Predictions

17 of 1,607 predictions match — page 1 of 1. Click any row to view its detail.

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IDDomainTopicTitlePredictorConvSQPriorStatusWindow
242_048Biotech/LongevityAI-scalingFDA will move to zero clinical trial model given enough Bayesian/computationa…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2031-09-30
248_031Biotech/LongevityAI-timingEnhanced Games world records will accelerate on a scaling-law-style trajector…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-01-01 – 2026-09-30
238_044Biotech/LongevityAI-timingMouse brain is 'next' for whole-brain emulation at Eon SystemsAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2026-11-30
238_045Biotech/LongevityAI-timingEon Systems aims to upload human minds to cyberspace as soon as possibleAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31
247_029Biotech/LongevityAI-scalingOpenAI Foundation's cure for Alzheimer's could spawn a trillion-dollar pharma…Alex Wissner-Gross3/5B45.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2031-12-31
247_050Biotech/LongevitycryptoVirtual cell achievable through classical scaling without quantum computingAlex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-04-30 – 2030-12-31
234_027Biotech/LongevityAI-timingElement Biosciences will launch $600K desktop $100-per-genome machine in seco…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_028Biotech/LongevityAI-timingPersonalized AI-designed medicine stories will repeat until it's n=10 billion.Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_029Biotech/LongevityAI-timingRegime change at the FDA is not beyond the realm of reason.Alex Wissner-Gross2/5C40.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_032Biotech/LongevityAI-timingFirst-generation neural uploads will be destructive; 2nd-4th generation will …Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
248_044Biotech/LongevityAI-timingAlex: likely user ~1 million of a BCI implant (not 101) once upgradeable.Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2026-06-01 – 2026-06-30
238_043Biotech/LongevityAI-timingA mouse will have a full brain uploaded in years, not decades; first human wh…Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2028-01-01 – 2035-11-30
247_031Biotech/LongevityAI-timingVirtual cell simulation by end of decade (2030)Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2030-01-01 – 2030-11-30
230_023Biotech/LongevityAI-timingReversible cryopreservation of brains/organs is nearing; people will be able …Alex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2030-06-01 – 2030-06-30
242_047Biotech/LongevityAI-timingFrontier AI may solve most diseases in 5 yearsAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending2031-01-01 – 2031-11-30
232_039Biotech/LongevityAI-timing150,000 people per day dying on Earth; AI is the best chance to stop that.Alex Wissner-Gross4/5B50.0%pending2033-06-01 – 2033-06-30
240_052Biotech/LongevityAI-timingUploading consciousness (whole brain emulation) really will be you in the futureAlex Wissner-Gross3/5C45.0%pending— – —