Predictions
89 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244_016 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | AV will grow very quickly but remains very small industry today | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 238_017 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 243_002 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Uber will be in 15 cities with autonomous partners by end of 2026 | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 243_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber business growing at >20% and audience growing at ~20% | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-05-31 |
| 243_033 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | About 20% of drivers slough off Uber platform annually | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 243_035 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Austin and Atlanta autonomous markets growing faster than national average | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 243_041 | Consumer | AI-timing | Delivery/retail (non-food) business growing much faster than expected | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 243_045 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby Abu Dhabi partnership will save hours of travel time | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 244_003 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Regulators will have to decide what a human driver's license looks like | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2051-11-30 |
| 244_023 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Over next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacement | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 244_032 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will cash flow $10B this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| AI_023 | AI | synthetic-CEO-clone | Inside Uber, 90% of software engineers currently rely on AI, and executive te… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| AUT_008 | Auto/Transport | Uber-AV-partnerships-20K-vehicles | Uber has structured partnerships integrating Waymo, May Mobility, Lucid Group… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 68.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2056-11-30 |
| INF_036 | AI | kinetic-edge-AI | AI will develop a 'kinetic' edge where capital assets (drones, autonomous veh… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 65.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| INF_065 | Auto/Transport | uber-robotaxi-charging-$100M | Uber has committed an initial $100 million specifically to develop EV chargin… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| INF_067 | Auto/Transport | utilization-guarantee-agreements | Uber will execute "utilization guarantee agreements" with major charging netw… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 75.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_001 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous vehicle market will develop in a hybrid way, not binary all-or-not… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_004 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Uber would welcome Tesla on platform once camera-only FSD is safe | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_005 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | There will be many many winners in the autonomous space | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_006 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | Autonomous fleets will move to asset-light model with financial owners like B… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_007 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous mobility will become another trillion-dollar marketplace | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_008 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Streets will be safer as autonomous cars don't get distracted or tired | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_009 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Regulation will come into place making autonomous safety case demonstrably su… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_010 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Human drivers will eventually be removed from Tesla FSD backup role | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_011 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous driver will be much safer than a human being | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_012 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Liability costs will come down industry-wide with autonomous driving | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_016 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will remain a very large fragmented industry, like OEMs | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_018 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Fleet turnover from human-driven to autonomous will take a very long time due… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_019 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will become a very big part of developed markets, cost curves will… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_020 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous will take a while to penetrate developing markets (70+ countries U… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_021 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous cars will make it not sensible to own your own car | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_022 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cost per trip will come down and safety per trip will come up as autonomous p… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_023 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous is enormous opportunity for TAM expansion across mobility and deli… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_025 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Middle East (UAE, KSA) will be most forward-leaning on autonomous vehicle dep… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_026 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Exciting announcements coming from Wave (UK AV partner) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 243_029 | Consumer | AI-timing | Drone delivery will enable food delivery in 10-15 minutes in suburban markets | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 243_030 | Robotics | humanoids | Multimodal delivery network will emerge: drones, sidewalk robots, bike-lane r… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_034 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous is bringing new customers and expanding the market, not just repla… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_036 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Price of rides will come down with autonomous driving | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_037 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Drivers will be able to transition to becoming fleet managers/owners of auton… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_038 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Capital assets (cars) will at some point replace some labor (drivers) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 243_039 | Robotics | AI-timing | Uber will work with drone delivery companies including Zipline, Sky Trax, Manna | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 243_040 | Consumer | AI-timing | Suburban markets will be a new growth opportunity via drone delivery | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 243_042 | Consumer | AI-timing | Within-hour delivery of anything to home is focus going forward | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31 |
| 243_047 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous revolution will have even more impact on society than Uber | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_001 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Technology will always be a part of the human driving experience | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_004 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | Race car driving will persist as a sport | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-11-30 |
| 244_005 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Fewer and fewer drivers on the road, like fewer people knowing how to ride a … | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_006 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby vertiports will need to be designed for mass market with multiple vehicl… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_007 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Vertiports will target airports and city centers as high-traffic locations | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |