Recommendations

High-conviction investment book. Filter by category or analysis batch to triage the pending queue while in research mode. Click a row for rules, thesis links, and the analysis source.

Pending

716

Deployed

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$ Recommended

$2,249,100

$ Deployed

$129,044

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Category:all hedge core_long software_direct storage edge_ai cybersec reit optical electrical epc crypto_ai nuclear lottery

Status:all pending deployed rejected expired

Conviction:all S A B C

Instrument:all leaps_call leaps_put equity

Sort:dollar_amount_desc category conviction_tier ticker recommended_at_desc

16 recommendations

Total recommended dollar amount in view: $37,300

Ticker	Category	Instrument	Tier	$ Rec.	Qty	Entry / IV / Δ	OTM%	Status	Primary thesis	Source
FLR	epc	2027-01 $65C	S	$5,000	10.42	$4.80 / iv=0.48 / Δ=0.39	25%	superseded	Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. P=0.92 · 2 links	§14.3
PWR	epc	2027-01 $940C	S	$5,000	1.02	$48.90 / iv=0.44 / Δ=0.37	24%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 3 links	§15
AVGO	core_long	2027-01 $520C	S	$4,000	1.07	$37.50 / iv=0.48 / Δ=0.37	26%	superseded	Main characters for semi institutional portfolios: Nvidia, Broadcom, and high-growth connectivity firms like Astera Labs. P=0.61 · 3 links	§9 #3, §10 §11.1
ORCL	software_direct	2027-01 $270C	S	$3,500	2.80	$12.50 / iv=0.59 / Δ=0.29	49%	superseded	—	§9 #3 (asymmetric), §10 §11.1
AAON	epc	2027-01 $115C	S	$3,000	3.36	$8.92 / iv=0.59 / Δ=0.43	27%	superseded	Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. P=0.92 · 3 links	§7.1
APH	core_long	2027-01 $180C	A	$2,500	2.11	$11.83 / iv=0.48 / Δ=0.36	28%	superseded	Main characters for semi institutional portfolios: Nvidia, Broadcom, and high-growth connectivity firms like Astera Labs. P=0.61 · 2 links	§6, §10
GEV	electrical	2027-01 $1340C	A	$2,000	0.17	$116.30 / iv=0.52 / Δ=0.41	26%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 3 links	§5.1, §10
ETN	electrical	2027-01 $520C	A	$2,000	0.78	$25.53 / iv=0.36 / Δ=0.33	22%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 2 links	§5.1, §10
NVDA	core_long	2027-01 $245C	S	$1,800	1.32	$13.64 / iv=0.42 / Δ=0.34	25%	superseded	Nvidia's next 'Rubin' product cycle is the most critical factor for semi industry in coming year — further integrates logic + HBM. P=0.71 · 4 links	§3 #1, §9 #1
LRCX	core_long	2027-01 $320C	A	$1,500	0.44	$33.97 / iv=0.60 / Δ=0.44	25%	superseded	HBM will remain in structural shortage through at least 2027 — shortage extends multi-year despite aggressive fab expansion. P=0.84 · 3 links	§5.1, §10
TLN	core_long	2027-01 $480C	A	$1,500	0.43	$34.89 / iv=0.54 / Δ=0.41	27%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 2 links	§7.3
FLR	epc	2027-01 $80C	B	$1,500	10.71	$1.40 / iv=0.47 / Δ=0.21	52%	superseded	Mega-cap hyperscalers will commit over $1 trillion of capital expenditures in the 2025-2026 period alone, with roughly half financed via debt — intertwining AI buildout risk with global credit markets. P=0.92 · 1 link	§14.3
CMI	core_long	2027-01 $680C	A	$1,500	0.29	$52.00 / iv=0.40 / Δ=0.50	4%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 2 links	§7.2
LEU	nuclear	2027-01 $260C	B	$1,000	0.19	$52.30 / iv=0.88 / Δ=0.53	28%	superseded	US electricity production must grow by 'tens of percent' by end of decade to support hundreds of millions of frontier-AI GPUs. P=0.52 · 1 link	§7.4
LITE	optical	2027-01 $1440C	C	$1,000	0.05	$191.00 / iv=0.94 / Δ=0.48	48%	superseded	—	§14.3
NVDA	core_long	2027-01 $295C	C	$500	0.81	$6.15 / iv=0.42 / Δ=0.18	50%	superseded	Nvidia's next 'Rubin' product cycle is the most critical factor for semi industry in coming year — further integrates logic + HBM. P=0.71 · 1 link	§4 #1, §10