Predictions

35 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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Window (earliest)Window (latest)Prior (high)Prior (low)Conviction (high)ID
IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
AUT_004Markets/Stocksalgorithmic-equity-headcount-rewardEquity markets will algorithmically reward corporate entities that utilize AI…Andrew Yang4/5B68.0%in_progress2025-01-01 – 2028-09-30
236_003Labor/JobsjobsJobs will get whisked away in many firms in 2026Andrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-12-31
AI_021Labor/JobsGreat-DisembowelingThe 2026-2027 window is the 'Great Disemboweling' of white-collar employment …Andrew Yang5/5B55.0%partial2026-01-01 – 2027-12-31
ROB_014Labor/JobsYang-40M-jobs-bloodbathWhite-collar 'bloodbath' could displace up to 40 million US jobs — leading ed…Andrew Yang5/5B32.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2030-12-31
236_002Macro/EconomyeconomyUBI must come before UHI as an intermediate stepAndrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2034-06-30
236_006Macro/EconomyAI-timingAI entrepreneurs will get phenomenally wealthy and give most awayAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_009Macro/EconomyeconomyHuman billionaires will be first movers funding UBI-like regional transfersAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
236_020RoboticshumanoidsNo robot plumbers or HVAC repair people anytime soonAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-11-30
236_022RoboticshumanoidsRobots will build data centers in foreseeable time frameAndrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2028-11-30
236_030AI$100TAI will create trillions of dollars of value and transform how we work and liveAndrew Yang5/5C65.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_032Macro/EconomyAI-timingAI has chance of fixing poverty globallyAndrew Yang2/5D50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_033AIAI-timingPie will grow very quickly as AI does work of millions of humans in hoursAndrew Yang5/5B72.0%partial2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_035Labor/JobsAI-timingSignificant proportion of Americans will serve the top 20% as nannies/assistantsAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_040Labor/JobsAI-timingCEO will be last to go in AI wave of automationAndrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2029-03-31
236_014Labor/JobsjobsPublicly traded companies will fire white collar workers very quicklyAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_027Macro/EconomyAI-timingDebt delinquency and mortgage delinquency rates rising; financial distress ra…Andrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_028ConsumerAI-timingAI chatbot/AI romance trend growing unfortunatelyAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_031Macro/EconomyAI-timingWealth concentration will pick up as firms have fewer workersAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_046Macro/EconomyAI-timingSocial unrest unfortunately much closer than we'd like to thinkAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_049Macro/EconomyeconomyUS GDP per capita growing up up up because of AIAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
236_050Macro/EconomyAI-timingPoverty level around $25K per person going forwardAndrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
234_034Labor/JobsjobsAndrew Yang predicts 20-50% of 70M US white collar workers could be displaced…Andrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2028-12-31
236_023Labor/JobsjobsAI will replace white-collar jobs: 20-50% of 70M US office workers in 12-18 m…Andrew Yang4/5B60.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2027-12-31
236_012GeopoliticsAI-timingAn independent candidate will get outsized support in 2028 despite attacksAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
236_016EducationAI-timingCollege premium is quickly evaporatingAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
236_024Real EstateAI-timingCommercial real estate will come under tremendous pressureAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
236_025Real EstatejobsSuburban housing prices will fall as white collar workers lose jobs and sell …Andrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
236_029AIAI-timingRegulatory regime will be very pro-business despite 80% wanting AI more regul…Andrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
236_011GeopoliticsAI-timingIndependent/third party presidential run possible in 2028 electionAndrew Yang3/5C55.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31
236_013GeopoliticsAI-timingDemocrats will no longer campaign in Iowa (DNC demoted Iowa)Andrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31
236_045GeopoliticseconomyGovernment path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry …Andrew Yang2/5D50.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2028-10-31
INF_058Energydecentralized-microgridsThe electrical grid topology will transition from centralized to highly decen…Andrew Yang3/5C55.0%partial2028-01-01 – 2035-10-31
236_007Macro/EconomyeconomyUS GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near futureAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
236_019RoboticsAI-timingHuman plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longerAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30
236_010Macro/EconomyAI-timing5% wealth tax would result in zero billionaires by next dayAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending— – —