Predictions
90 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
Filters
Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231_036 | Space | AI-timing | Relativity Space still probably a year or two away from launch. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_012 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 3 crewed mission to low earth orbit in 2027 (rendezvous/docking tests). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| AI_020 | Space | Vera-Rubin-Space-Module | NVIDIA will launch a 'space computing' push via the specialized Vera Rubin Sp… | NVIDIA | 3/5 | C | 38.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| COD_SPC_001 | Space | Artemis-replan | Artemis III flies as an Earth-orbit HLS/EVA suit test mission in 2027, not a … | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 62.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| CYB_030 | Space | space-compute-heat-dissipation | Deploying agentic processing capabilities directly into orbit via the Vera Ru… | Jensen Huang | 4/5 | B | 35.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| INF_018 | Space | orbital-DCs | SpaceX will pursue orbital data-center megaconstellations — leveraging 24/7 s… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2035-11-30 |
| SPC_012 | Space | SpaceX-orbital-refueling-2027 | SpaceX will perfect orbital refueling architectures by 2027 — the critical pr… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 232_051 | Space | SpaceX | Amazon's satellite construction outpaces launch capacity; duopoly between Sta… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| COD_SPC_007 | Space | ESCAPADE-New-Glenn | NASA ESCAPADE arrives at Mars in fall 2027 after 2026 Earth gravity assist | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 75.0% | pending | 2027-09-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 232_037 | Space | AI-timing | Bootstrapping lunar/cis-lunar satellite manufacturing facilities within a few… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2032-10-31 |
| 242_005 | Space | SpaceX | Starship launch cadence will reach one every 5.3 minutes (274/day) | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 242_038 | Space | SpaceX | Humans will land on the moon again in 2-3 years via Starship | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 242_051 | Space | orbital-AI | Dyson swarm compute infrastructure will be realized in a few years | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 246_013 | Space | orbital-AI | Artemis 4 crewed moon landing mission to south pole in early 2028. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 248_002 | Space | AI-timing | LEO satellite-to-phone will become the new alternative to terrestrial network… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| COD_SPC_002 | Space | Artemis-lunar-landing | The next US crewed lunar surface landing occurs on Artemis IV in 2028 | Codex Research Pack | 3/5 | — | 45.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 231_035 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX/Elon will consume all their launch capacity for Starlink, leaving othe… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| COD_SPC_005 | Space | Dragonfly-Titan | NASA Dragonfly launches on Falcon Heavy in the July 2028 window | Codex Research Pack | 4/5 | — | 70.0% | pending | 2028-07-01 – 2028-07-31 |
| 246_043 | Space | AI-scaling | Earth limited by ASML and constraints to 3-5 years before mining/constructing… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2031-10-31 |
| INF_020 | Space | orbital-DC-market | In-orbit data-center market will reach approximately $1.77 billion by 2029 an… | BIS Research | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2035-10-31 |
| 232_046 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX will build a system that allows anyone to travel to moon and Mars afte… | Elon Musk | 3/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2029-06-01 – 2029-06-30 |
| 242_037 | Space | orbital-AI | China will land on the moon before end of 2030 | China (government) | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| 246_017 | Space | AI-timing | Europa Clipper will arrive at Jupiter in 2030, conducting 50 passes near Europa. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 230_016 | Space | orbital-AI | Data center regulation in NY/elsewhere will accelerate moving compute to orbi… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | B | 92.0% | in_progress | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 231_032 | Space | orbital-AI | Everyone (China included) will want their own Dyson swarms/Saturnian rings in… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30 |
| 231_033 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers in space will take 5-7 years at best, not 2-3. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2031-01-01 – 2033-11-30 |
| 246_016 | Space | AI-timing | Dragonfly nuclear-powered octicopter arrives at Titan in 2034. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2034-01-01 – 2034-11-30 |
| SPC_009 | Space | Mars-5-to-7-year-delay | Formal 5-to-7-year delay announced February 2026 for SpaceX's foundational Ma… | Gwynne Shotwell | 4/5 | A | 35.0% | in_progress | 2034-01-01 – 2034-10-31 |
| 232_048 | Space | AI-timing | Earth will develop a visible halo/ring of AI satellites; could be visible at … | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2034-06-01 – 2034-06-30 |
| 232_038 | Space | $100T | Lunar fabs are a $100 trillion dollar opportunity. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2035-06-01 – 2035-06-30 |
| 239_008 | Space | AGI | Moon base will exist in 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_009 | Space | AGI | People will be on Mars within 10 years | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 239_010 | Space | AGI | Mass driver on the moon within 10 years | Elon Musk | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 232_047 | Space | AGI | Mass drivers on the moon will shoot AI satellites into deep space; self-susta… | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2037-06-01 – 2037-06-30 |
| SPC_001 | Space | global-space-economy-trillion | The global space industry, roughly $350 billion today, will surge past $1 tri… | Morgan Stanley | 5/5 | B | 78.0% | in_progress | 2040-01-01 – 2040-10-31 |
| SPC_011 | Space | lunar-factories-500-1000TW | Lunar-surface factories leveraging local resources will manufacture satellite… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | B | 5.0% | pending | 2040-01-01 – 2060-10-31 |
| 232_049 | Space | orbital-AI | Dyson swarm of AI orbital data centers will be built by disassembling the moo… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2040-06-01 – 2040-06-30 |
| SPC_026 | Space | multiplanetary-post-2045 | Humanity becoming a truly multiplanetary species is strictly an era BEYOND th… | Ray Kurzweil | 4/5 | B | 30.0% | pending | 2045-01-01 – 2045-10-31 |
| SPC_010 | Space | Mars-self-sustaining-1M-2050 | Establishment of a self-sustaining city on Mars populated by 1 million people… | Elon Musk | 5/5 | A | 8.0% | pending | 2050-01-01 – 2050-11-30 |
| 235_040 | Space | orbital-AI | Earth-scale Dyson swarm in solar synchronous orbit will be built regardless o… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2070-06-01 – 2070-06-30 |