy$100TThe AI boom rooted in semiconductor hardware will generate the world's first …Mark Cuban4/5B35.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2035-12-31
SEM_010Macro/Economy$100TAI will quintuple the world's gross domestic product, expanding it from $100 …Jensen Huang5/5A8.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2036-12-31
SEM_016Semis/GeopoliticshardwareHuawei will emerge as the unexpected victor in the 2026 chip war — not via im…David Friedberg3/5C30.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_017SemishardwareTSMC will produce over 10M wafers/month total in 2026, including ~100K/mo at …TSMC (All-In Podcast analysis)4/5B80.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_018SemishardwareSMIC (China) projected at only 100,000 wafers/month of advanced-process capac…SMIC (All-In Podcast analysis)4/5B65.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_019SemishardwareSamsung will produce 150,000 wafers/month in sub-7nm processes by 2026, servi…Samsung (All-In Podcast analysis)4/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_020SemisNVIDIANvidia preemptively reserved 800,000-850,000 TSMC wafers for 2026 — 8x SMIC's…Nvidia (All-In Podcast analysis)5/5A88.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_021AI/ChinaAI-scalingLargest AI models will see a 100x leap in size by 2026, driven largely by Chi…Dave Blundin4/5A55.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_022AI/ArchitectureAI-scalingFP4 / ternary-weight architectures decouple AI capability from raw transistor…Dave Blundin4/5A78.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31
SEM_023Semis/MarketsNVIDIANo AI bubble — semiconductor positive trend will remain robust through 2026 w…Joseph Moore5/5A70.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
SEM_024Semis/MarketshardwareMemory stocks are THE primary beneficiary of the semiconductor growth cycle e…Joseph Moore5/5A88.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_025Capital MarketsNVIDIAMorgan Stanley price target $250 for Nvidia — representing 32% upside from cu…Joseph Moore5/5A60.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_026Semis/ProductsNVIDIANvidia's next 'Rubin' product cycle is the most critical factor for semi indu…Joseph Moore5/5A85.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
SEM_028Capital MarketshardwareMain characters for semi institutional portfolios: Nvidia, Broadcom, and high…Joseph Moore5/5A75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_029Semis/ProductshardwareBlackwell RTX PRO 5000 (72GB) engineered with 50% memory boost over previous …Nvidia5/5A92.0%hit2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_030Capital MarketseconomyS&P 500 roughly 10% upside in 2026 driven by AI productivity wave rolling thr…Mike Wilson4/5A55.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_031Semis/HardwarehardwareAI boom will cause severe cascading shortages in memory and GPUs — violently …Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_032AI/MathematicsAI-scaling15% probability that AI will solve a Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Pr…Alex Wissner-Gross2/5A15.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_033AI/PhysicsAI-scalingAI is gaining the capability to autonomously conduct original physics researc…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A65.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
SEM_035AI/CognitionAI-scalingWorld-class, AI-based mathematicians will emerge within a single year (by ~ea…Eric Schmidt4/5A55.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
SEM_036AI/CognitionjobsWorld-class AI programmers will appear within 1-2 years (by 2027-2028).Eric Schmidt4/5A72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
SEM_037Labor/JobsjobsFor any job you can do on the other side of a screen, AI will probably be abl…Emad Mostaque5/5A60.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
SEM_043Space/Computeorbital-AISpaceX is actively exploring deployment of data centers in space — seeking re…Gwynne Shotwell4/5A60.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2031-12-31
SEM_044SpaceSpaceXBlue Origin will land cargo at Shackleton Crater before SpaceX — validating l…Peter Diamandis4/5B40.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30
SEM_045Economy/OrgeconomyTraditional corporate structures will move rapidly toward AI-native operating…Salim Ismail4/5A65.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
SEM_049AI/SoftwarejobsAI will soon fully automate software engineering, achieving massive cost redu…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5A60.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31
SPC_002Markets/StocksSpaceX-valuation-targetA SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trill…Morgan Stanley5/5B55.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30
SPC_003Markets/StocksSpace-60-frameworkThe 'Space 60' framework — mapping 60 public companies spanning the full aero…Morgan Stanley4/5B72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31
SPC_006SpaceStarlink-10M-subscribersStarlink exceeded 10 million active global subscribers by February 2026, gene…SpaceX5/5B98.0%hit2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31
SPC_013SpaceNASA-cadence-6-to-9-monthsAs 15th NASA Administrator (confirmed December 2025), Isaacman predicts NASA …Jared Isaacman4/5B50.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31
SPC_014SpaceStarlink-65-percent-active-satsStarlink constitutes 65% of all active satellites globally by 2026 — making L…SpaceX5/5B98.0%hit2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30
SPC_015SpaceAI-collision-avoidance-LEOAI will continuously analyze orbital trajectories of active satellites and sp…Andrej Karpathy4/5B82.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30
SPC_016SpaceEO-edge-computing-satelliteAI transforms Earth Observation satellites via on-orbit edge computing — pars…Ben Lamm4/5C80.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-11-30
SPC_017AImultimodal-data-entropyStartups capable of cleaning, structuring, and validating multimodal data pip…Jennifer Li3/5C70.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2029-10-31
SPC_018Markets/Stocksfive-core-space-minersFive North America-linked miners — MP Materials, Almonty Industries, Freeport…Morgan Stanley4/5B75.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31
SPC_019Geopoliticsaerospace-supply-chain-decouplingAerospace-sector manufacturing base is being aggressively reoriented away fro…Peter Dannenberg3/5C78.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2032-11-30
SPC_020Auto/TransportArcher-Midnight-commercial-2026Archer Aviation's flagship Midnight eVTOL will launch commercial passenger fl…Brett Adcock4/5B38.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31
SPC_021SpaceRelativity-AI-rocket-manufacturingRelativity Space will revolutionize manufacturing of atmospheric and orbital …Eric Schmidt4/5B55.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2029-10-31
SPC_022AIAI-science-2026'2026 will be for AI in science what 2025 was for AI in software engineering'…Kevin Weil5/5B62.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
SPC_027AItrillion-dollar-agent-economyA 'trillion-dollar agent economy' driven by hyper-deflation of intelligence —…Alex Finn5/5C72.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31
SPC_029Labor/JobsIdea-Guys-imagination-scarcity'Idea Guys' vindication — because AI handles rote execution of complex engine…Sam Altman4/5B55.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
SPC_030EducationEureka-teacher-AI-symbiosisEureka Labs vision: 'teacher + AI symbiosis' that scales human expertise infi…Andrej Karpathy4/5B60.0%in_progress2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31
229_033RoboticshumanoidsFigure will deploy robots into its new 'Grid' facility to run 24/7 starting t…Brett Adcock4/5C55.0%hit2026-02-01 – 2026-02-28