Predictions
28 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237_003 | AI | AI-timing | 12 months in AI will be like 12 years; the next year will be wild. | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 237_006 | AI | AI-scaling | Over the next year, consumers will realize local models are the way to go on … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 237_009 | AI | AI-scaling | ChatGPT will release a model specifically for OpenClaw within the next 6 months. | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 237_010 | Crypto | AI-scaling | In the next 2 years, everyone's AI agent will have a crypto wallet filled wit… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 237_012 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Over the next 12 months OpenClaw technology will be digested into corporation… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 237_013 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Over 12-24 months value created by consumer adoption of OpenClaw will outweig… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 237_015 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | There will be significantly more AI claws/agents than humans within a typical… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 237_016 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | A specific-sliver OpenClaw-powered vertical SaaS could become a $5 million co… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 237_022 | AI | AI-scaling | Alex Finn plans to build an autonomous closed-loop organization where agents … | Alex Finn | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-09-30 |
| 237_027 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | 100 million people using OpenClaw will each start businesses hiring ~3 people… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| AUT_001 | AI | HIM-5-agent-autonomous-org | The HIM platform has demonstrated commercial viability of autonomous multi-ag… | Alex Finn | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| CMQ_058 | AI/Compute | local-compute | Localized hardware setups (multiple Apple Mac Studios, dedicated 'AI Max 300'… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | B | 80.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| CMQ_059 | AI | local-compute-drivers | Shift to local compute is driven by: (1) absolute data privacy, (2) cost cont… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | B | 82.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| CYB_003 | AI | autonomous-agent-societies | Localized, ungoverned multi-agent networks will spontaneously generate their … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 62.0% | partial | 2026-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| CYB_011 | Consumer | ask-and-buy-delegation | Consumer commerce shifts from 'search and click' to 'ask and buy' — persisten… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 62.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| CYB_012 | AI | recommendation-poisoning | 'Recommendation poisoning' — deliberate corruption of the data lakes, trainin… | Alex Finn | 5/5 | B | 78.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2029-08-31 |
| IND_001 | Labor/Jobs | Mac-Mini-autonomous-enterprise-parity | Single operators utilizing low-cost hardware (e.g., $600 Mac Minis) will be a… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| IND_002 | Education | orchestration-over-execution-curriculum | Educational systems must pivot from teaching skill acquisition and execution … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-05-31 |
| INF_039 | Consumer | Mac-supply-crunch | Consumer-facing AI hardware shortages will worsen: high-Unified-Memory Apple … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| ROB_026 | Defense | machine-speed-cyberattacks | Autonomous AI agents will execute multi-stage cyberattacks at machine speeds … | Alex Finn | 5/5 | C | 82.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-09-30 |
| SPC_027 | AI | trillion-dollar-agent-economy | A 'trillion-dollar agent economy' driven by hyper-deflation of intelligence —… | Alex Finn | 5/5 | C | 72.0% | in_progress | 2026-01-01 – 2030-10-31 |
| 237_011 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents will have voices in the near future. | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_020 | AI | AI-scaling | The hybrid approach (local models + cloud check-ins) will be where most peopl… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_005 | Markets/Stocks | AGI | Apple can flip being viewed as AI loser and win the AI consumer race by lever… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_017 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | The entire SaaS market is going to zero because features can be rebuilt in fi… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_021 | Crypto | AI-scaling | Alex Finn will eventually give his AI agents crypto wallets once they can gen… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 237_007 | AI | AI-timing | Every other company will eventually try to provide OS-integrated local AI lik… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 237_008 | Consumer | AI-scaling | App stores will go away; users won't download apps but instead generate softw… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |