Predictions

81 of 1,611 predictions match — page 2 of 2. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
248_020RoboticshumanoidsJevons paradox: bandwidth demand will explode as 10 billion robots and AVs ne…Peter Diamandis3/5C60.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_038RoboticshumanoidsWe will see humanoid robot threats alongside the current Sam Altman backlash.Salim Ismail3/5C50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_042RoboticshumanoidsA sewing robot already exists; logistics robots will automate trillion-dollar…Salim Ismail3/5C50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
238_015RoboticshumanoidsBrent Bornick/1X to ship Peter a humanoid robot this summer (2026)Brent Bornick4/5B55.0%pending2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31
239_011RoboticsOptimusOptimus 3 production starts summer 2026Elon Musk4/5B55.0%pending2026-07-01 – 2026-07-31
229_021RoboticshumanoidsIn 2027, Figure will be on the path to ship robots into users' homes and iter…Brett Adcock3/5C50.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2027-08-31
229_023RoboticshumanoidsFirst Figure robot in a customer's home expected 2027-2029 timeframe.Brett Adcock3/5C50.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2029-10-31
238_016RoboticshumanoidsFigure CEO Brett Adcock will appear at Abundance Summit next year (2027) with…Peter Diamandis3/5C60.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2027-09-30
ROB_005Roboticsphysical-intelligence-AGI-prerequisiteTrue AGI requires 'physical intelligence' — an AGI system must be able to con…Demis Hassabis4/5A55.0%pending2027-01-01 – 2036-10-31
235_019RoboticshumanoidsFast food chains will bring in humanoid robots very shortly to replace workers.Peter Diamandis4/5B65.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
241_057RoboticsAGIElon Musk believes robot building robot is imminentElon Musk4/5B55.0%pending2027-06-01 – 2027-06-30
239_012RoboticsOptimusOptimus reaches high volume production by summer 2027Elon Musk3/5C50.0%pending2027-07-01 – 2027-07-31
229_009RoboticshumanoidsWithin roughly 24 months, robots will build robots on Figure's lines.Brett Adcock3/5C50.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2028-08-31
229_025RoboticsAI-timingCompetitors that can match Figure's current capabilities are at least two yea…Brett Adcock4/5C55.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2028-09-30
230_022RoboticsAGIElon plans to produce tens of millions of robots per year in just a few years.Elon Musk3/5B35.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2030-11-30
235_020RoboticshumanoidsTransition to VLA humanoid robots taking over fast food jobs in 2-3 years.Alex Wissner-Gross3/5B45.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2029-10-31
247_043RoboticshumanoidsHumanoid robots will be utterly transformative for 2/3 of US services sectorAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2028-06-01 – 2028-06-30
235_032RoboticsOptimusElon Musk predicted Optimus will be your surgeon in 3 years.Elon Musk4/5B35.0%pending2029-01-01 – 2032-08-31
236_021RoboticsOptimusOptimus/humanoid robots to do trades work in 3 to 8 years (Elon's vision)Elon Musk3/5B50.0%pending2029-01-01 – 2034-11-30
INF_025Roboticshumanoid-deploymentFigure AI targets deployment of 100,000 general-purpose humanoid robots by 20…Brett Adcock5/5A40.0%pending2029-01-01 – 2029-09-30
ROB_010Roboticswatts-are-wealth'Watts are wealth' — as machines progressively take over physical production,…Elon Musk5/5B48.0%pending2030-01-01 – 2040-11-30
230_007RoboticsAI-scalingLobsters (agentic AIs) will ultimately gain first-class physical embodiment a…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
230_021RoboticshumanoidsFigure and Tesla will make millions, then billions of robots.Peter Diamandis3/5C60.0%pending2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
241_029RoboticshumanoidsHumanoid robot assembly of rockets is beyond current robots for a long timeEric Schmidt4/5B60.0%pending2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
247_044RoboticshumanoidsHumanoid robots have 5-10 year lifespan before merging with environmentsMark Cuban3/5C45.0%pending2031-01-01 – 2036-08-31
232_057RoboticsAI-scalingFirst person to arrive on moon/Mars will find bed made by Optimus robots; rob…Dave Blundin4/5B60.0%pending2031-06-01 – 2031-06-30
229_010RoboticshumanoidsEventually there will be tens of billions of humanoids on planet Earth—one pe…Brett Adcock3/5C50.0%pending2035-01-01 – 2040-10-31
AI_030Roboticshumanoids-outnumber-workers-2035By 2035, synthetic humanoid workers will physically outnumber human employees…Brett Adcock5/5A35.0%pending2035-01-01 – 2035-11-30
236_019RoboticsAI-timingHuman plumbers are safe for at least 10 years and probably significantly longerAndrew Yang4/5C60.0%pending2036-01-01 – 2036-11-30
CMQ_051Roboticshumanoid-TAMHumanoid robots total addressable market by 2040: lower bound 1 billion units…Brett Adcock / Elon Musk / Vinod Khosla5/5A40.0%pending2040-01-01 – 2040-09-30
234_033RoboticshumanoidsDavid Holz predicts 5 million humanoids can build Manhattan in 6 monthsDavid Holz3/5D50.0%pending2045-01-01 – 2045-09-30