Predictions
39 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240_056 | AI | AI-timing | Anthropic enterprise market share to continue growing (went from 40% to 73% i… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2026-08-31 |
| 230_025 | AI | AI-timing | The next 18 months to 2 years will set the rules for the next century. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-08-31 |
| 230_040 | AI | AI-scaling | AI capability/accuracy will improve recursively; output-checking issues will … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 231_012 | AI | AI-timing | Within 6 months to a year physics problems will be massively addressed by AI. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 237_024 | AI | AI-timing | Skippy will listen to this YouTube video and self-improve based on the transc… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 237_025 | AI | AI-timing | We are currently in the midst of the singularity, not waiting for it in the 2… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_037 | AI | NVIDIA | 50% of US data centers delayed, only 33% being built (due to chip/electrical … | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 246_047 | AI | AI-scaling | Anthropic ARR reached $30B, surpassing OpenAI's $24-25B. | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 246_051 | AI | AI-scaling | GPT-5.5 Spud will have equal or greater capability to Mythos. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| 247_001 | AI | $100T | xAI will IPO at $2 trillion valuation this coming summer | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 247_006 | AI | AI-timing | Anthropic ARR will reach $100 billion by end of 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30 |
| 247_046 | AI | AI-timing | AI investment will reach $3 billion per day, up from $2B in 2025 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| 247_058 | AI | AI-scaling | Jury selection begins April 27, 2026 for Musk v OpenAI trial | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 238_011 | AI | $100T | Frontier AI labs will generate trillions of dollars in new revenue from break… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_013 | AI | AGI | Frontier labs will increasingly keep their most capable models secret to self… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_035 | AI | AI-scaling | AI agents will outnumber humans — trillion agents vs 8 billion humans | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_025 | AI | AI-timing | Tesla's Terra Fab initial capacity 100,000 wafers, scaling to 1 million per m… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_053 | AI | AI-timing | AI will generate millions of novel inventions overnight; patents become meani… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 30.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_054 | AI | AGI | ASI will reinvent patent and copyright practices | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-10-31 |
| 242_006 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will reach 70% of TSMC's output | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_054 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab initial capex $25B, total buildout $150B+ minimum, possibly $500B | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 246_036 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab will deliver 1 terawatt/year AI compute, 50x current global output of… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-09-30 |
| 230_048 | AI | AI-scaling | Agentic emails/calls will become commonplace (inside/outside orgs) over email… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_001 | AI | AI-timing | Increased hacker profile and AI-driven social engineering attacks will become… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_002 | AI | AI-timing | We will see a lot of evolution and many OpenClaw variants emerging very quick… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 237_026 | AI | orbital-AI | The cadence of AI breakthroughs and Moonshot episodes will keep picking up as… | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 246_035 | AI | AI-timing | Terafab pilot phase is $25B, yielding ~$4B/year revenue for Intel. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 231_005 | AI | AI-timing | Next year frontier reasoning costs will be pennies (down from ~$7 now). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31 |
| 234_021 | AI | AI-scaling | OpenAI will launch consumer AI devices in 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-11-30 |
| 241_014 | AI | AI-timing | The world a year from today will be nothing like the world today | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-10-31 |
| 247_007 | AI | $100T | Anthropic ARR will reach $1 trillion by end of 2027 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30 |
| 230_006 | AI | AI-scaling | The frontier models will go dark — kept internal to benefit the labs in an al… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 232_010 | AI | AI-timing | Voice becomes the new interface in the AI era, replacing typing. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 247_030 | AI | AI-scaling | GPT-6 breakthroughs in science worth hundreds of billions to trillions | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 241_043 | AI | AGI | ASI will arrive within 2 years to 5 years to this next decade | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | in_progress | 2028-01-01 – 2035-10-31 |
| 231_008 | AI | AI-timing | AI discoveries of past errors will topple some Nobel prizes. | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 231_039 | AI | NVIDIA | Elon will build out his own chip fabs due to his attack-constraints approach. | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 232_055 | AI | AI-timing | We're exiting the industrial age permanently as recursive self-improvement un… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 234_020 | AI | AI-timing | AI spending will grow from $2B/day to $3-5B/day by 2030 | Peter Diamandis | 3/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30 |