JNK

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Cap tier

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Approx cap

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Bull scenarios

Adverse scenarios

Bull scenarios (0)

Predictions where this ticker benefits

Pred	Role	Domain	Prediction	Predictor	Current	Move	Impact	Status
No data

Adverse scenarios (33)

Predictions where this ticker is displaced

Pred	Domain	Prediction	Predictor	Current	Move	Impact	Mechanism
SEM_006	AI/Finance	OpenAI will operate at a ~$9B deficit in 2025, driven almost entirely by advanced-chip acquisition and facility construction.	Sam Altman	63.5%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
SEM_045	Economy/Org	Traditional corporate structures will move rapidly toward AI-native operating models by 2026 — forcing total organizational transformations.	Salim Ismail	54.2%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
230_030	Macro/Economy	Economy will shift from paying for inputs/hours to paying for verified outcomes.	Peter Diamandis	54.2%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
SEM_046	AI/Startups	AI startups are scaling incredibly fast with significantly less capital — barrier to entry for complex software approaching zero.	Joe Liemandt	53.5%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_007	Macro/Economy	US GDP per capita will break $90K and then $100K in relatively near future	Andrew Yang	50.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
240_042	Macro/Economy	Economy will be 10x larger in 10 years (Elon's number)	Elon Musk	50.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_009	Macro/Economy	Human billionaires will be first movers funding UBI-like regional transfers	Andrew Yang	50.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_018	Macro/Economy	UBI/stimulus needed in 1-3 year timeframe, UBS in 3-8 years	Peter Diamandis	50.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_034	Macro/Economy	Rapid inflation in near-term from UBI money printing, then rapid deflation from AI/robotics	Peter Diamandis	49.8%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
242_040	Space	Mars/Europa/planets will have ubiquitous microbial life	Peter Diamandis	47.5%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
232_031	Crypto	Crypto and AI will combine to form the AI economy; most people are underestimating this.	Ben Horowitz	46.9%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
230_009	Macro/Economy	US GDP growth will hit triple-digit (100%+) within 5 years per Elon Musk.	Elon Musk	46.4%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
247_015	Macro/Economy	Government will print UBI checks in next 2-5 years due to AI turbulence	Peter Diamandis	46.1%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
232_042	Macro/Economy	GDP expands massively as intelligence becomes infrastructure; Jevons paradox will apply to AI.	Salim Ismail	45.9%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
241_022	Macro/Economy	Data center buildout is ~1% of US GDP growth	Eric Schmidt	45.4%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_049	Macro/Economy	US GDP per capita growing up up up because of AI	Andrew Yang	43.2%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
238_068	Macro/Economy	Mark Pack Donovan to distribute 5% of wealth fund annually to 44 people (UBI-style pod)	Mark Pack Donovan	42.9%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
SEM_030	Capital Markets	S&P 500 roughly 10% upside in 2026 driven by AI productivity wave rolling through broader economy (not just megacap).	Mike Wilson	42.8%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
231_042	Labor/Jobs	Job loss from AI will take a long while to play out - not a sudden shock to the economy.	Salim Ismail	41.8%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
232_022	Macro/Economy	Triple-digit GDP growth is possible in the next 5 years due to AI.	Ben Horowitz	41.8%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_002	Macro/Economy	UBI must come before UHI as an intermediate step	Andrew Yang	41.7%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_045	Geopolitics	Government path to UBI vanishingly unlikely, but possible outsized asymmetry in 2028	Andrew Yang	40.6%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
240_040	Macro/Economy	Elon: economy will grow 1000x to saturate all human desire	Elon Musk	37.9%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
239_001	Macro/Economy	Global economy will be 10x its current size in 10 years	Elon Musk	37.7%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
231_040	Macro/Economy	Ireland's UBI art scheme will NOT become a template for the future peacetime work creation.	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.7%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
248_009	Macro/Economy	Elon Musk's economy will grow 10x in about 10 years.	Elon Musk	37.3%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
246_003	Macro/Economy	Global economy will grow 10x in 10 years (cited from Elon Musk).	Elon Musk	37.3%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
242_045	AI	AI will redesign data centers, energy supplies, and entire economy	Alex Wissner-Gross	37.2%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
239_030	Macro/Economy	1000x current economy would saturate human desires	Elon Musk	36.9%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
229_011	Markets/Stocks	The humanoid robotics market/economy will be roughly $50 trillion—roughly half of global GDP of human labor.	Brett Adcock	35.8%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
236_036	Macro/Economy	Hyperinflation to solve debt problem in post-scarcity AI economy	Alex Wissner-Gross	35.1%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
239_027	Macro/Economy	Diamandis cites Musk: triple-digit GDP growth in 5+ years	Elon Musk	34.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.
230_035	Macro/Economy	GDP will 2x or 3x year-over-year in early 2030s if everything goes well.	Alex Wissner-Gross	32.0%	unknown	unknown	Recession/deleveraging scenario hits cyclical discretionary + levered credit + regional banks + private-equity franchises concurrently.