Predictions
75 of 1,607 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.
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Predictor
| ID | Domain | Topic | Title | Predictor | Conv | SQ | Prior | Status | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INF_039 | Consumer | Mac-supply-crunch | Consumer-facing AI hardware shortages will worsen: high-Unified-Memory Apple … | Alex Finn | 4/5 | C | 90.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| INF_049 | Energy | gigawatt-factory-bottleneck | Modern AI data centers are no longer server farms but "gigawatt factories"; e… | Jensen Huang | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| INF_065 | Auto/Transport | uber-robotaxi-charging-$100M | Uber has committed an initial $100 million specifically to develop EV chargin… | Dara Khosrowshahi | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| ROB_012 | Semis | Taiwan-GPU-singularity-bottleneck | The ultimate bottleneck for global robotics deployment is NOT software archit… | David Holz | 5/5 | B | 85.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31 |
| SEM_029 | Semis/Products | hardware | Blackwell RTX PRO 5000 (72GB) engineered with 50% memory boost over previous … | Nvidia | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31 |
| SPC_006 | Space | Starlink-10M-subscribers | Starlink exceeded 10 million active global subscribers by February 2026, gene… | SpaceX | 5/5 | B | 98.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-10-31 |
| SPC_014 | Space | Starlink-65-percent-active-sats | Starlink constitutes 65% of all active satellites globally by 2026 — making L… | SpaceX | 5/5 | B | 98.0% | hit | 2026-01-01 – 2026-11-30 |
| IND_021 | Labor/Jobs | Block-4000-layoffs-realized | February 2026 realized forecast: AI automation capabilities necessitated seve… | Jack Dorsey | 5/5 | B | 95.0% | hit | 2026-02-01 – 2026-02-28 |
| 235_038 | Biotech/Longevity | AI-timing | David Sinclair begins partial epigenetic reprogramming trials with Life Biosc… | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-03-01 – 2026-03-31 |
| 242_057 | Space | AI-timing | Artemis 2 launches April 1, 2026 - circumlunar mission | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 65.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 247_042 | Robotics | humanoids | Professional Robotics League first US match on April 19, 2026 in Boston | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 247_058 | AI | AI-scaling | Jury selection begins April 27, 2026 for Musk v OpenAI trial | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-01 – 2026-04-30 |
| 229_028 | Robotics | AI-timing | Figure will NOT license out its neural net or hardware IP to third-party form… | Brett Adcock | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30 |
| 238_041 | AI | AI-scaling | Apple will eventually integrate highly competent private frontier models into… | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2027-09-30 |
| 245_012 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | UAE's Biovault is a nine-figure initiative for both Colossal and the UAE | Ben Lamm | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30 |
| 246_038 | Space | orbital-AI | Data centers are driving frontier labs into space (orbital data centers). | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30 |
| 234_012 | Markets/Stocks | AI-scaling | Anthropic revenue will cross OpenAI revenue in middle of 2026 | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 241_004 | AI | AI-timing | AI progress is not stoppable or controllable by any government, individual, o… | Eric Schmidt | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 245_025 | Biotech/Longevity | synbio | Colossal gene editing efficiency has risen from 15% industry / 40% internal t… | Ben Lamm | 5/5 | C | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_003 | Space | SpaceX | SpaceX plans to launch 40,000 V3 Starlink satellites and then 120,000 V4 sate… | Peter Diamandis | 4/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_005 | Space | SpaceX | V3 Starlink satellites will deliver over 1 TB/s downlink and 200+ Gbps uplink… | Video Narration (SpaceX) | 5/5 | D | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 248_040 | AI | AI-timing | Pausing AI will fail and only accelerate race dynamics. | Alex Wissner-Gross | 5/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30 |
| 230_014 | Labor/Jobs | AI-scaling | The consulting industry will go through the roof as consultants leverage AI t… | Dave Blundin | 4/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30 |
| 242_015 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Full autonomy achieved within 2 years before Salim's son gets driver's license | Salim Ismail | 3/5 | B | 92.0% | hit | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |
| 244_019 | Auto/Transport | autonomous | Peter's son won't need a driver's license in 2 years | Peter Diamandis | 5/5 | A | 92.0% | hit | 2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31 |