Predictions
105 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 3. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROB_015 | Labor/Jobs | compressed-industrial-revolution-3yr | The 2025-2028 period is defined by massive automation/job displacement equiva… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 42.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| SPC_028 | Labor/Jobs | corporate-collapse-1.1M-jobs | Ismail and Blundin forecast widespread corporate collapses in 2025-2026 for t… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2025-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 230_015 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | For the next few years more people will end up doing more work, not less (996… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 3/5 | C | 45.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 231_041 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Radical massive job destruction is imminent; new creation will lag, causing d… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 231_053 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Within a couple months, young AI-native hires will be able to do exactly what… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 232_029 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Entry-level workers have approximately 2 years to secure employment before AI… | Unnamed frontier lab mid-level executive | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 232_043 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Corporate CEOs will soon mandate AI use in every job; AI-native enablers will… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 235_004 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Next 3-year timeline: massive job loss, total confusion, and rampant unregula… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| 236_003 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Jobs will get whisked away in many firms in 2026 | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 236_015 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Unnamed tech CEO plans to fire 15% of workers now, 20% in 2 years, 20% more a… | Unnamed tech CEO | 4/5 | D | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 237_012 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Over the next 12 months OpenClaw technology will be digested into corporation… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 237_015 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | There will be significantly more AI claws/agents than humans within a typical… | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31 |
| 237_027 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | 100 million people using OpenClaw will each start businesses hiring ~3 people… | Alex Finn | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 238_006 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Coders will go away in the next five years (original prediction made ~3 years… | Emad Mostaque | 4/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| 238_017 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Uber will automate approximately 30% of its employment this year (2026) | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 238_062 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Industrial-revolution-scale disruption will unfold over 2-4 years (not 20-40) | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 240_048 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Spreadsheet, SQL, code, UI jobs will be done by AI starting at end of this year | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 240_050 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | US will pass law like China requiring retraining when AI automates a job | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 241_011 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | By end of 2026, no one will write code manually - it'll be a quaint skill | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 243_033 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | About 20% of drivers slough off Uber platform annually | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| 244_023 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Over next 10 years, will see a lot of augmentation of work and some replacement | Dara Khosrowshahi | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2036-12-31 |
| 247_013 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | 99% of randomly selected white collar jobs could be replaced by AI today | Peter Dannenberg | 4/5 | C | 25.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| AUT_018 | Labor/Jobs | L1-customer-support-extinct | Level 1 customer support sector functionally extinct and replaced by autonomo… | Jason Calacanis | 4/5 | C | 30.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| CMQ_008 | Labor/Jobs | automation-policy | Rapid agentic automation of white-collar work could precipitate an employment… | Dario Amodei | 4/5 | A | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| CMQ_048 | Labor/Jobs | call-center-displacement | Agentic AI will fully replace Level 1 customer support call centers globally … | Jason Calacanis / David Sacks | 5/5 | B | 70.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2029-12-31 |
| IND_007 | Labor/Jobs | corporate-collapse-2026-buzzard-human | Massive 'Corporate Collapse' 2026 as legacy businesses fail to integrate GPT-… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | C | 38.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| IND_027 | Labor/Jobs | reasoning-boom-20-80-human-AI-split | Ongoing 'reasoning boom' where scientific software development operates on a … | Eric Schmidt | 4/5 | B | 42.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2028-12-31 |
| ROB_014 | Labor/Jobs | Yang-40M-jobs-bloodbath | White-collar 'bloodbath' could displace up to 40 million US jobs — leading ed… | Andrew Yang | 5/5 | B | 32.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| SPC_029 | Labor/Jobs | Idea-Guys-imagination-scarcity | 'Idea Guys' vindication — because AI handles rote execution of complex engine… | Sam Altman | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| 234_008 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Workflows will move from human-centric to agentic with humans doing oversight… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 234_022 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Consulting firms face the biggest advisory opportunity in the history of mankind | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_023 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | 80% of audit tech team roles at big four firms to disappear | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 234_024 | Labor/Jobs | AGI | Financial systems between AI and blockchain will become self-auditing on a re… | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 236_035 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Significant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistants | Andrew Yang | 4/5 | C | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_040 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | CEO will be last to go in AI wave of automation | Andrew Yang | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 236_041 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Gig work like Uber will be eliminated by AI | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_019 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Jevons Paradox will keep demand for human drivers in non-autonomous areas eve… | Dave Blundin | 3/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_029 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | White-collar jobs (management, business, legal, art/media, admin) will be 80-… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_032 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | End-state of AI is abundance and post-scarce labor — path is 'no firewall' | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_063 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Automating companies with AI leaves ~25% of employees doing oversight; 5x mor… | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | C | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 238_064 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | AI will replace many entrenched jobs; non-shareholders (e.g., drivers) will f… | Dave Blundin | 5/5 | B | 65.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 238_065 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Children/next generation uncommitted to careers will do incredibly well in AI… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 239_015 | Labor/Jobs | AGI | Tesla output per employee will become very very high | Elon Musk | 4/5 | B | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 240_038 | Labor/Jobs | humanoids | Amazon will be first to reach corporate singularity with more robots than humans | Jason Calacanis | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 240_049 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | Last jobs to be automated will be government jobs, university jobs | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2040-12-31 |
| 242_028 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | AI could automate 25% of US work hours | Goldman Sachs | 3/5 | D | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 242_029 | Labor/Jobs | AI-timing | Typical companies will run with 20-25% of current employees | Salim Ismail | 4/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 242_030 | Labor/Jobs | jobs | Near-future reverse discrimination where humans need not apply for many jobs | Alex Wissner-Gross | 4/5 | B | 50.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 242_032 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | AI will do the job for 2% of the cost of a human in the near term | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | B | 60.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31 |
| 243_037 | Labor/Jobs | autonomous | Drivers will be able to transition to becoming fleet managers/owners of auton… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 3/5 | C | 55.0% | pending | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |