Predictions
160 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 4. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234_028 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Lab grown meat will replace conventional meat as the healthier environmental … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 234_042 | Macro/Economy | jobs | AI displacement will collapse the payroll tax base funding Medicare/Social Se… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 236_008 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_003 | Media/Ads | orbital-AI | Moonshots podcast team will soon move into an Airbnb for continuous podcasting | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-09-30 |
| 238_011 | AI | $100T | Frontier AI labs will generate trillions of dollars in new revenue from break… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_013 | AI | AGI | Frontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_035 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents will outnumber humans — trillion agents vs 8 billion humans | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_054 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Post-capitalist society: compute, energy, raw materials will be the scarce re… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| 238_055 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Marginal cost of production will approach zero for most goods (molecular manu… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 240_025 | AI | AI-timing | Tesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per m… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_053 | AI | AI-timing | AI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meani… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_054 | AI | AGI | ASI will reinvent patent and copyright practices | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-10-31 |
| 242_002 | Space | autonomous | Long-term petawatt compute will come only from lunar mass drivers | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_004 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Musk ecosystem will lap Nvidia by 1-2 orders of magnitude | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_006 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will reach 70% of TSMC's output | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_022 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Personal garages at home will disappear | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 242_026 | Auto/Transport | SpaceX | Rocket point-to-point travel will win over hyperloop due to Starship launch c… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_040 | Space | economy | Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_054 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500B | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_058 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cybercab owners will generate revenue via autonomous ridesharing fleets | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-11-30 |
| 243_024 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Electric autonomous cars could be four times cheaper than owning a car (cited… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 245_005 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Countries will become customers to preserve endangered species via Colossal | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 245_009 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | Breaking plastic-degradation technology could become a supplement that breaks… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 245_011 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal is spinning out a dozen companies each with massive potential | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 245_042 | Biotech/Longevity | $100T | Synthetic biology will be as diverse a market as AI (multi-trillion) | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31 |
| 246_036 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_038 | Space | orbital-AI | Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_045 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Post-capitalist society with zero marginal cost approaching. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-12-31 |
| 230_048 | AI | AI-scaling | Agentic emails/calls will become commonplace (inside/outside orgs) over email… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 234_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_036 | Media/Ads | AI-timing | AI-generated images will eliminate commercial photography, illustrators and s… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_047 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | New emotional pandemic of fear and anger coming | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_048 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Dropping birth rate not just China but Japan all-time low, South Korea, much … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_001 | AI | AI-timing | Increased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_002 | AI | AI-timing | We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quick… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_004 | Consumer | AI-timing | Mac Mini sales will continue their exponential growth driven by local AI demand. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_026 | AI | orbital-AI | The cadence of AI breakthroughs and Moonshot episodes will keep picking up as… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_043 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | CS placements collapsed from 89% to 19% over 3 years; similar collapse coming… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_044 | Education | AI-timing | College bankruptcy rates in the US are skyrocketing | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_060 | Media/Ads | AI-scaling | Everyone will be able to use video models to turn favorite books into movies | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_054 | Space | AI-timing | Space wins by far on energy argument for data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_055 | Space | AI-timing | Next frontier of AI infrastructure is space | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_056 | Robotics | humanoids | Elon Musk-style vertical integration is necessary to drive robotics costs down | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_059 | Energy | AI-timing | Government will continue unleashing capital to solve AI power problems | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_060 | Space | AI-timing | Data centers will be built in space / rockets will carry data centers | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX road show will begin in June 2026. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_035 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_003 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX plans to launch 40,000 V3 Starlink satellites and then 120,000 V4 sate… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |