Predictions
89 of 1,621 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244_009 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous insurance will have multiple layers: AV provider coverage plus add… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_010 | Robotics | autonomous | Machines will be more predictable than human drivers with higher acceptance r… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_011 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Autonomous transportation will eventually make transportation cheaper | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will monetize its Didi stake at some point | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 244_015 | Auto/Transport | AI-scaling | AV insurance model (driver vs platform vs combination) is TBD for a young ind… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 244_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Automation will typically augment work rather than replace it | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_024 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Hopes society will adjust as work is augmented and new work shows up | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_025 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Open question whether society can adjust fast enough to AI/automation pace | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 244_028 | Macro/Economy | jobs | Labor ownership of assets is a positive direction society will move in | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31 |
| 243_027 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby end-to-end eVTOL service in Abu Dhabi launching end of 2026 | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_013 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Uber will work with Chinese autonomous players (Pony, WeRide, hopefully Baidu… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_031 | Energy | autonomous | Uber's network will move to EVs as autonomous becomes bigger reality | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_033 | Markets/Stocks | AI-timing | Uber will take big bets on adjacent fields, some will fail | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_035 | Other | AI-timing | Uber will only enter adjacencies that 'rhyme' with core capabilities | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_036 | AI | AI-scaling | Uber AI Solutions will bring flexible work opportunities (labeling, model tes… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 244_037 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber will automate 20-30% of tasks, not 100%, leaving plenty of work | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 243_028 | Auto/Transport | jobs | Joby eVTOL service hopefully coming to US sometime next year (2027) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| INF_066 | Auto/Transport | charging-bifurcation | EV charging will totally bifurcate: consumer charging becomes localized and i… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 68.0% | in_progress | 2027-01-01 – 2033-11-30 |
| 243_003 | Auto/Transport | humanoids | By 2029, Uber will facilitate more autonomous/robotaxi rides than anyone else… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 244_017 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Ilia (age 13) will still want a driver's license in 3 years due to slow AV ma… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2029-01-01 – 2029-10-31 |
| 243_031 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Uber will have significantly more drivers in 2030 than today, including in US | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 244_026 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber platform will grow from 10M to 20M people by 2035 | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| 244_027 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber platform workers in 2035 may be doing different kinds of tasks | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| AI_022 | Labor/Jobs | 80-percent-jobs-disrupted | 80% of all jobs globally face total disruption from AI automation by 2035 — K… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2035-01-01 – 2035-12-31 |
| 243_013 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Every new car sold 10 years from now will have autonomous software | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 243_014 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | 10+ autonomous providers will operate on streets of LA a decade from now | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 243_015 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Software space for autonomous may consolidate to fewer than 10 providers | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-10-31 |
| 243_017 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Cost of lidar and cameras will continue coming down, making new cars autonomo… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 244_018 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | In 10 years you won't have to drive and will have plenty of choices | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| ROB_017 | Labor/Jobs | gig-10-to-15-years-replacement | Self-driving vehicles and autonomous systems will begin completely replacing … | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | A | 58.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2041-12-31 |
| 244_002 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Humans will be demonstrably less safe than autonomous drivers (within 25 year… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2041-01-01 – 2051-11-30 |
| INF_064 | Auto/Transport | autonomous-ride-hailing-majority | Within 15-20 years, the vast majority of global ride-hailing trips will be fu… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | in_progress | 2041-01-01 – 2046-11-30 |
| 244_029 | Energy | AI-timing | Combustion engines largely gone in 20 years but world will be very different | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2046-01-01 – 2046-10-31 |
| 243_046 | Consumer | AI-timing | When Uber opens in a market, drunk driving incidents go down significantly | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 244_008 | Other | AI-timing | If you build liquid supply with product-market fit, demand will show up | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 244_014 | Auto/Transport | AI-timing | AV is an industry where Chinese players have a lot to offer | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 244_021 | Media/Ads | AI-timing | AI press will continue to dramatize machines replacing humans | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 244_030 | Other | AI-timing | Physical world tech adoption always takes longer than digital world | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |
| 244_034 | Other | AI-timing | Companies get more conservative as they grow, but should do opposite | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |