Predictions
31 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236_003 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Jobs will get whisked away in many firms in 2026 | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| ROB_014 | Labor/Jobs | Yang-40M-jobs-bloodbath | White-collar 'bloodbath' could displace up to 40 million US jobs — leading ed… | Andrew Yang | 5/5 | B | 32.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 236_002 | Macro/Economy | economy | UBI must come before UHI as an intermediate step | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2034-06-30 |
| 236_006 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | AI entrepreneurs will get phenomenally wealthy and give most away | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_009 | Macro/Economy | economy | Human billionaires will be first movers funding UBI-like regional transfers | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31 |
| 236_020 | Robotics | humanoids | No robot plumbers or HVAC repair people anytime soon | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 236_022 | Robotics | humanoids | Robots will build data centers in foreseeable time frame | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 236_030 | AI | $100T | AI will create trillions of dollars of value and transform how we work and live | Andrew Yang | 5/5 | C | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_032 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | AI has chance of fixing poverty globally | Andrew Yang | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_035 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Significant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistants | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_040 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | CEO will be last to go in AI wave of automation | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_014 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Publicly traded companies will fire white collar workers very quickly | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_027 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Debt delinquency and mortgage delinquency rates rising; financial distress ra… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_028 | Consumer | AI-timing | AI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunately | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_031 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Wealth concentration will pick up as firms have fewer workers | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_046 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Social unrest unfortunately much closer than we'd like to think | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_049 | Macro/Economy | economy | US GDP per capita growing up up up because of AI | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 236_050 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | Poverty level around $25K per person going forward | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 234_034 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Andrew Yang predicts 20-50% of 70M US white collar workers could be displaced… | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 236_023 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | AI will replace white-collar jobs: 20-50% of 70M US office workers in 12-18 m… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 236_012 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | An independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacks | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_016 | Education | AI-timing | College premium is quickly evaporating | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_024 | Real Estate | AI-timing | Commercial real estate will come under tremendous pressure | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_025 | Real Estate | jobs | Suburban housing prices will fall as white collar workers lose jobs and sell … | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_029 | AI | AI-timing | Regulatory regime will be very pro-business despite 80% wanting AI more regul… | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 236_011 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Independent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 election | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 236_013 | Geopolitics | AI-timing | Democrats will no longer campaign in Iowa (DNC demoted Iowa) | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 236_045 | Geopolitics | economy | Government path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry … | Andrew Yang | 2/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 236_007 | Macro/Economy | economy | US GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near future | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30 |
| 236_019 | Robotics | AI-timing | Human plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longer | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30 |
| 236_010 | Macro/Economy | AI-timing | 5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next day | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | — – — |