Predictions
67 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INF_040 | Markets/Stocks | DC-M&A | Massive financial conglomerates will execute historic mergers to control unde… | SoftBank | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 234_014 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | We will see $100 trillion companies in the next 5-year period | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-11-30 |
| 234_015 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX IPOs are likely within the next 6 months | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 235_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion companies will emerge before end of this decade. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-11-30 |
| 235_042 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI IPO shares could deliver a 50% pop in 6 months after IPO. | Peter Diamandis | 2/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 237_016 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | A specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million co… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 240_010 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | NVIDIA revenue will hit $350 billion this calendar year | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 241_021 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | America can raise $5 trillion over 5 years for data center/AI buildout | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2031-09-30 |
| 242_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | S&P will see massive reshuffling with huge winners; no company can project FC… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2036-05-31 |
| 243_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20% | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31 |
| 244_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will cash flow $10B this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_002 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX 2026 revenue will double to $20 billion (from $16B in 2025). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_004 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX will come out at $2T and run up very quickly to $3T. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-05-31 |
| 246_006 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will IPO by end of 2026, Anthropic early-to-mid 2027 (may try end of 2… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-05-31 |
| 246_030 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | DeepSeek V4 will NOT shock markets like prior DeepSeek releases. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| CYB_028 | Markets/Stocks | AI-dot-com-bubble-parallel | The 2024-2026 AI arms race directly parallels the hyper-speculative early-199… | Mark Cuban | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30 |
| SPC_002 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX-valuation-target | A SpaceX public-market liquidity event will reach a $1.5 trillion to $2 trill… | Morgan Stanley | 5/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| 229_011 | Markets/Stocks | economy | The humanoid robotics market/economy will be roughly $50 trillion—roughly hal… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 236_008 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | First $100 trillion dollar companies and multi-trillionaires will come online | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_008 | Markets/Stocks | abundance | Many incumbent companies will be in deep trouble between now and the abundanc… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 238_028 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Anthropic plugins will enable market-by-market disruption (could short stocks… | Emad Mostaque | 2/5 | D | 40.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 240_002 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Amazon or Anthropic will hit a trillion in revenue within a calendar year fas… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | NVIDIA can grow another 2x into the 2nm node before being floored | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_022 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | All five major AI labs will be worth trillions of dollars | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 240_026 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Elon's combined empire (SpaceX/xAI/Tesla/Optimus/Terrafab/orbital DCs) will b… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-05-31 |
| 242_003 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Musk ecosystem could become first $100 trillion company | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_004 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Musk ecosystem will lap Nvidia by 1-2 orders of magnitude | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 242_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | Prediction markets favor $2T+ SpaceX IPO pricing in Terafab value | Prediction markets | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_034 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | AI could compress S&P 500 equity valuations 2-7x free cash flow (down from 22x) | Chamath Palihapitiya | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_036 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Mid-cap/small-cap firms with high-labor ops will triple FCF while multiple co… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 242_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Activist investing will be disrupted by AI writing open letters to public firms | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will monetize its Didi stake at some point | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 245_003 | Markets/Stocks | synbio | Colossal's $10B valuation is massively undervalued | Ben Lamm | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 246_009 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX and Tesla will NOT merge absent financial distress or capital need. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 247_005 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Harvard worth 3-4x more book value if restructured as PBC | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 235_011 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | PE fund will emerge shortly to buy medium/big companies and install AI digita… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | OpenAI will likely go public at north of $1 trillion valuation. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 235_031 | Markets/Stocks | $100T | Eli Lilly perilously close to $1 trillion market cap at ~$950B. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 240_055 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic heading to IPO, pursuing $50B from Amazon | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_015 | Markets/Stocks | NVIDIA | Google and Nvidia will both do incredibly well due to TPU/GPU positioning | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will fail | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX | SpaceX road show will begin in June 2026. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_022 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Deepseek-style hyperdeflation moments from algorithmic innovation will become… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_034 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Capital chasing AI stories is outpacing operating reality; narrative leverage… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_035 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Components of the AI data center buildout (power, memory, etc.) will see 3x-1… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_047 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Memory companies' stock prices will continue increasing despite algorithmic e… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 238_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Meta will someday be acquired by an AI company (largest-company-killer scenario) | Alex Wissner-Gross | 2/5 | C | 40.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| SPC_007 | Markets/Stocks | SpaceX-Tesla-reverse-merger | SpaceX will NOT pursue a traditional IPO — instead, the aerospace company wil… | Chamath Palihapitiya | 4/5 | B | 15.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |
| 235_025 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Nvidia's margins unsustainable; cracks in armor but all chips made will sell. | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 235_044 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | AI sector will grow from $20T to $30-40T of $50T total US public market cap. | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |