Colossal has not yet started work on dinosaurs, corals, dragons or Pokemon

Colossal has not yet started work on dinosaurs, corals, dragons or Pokemon | we aren't working on dragons and we're not working on Pokemon or corals yet

we aren't working on dragons and we're not working on Pokemon or corals yet

Beneficiaries (19)

Adverse (4)

{
  "nia": false,
  "url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Goa6c6Qz__I",
  "mode": "PREDICTION",
  "role": "Guest-CEO",
  "context": "we aren't working on dragons and we're not working on Pokemon or corals yet",
  "verbatim": "we aren't working on dragons and we're not working on Pokemon or corals yet",
  "conv_cues": "aren't working on; yet",
  "direction": "NOT_HAPPEN",
  "timeframe": "Current state / 'yet' implies future possibility",
  "conv_level": "HIGH",
  "milestones": [
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Colossal announces fourth de-extinction species target (post-mammoth/dodo/thylacine)",
      "notes": "HIT — Colossal added bluebuck on 2026-04-30 (yesterday relative to today's date). Still no dragons/Pokemon/dinos/corals — claim holds.",
      "source": "Colossal press, https://www.axios.com/2026/04/30/colossal-biosciences-species-extinction-bluebuck — bluebuck announced 2026-04-30",
      "status": "hit",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -3,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.99,
      "source_url": "https://www.axios.com/2026/04/30/colossal-biosciences-species-extinction-bluebuck",
      "expected_date": "2027-03-01",
      "observed_date": "2026-04-30",
      "research_origin": "deep_research",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2027-12-31",
        "from": "2026-05-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Colossal publicly announces fourth de-extinction target species beyond current mammoth/dodo/thylacine portfolio"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Coral-restoration GM/CRISPR program launched (would partially invalidate)",
      "notes": "Lamm explicitly excluded corals. Future inclusion would partially invalidate.",
      "source": "Colossal press, peer-reviewed publication, NOAA partner announcements",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -2,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.3,
      "expected_date": "2027-08-31",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2028-12-31",
        "from": "2026-05-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "Colossal announces coral-restoration / climate-resilient-coral program OR partners with coral-focused org (Reef Genomics, Australian Institute of Marine Science)"
    },
    {
      "kind": "llm_pre_event",
      "label": "Dinosaur de-extinction remains scientifically infeasible (no preserved DNA)",
      "notes": "DNA half-life ~521 years means dinosaur DNA fully degraded; physically impossible. Claim 'not working on dinosaurs' is structurally durable.",
      "source": "Nature, Science, Cell — paleogenomics publications",
      "status": "pending",
      "weight": 0.4,
      "ordinal": -1,
      "source_id": null,
      "confidence": 0.95,
      "expected_date": "2028-08-30",
      "research_origin": "training",
      "expected_date_range": {
        "to": "2030-12-31",
        "from": "2026-05-01"
      },
      "measurement_criterion": "No peer-reviewed publication demonstrates Mesozoic-era DNA recovery capable of supporting de-extinction (chickenosaurus / Jack Horner approach is morphological, not de-extinction)"
    }
  ],
  "repeat_eps": 1,
  "sub_domain": "Longevity",
  "untimeable": true,
  "affiliation": "Colossal Biosciences",
  "attribution": "FIRST_PERSON",
  "episode_num": 245,
  "granularity": "VAGUE",
  "episode_date": "2026-04-07",
  "parse_method": "UNMAPPABLE",
  "domain_bucket": "Biotech",
  "episode_title": "AI + Synthetic Biology: The Most Transformative Technology in Human History | Ben Lamm (Colossal)",
  "flag_repeated": false,
  "in_5yr_window": false,
  "appears_in_eps": "245",
  "is_macro_claim": false,
  "total_mentions": 1,
  "priority_weight": 4,
  "ps_cluster_tags": [
    "C10"
  ],
  "active_end_month": 0,
  "recent_statement": "April 7 2026 Moonshots: Colossal gene editing 15%→40%→90% efficiency at hundreds of edits. UAE Biovault nine-figure partnership. Synbio market as large as AI (mu
... (truncated)