Predictions

30 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

Filters

Domain
AllAIAI/AgentsAI/AGIAI/ArchitectureAI/ChinaAI/CognitionAI/ComputeAI/CorporateAI/FinanceAI/HardwareAI/InfrastructureAI/ManufacturingAI/MarketsAI/MathematicsAI/PhysicsAI/SoftwareAI/StartupsAI/StrategyAuto/TransportBiotech/LongevityCapital MarketsConsumerCryptoDefenseEconomyEconomy/OrgEducationEnergyEnergy/ComputeFinance/CryptoGeopoliticsInvestingLabor/JobsMacro/EconomyManufacturingMarkets/StocksMedia/AdsOtherPolicy/SemisQuantumQuantum/AIReal EstateRoboticsSemisSemis/ASICsSemis/GeopoliticsSemis/HardwareSemis/MarketsSemis/MemorySemis/PackagingSemis/Productsshort_horizon_breakoutSpaceSpace/ComputeTechnology
Status
Allmiss (3)pending (1312)partial (35)in_progress (182)hit (75)
Predictor
AllAlex Wissner-Gross (231)Dave Blundin (165)Peter Diamandis (160)Dara Khosrowshahi (89)Elon Musk (69)Eric Schmidt (68)Brett Adcock (51)Salim Ismail (49)Ben Lamm (47)Morgan Stanley (42)Andrew Yang (35)Alex Finn (28)
Sort
Window (earliest)Window (latest)Prior (high)Prior (low)Conviction (high)ID
IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
245_014Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal has major announcements coming this year with a local government on …Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-06-30
245_027Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal DNA synthesis delivery will reach 20x the largest prior delivery by …Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30
239_031Biotech/LongevitysynbioBen Lamb / Colossal could engineer a Pikachu-like creatureBen Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31
245_001Biotech/LongevityAI-timingSynthetic biology paired with AI will be the most transformative technology i…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2035-12-31
245_006Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal will productionize species development via biobanking, synthetic bio…Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
245_007Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal will bring back the woolly mammothBen Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31
245_010Biotech/LongevityAI-timingBreaking will pursue a human-body microplastic solution (supplement) in addit…Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31
245_013Biotech/LongevityAI-timingArtificial wombs will eventually enable productionized de-extinction speciesBen Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2032-12-31
245_015Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal could theoretically create Pikachu (engineer novel designer organisms)Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2032-12-31
245_016Biotech/LongevityautonomousKitrid disease is the leading extinction driver in frogs/amphibians and can b…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
245_021Biotech/LongevityAI-timingEngineered all-male screworms released via gene drive will cause species die-…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31
245_026Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal editing tech will be applicable to human healthcare (spun out/licensed)Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
245_029Biotech/LongevitysynbioIVF will be transformed by Colossal's hydrogel/microfluidics embryo tech and …Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31
245_030Biotech/LongevityAI-timingHumans will need to use synthetic biology to help species adapt faster than e…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31
245_033Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal will work to reintroduce all de-extincted species back into their en…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
245_036Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal will continue seeding and spinning out new companies from scientific…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31
245_037Biotech/LongevityAGIMosquito gene drive halted in Africa was possibly wrong to stop since mosquit…Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2040-09-30
245_040Biotech/LongevityAI-scalingBiovault model will expand; UAE is the first of multiple country partnershipsBen Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-12-31
245_041Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal will build a living lab in UAE in addition to BiovaultBen Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2027-12-31
245_043Biotech/LongevityAI-timingBreaking's enzymes will treat a wider breadth of plastics and degrade them fa…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-12-31
245_044Biotech/LongevityAI-timingNorthern white rhino saved by synthetic genetic diversity engineering + artif…Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2034-06-30
245_045Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal considers Colossal platform core will stay focused on biodiversity a…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2040-09-30
245_017Biotech/LongevityAI-timingDisease/drought-resistant plants and animals market is currently hundreds of …Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
245_035Biotech/LongevityAI-timingGene drive tech is safer than prior dispersals and can be rolled backBen Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
245_024Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal gene editing will reach thousands of edits (up from current hundreds)Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2029-11-30
245_028Biotech/LongevityAI-scalingColossal's models and approach to synthetic biology will apply broadly to the…Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2029-11-30
AI_032Biotech/LongevityAstromech-predictive-biologyAstromech (co-founded with Harvard geneticist George Church) will quickly bec…Ben Lamm4/5B18.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2035-09-30
245_023Biotech/Longevity$100TColossal considers de-extinction and species preservation a $10 trillion oppo…Ben Lamm4/5C50.0%pending— – —
245_031Biotech/LongevityAI-timing99% of synthetic biology focus will remain on human healthcare; similar tech …Ben Lamm3/5C45.0%pending— – —
245_039Biotech/LongevitysynbioColossal has not yet started work on dinosaurs, corals, dragons or PokemonBen Lamm4/5C50.0%pending— – —